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Alabama · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Randolph County, AL

25 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

25
FEMA declarations
15
Major disasters
31
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Randolph County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 25 declarations, more than 71% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 3% below the Alabama county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 31%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 31%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
25
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 01111 · Randolph County 25 declarations · rank 885/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 25
  • MAJOR-MID 60%
  • RANK-LOWER #885
  • PHOTO-FINISH Jefferson
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -3%

Nearest declaration peer: Jefferson, AR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Alabama state profile

Randolph County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Randolph County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Randolph County carries 25 FEMA declaration records, ranked 885 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Randolph County ranks in the national declaration registry

Randolph County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Randolph County

25 Top 29% higher than 71% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Randolph County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Alabama avg62/10030.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Alabama county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Randolph County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $4.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Hurricane carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Randolph County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 30.6/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $7.9M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively High) and community resilience (Relatively Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Hurricane, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 16 years here, based on 22 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 1 claim and $15.8K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Alabama county averages 25.8 federal declaration records, while Randolph County has 25. The gap is 3% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

60 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Randolph County, AL · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
18/30

25 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

25 declarations (1.0x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

15 of 25 declarations are major disasters (60%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Randolph County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Randolph County

Randolph County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 23 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 23 8-hazard mean
Randolph County NRI risk profile FIPS 01111 · displayed-hazard mean 23/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

25

High volume

Major Disaster share

60%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

31

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Randolph County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 16 years
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 320 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 610 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 4.4 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Drought Relatively Low 44 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 4.3 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 62 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.2 times per year
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 2.7 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 10
Hurricane 9
Biological 2
Flood 2
Snowstorm 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Randolph County's record, 40% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 15 60.0%

of all 25 declarations

Emergency - 10 40.0%

of all 25 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2023 1
2021 2
2020 4
2017 1
2011 2
2008 1
2005 2
2004 1
2003 1
1998 1
1996 1
1994 1
1993 1
1990 2
Show 2 earlier declaration years
1979 2
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 25 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 25 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3618 HURRICANE HELENE EM Hurricane 2024-09-26
4710 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2023-05-05
4596 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2021-04-26
4573 HURRICANE ZETA DR Hurricane 2020-12-10
3545 HURRICANE SALLY EM Hurricane 2020-09-14
4546 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-05-21
4503 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-29
3472 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3389 HURRICANE IRMA EM Hurricane 2017-09-11
1971 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-04-28
3319 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS EM Severe Storm 2011-04-27
3292 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-30
3237 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1593 HURRICANE DENNIS DR Hurricane 2005-07-10
1549 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-15
1466 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-12
1208 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-03-09
1070 HURRICANE OPAL DR Hurricane 1995-10-04
1034 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING (TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO) DR Severe Storm 1994-07-08
3096 SEVERE SNOWFALL, WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-15
Show 5 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
861 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-03-21
856 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-02-17
578 STORMS, WIND, FLOODING DR Flood 1979-04-18
3074 FLOODING EM Flood 1979-03-17
3045 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-07-20

Storm Events in Alabama

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Randolph County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 7,827 16 115 $51.7M
Hail 1,349 0 0 $5.0K
Flash Flood 1,047 17 7 $12.8M
Tornado 896 57 343 $49.7M
Drought 857 0 0 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1

Total Paid

$15.8K

Avg Per Claim

$15.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 30.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$7.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hurricane Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Wildfire Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Winter Weather Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hurricane

Hurricane exposure in the model bundles the three ways a tropical system does harm, which arrive on different timescales and are insured differently: wind, storm surge on the coast, and rainfall flooding that can reach far inland well after landfall.

Worth noting for Randolph County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Hurricane carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Randolph County's closest FEMA peer: Brown County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Randolph County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Randolph County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Randolph County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 25 FEMA declarations, Randolph County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Randolph County?
The most common disaster type in Randolph County is Severe Storm, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (9), Biological (2), Flood (2).
How does Randolph County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Alabama average?
The typical Alabama county has 25.8 FEMA declaration records; Randolph County has 25, or 3% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 21% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Randolph County received?
Randolph County has received 15 major disaster declarations, representing 60% of all 25 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Randolph County filed?
Randolph County has 1 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $15.8K in payments, with an average of $15.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Randolph County?
No. In Randolph County, Hurricane has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $4.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Randolph County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Randolph County was 2020, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Randolph County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Randolph County, Alabama has an overall risk score of 30.6 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively High; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $7.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Randolph County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Randolph County as of the latest release is Hurricane (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Relatively Low) and Wildfire (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hurricane here at roughly once every 16 years, drawn from 22 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Randolph County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Alabama profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events