PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Maryland · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Cecil County, MD

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

21
FEMA declarations
14
Major disasters
59
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Cecil County. Its 21 FEMA declarations are 7% above the Maryland county mean and exceed the count for 52% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 41%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 41%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
703
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

View my watchlist

FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 24015 · Cecil County 21 declarations · rank 1518/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 67%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,518
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW 59
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +7%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Maryland state profile

Cecil County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Cecil County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Cecil County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1518 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Cecil County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Cecil County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Cecil County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Cecil County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Maryland avg60/10058.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Maryland county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Cecil County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $10.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Cecil County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 703 claims and $14.3M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $20.4K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Cecil County's 21 federal records stand 7% above the Maryland county mean of 19.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 58.6/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $23.2M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Drought stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 7.1 modeled event-days per year here, based on 210 historical events on record.

60 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Cecil County, MD · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

21 declarations (1.1x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

14 of 21 declarations are major disasters (67%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Cecil County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Cecil County

Cecil County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 70, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 34 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 34 8-hazard mean
Cecil County NRI risk profile FIPS 24015 · displayed-hazard mean 34/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

67%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

59

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Cecil County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively High 7.1 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 11 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 7.3 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 14 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 5.5 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 641 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 35 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 2.5 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 7 years
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low an average of 3.7 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 4 years
Hail Very Low an average of 2.8 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 5,439 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 7
Snowstorm 6
Flood 4
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Severe Storm 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Cecil County's federal record, 33% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 14 66.7%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 7 33.3%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2020 2
2016 1
2013 2
2012 1
2011 2
2010 2
2005 1
2003 2
1999 1
1996 2
1993 1
1977 1
1976 1
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3634 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4491 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3430 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4261 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2016-03-04
4091 HURRICANE SANDY DR Hurricane 2012-11-20
3349 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-28
4038 REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM LEE DR Flood 2011-10-05
4034 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-09-16
3335 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-27
1910 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND SNOWSTORMS DR Snowstorm 2010-05-06
1875 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2010-02-19
3251 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1492 HURRICANE ISABEL DR Hurricane 2003-09-19
3179 SNOW EM Severe Storm 2003-03-14
1303 HURRICANE FLOYD MAJOR DISASTER DECLARATIONS DR Hurricane 1999-09-24
1094 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-23
1081 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-11
3100 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
524 ICE CONDITIONS DR Snowstorm 1977-01-26
489 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-10-04
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
341 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23

Storm Events in Maryland

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Cecil County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,959 6 43 $102.0M
Winter Weather 1,341 4 26 $95.0K
Flood 1,089 1 0 $1.4M
Flash Flood 790 9 4 $96.3M
Dense Fog 513 0 0 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

703

Total Paid

$14.3M

Avg Per Claim

$20.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 58.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$23.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Hurricane Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Cecil County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Cecil County's closest FEMA peer: Fayette County, KY

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Cecil County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Cecil County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Cecil County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Cecil County's NFIP claims file (703 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Cecil County?
The most common disaster type in Cecil County is Hurricane, with 7 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (6), Flood (4), Biological (2).
How does Cecil County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Maryland average?
FEMA lists 21 declaration records for Cecil County. That is 7% above the Maryland county mean of 19.6. Its count is also 1% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Cecil County received?
Cecil County has received 14 major disaster declarations, representing 67% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Cecil County filed?
Cecil County has 703 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $14.3M in payments, with an average of $20.4K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Cecil County?
No. In Cecil County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $10.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Cecil County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Cecil County was 1996, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Cecil County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Cecil County, Maryland has an overall risk score of 58.6 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $23.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Cecil County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Cecil County as of the latest release is Drought (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively High) and Strong Wind (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 7.1 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 210 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Cecil County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Maryland profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events