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Georgia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Carroll County, GA

22 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

22
FEMA declarations
14
Major disasters
70
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Carroll County. Its 22 FEMA declarations are 27% above the Georgia county mean and exceed the count for 57% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 30%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 30%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
22
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
60
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 13045 · Carroll County 22 declarations · rank 1253/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 22
  • MAJOR-MID 64%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,253
  • PHOTO-FINISH Hardy
  • NRI-LOW 70
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +27%

Nearest declaration peer: Hardy, WV (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Georgia state profile

Carroll County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Carroll County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Carroll County carries 22 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1253 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Carroll County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Carroll County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Carroll County

22 Top 43% higher than 57% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Carroll County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Georgia avg40/10070.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Georgia county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Carroll County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $14.8M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Tornado carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Carroll County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 60 paid claims, totaling $5.5M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $91.6K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Carroll County's 22 federal records stand 27% above the Georgia county mean of 17.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 70.5/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $31.8M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Moderate community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Tornado stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 3 years here, based on 16 historical events on record.

68 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Carroll County, GA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
16/30

22 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.1x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
16/25

22 declarations (1.3x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

14 of 22 declarations are major disasters (64%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

9 different disaster types declared in Carroll County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Carroll County

Carroll County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 70, Wildfire 25, Drought 0, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 30 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 30 8-hazard mean
Carroll County NRI risk profile FIPS 13045 · displayed-hazard mean 30/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

22

Above median

Major Disaster share

64%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

70

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Carroll County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 3 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 348 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 501 years
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 5.4 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 2.3 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 1 time per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 63 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 18 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2.7 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 2.5 times per year
Drought No Rating 38 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 6
Severe Storm 6
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Tornado 2
Winter Storm 1
Tropical Storm 1
Snowstorm 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Carroll County's record, 27% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 14 63.6%

of all 22 declarations

Emergency - 8 36.4%

of all 22 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2024 1
2021 1
2020 2
2017 2
2016 1
2014 2
2009 1
2008 1
2005 1
2004 1
2000 1
1998 1
1996 1
1994 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1993 2
1990 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 22 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 22 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3642 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3616 HURRICANE HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-26
4579 TROPICAL STORM ZETA DR Hurricane 2021-01-12
4501 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-29
3464 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4338 HURRICANE IRMA DR Hurricane 2017-09-15
3387 HURRICANE IRMA EM Hurricane 2017-09-08
4259 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-26
4165 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2014-03-06
3368 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2014-02-11
1858 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-09-24
1761 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2008-05-23
3218 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1554 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-18
1311 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2000-01-28
1209 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-03-11
1071 HURRICANE OPAL DR Hurricane 1995-10-10
1033 TORNADOES, FLOODING TORRENTIAL RAIN(TROP STORM ALBERTO) DR Tornado 1994-07-07
3097 SEVERE SNOWFALL, WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-15
969 HIGH WINDS, HEAVY RAINS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1992-12-01
Show 2 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
857 SEVERE STORMS, TORNAODES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-02-23
3044 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-07-20

Storm Events in Georgia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Carroll County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 9,617 15 75 $65.4M
Drought 1,363 0 0 $0
Hail 1,257 0 0 $61.8M
Flash Flood 1,154 0 3 $29.3M
Tropical Storm 655 28 19 $855.3M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

60

Total Paid

$5.5M

Avg Per Claim

$91.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 70.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$31.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Tornado Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Tornado

Tornado exposure is the most spatially concentrated in the model: total destruction along a narrow corridor with intact property either side. County-level averages therefore understate severity badly for anyone actually in the path, and overstate it for everyone else.

For Carroll County the two measures on this page point the same way: Tornado is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Carroll County's closest FEMA peer: Nottoway County, VA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Carroll County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Carroll County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Carroll County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Carroll County's NFIP claims file (60 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Carroll County?
The most common disaster type in Carroll County is Severe Storm, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (6), Biological (2), Severe Ice Storm (2).
How does Carroll County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Georgia average?
FEMA lists 22 declaration records for Carroll County. That is 27% above the Georgia county mean of 17.4. Its count is also 6% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Carroll County received?
Carroll County has received 14 major disaster declarations, representing 64% of all 22 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Carroll County filed?
Carroll County has 60 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $5.5M in payments, with an average of $91.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Carroll County?
No. In Carroll County, Tornado has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $14.8M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Carroll County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Carroll County was 1993, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Carroll County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Carroll County, Georgia has an overall risk score of 70.5 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $31.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Carroll County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Carroll County as of the latest release is Tornado (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Low) and Earthquake (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts tornado here at roughly once every 3 years, drawn from 16 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Carroll County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Georgia profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events