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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Nebraska · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Clay County, NE

19 FEMA disaster declarations (1967-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

19
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
56
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Clay County. Its 19 FEMA declarations are 13% above the Nebraska county mean and exceed the count for 41% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 44%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 44%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
19
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 31035 · Clay County 19 declarations · rank 1865/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-MID 19
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 89%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,865
  • PHOTO-FINISH Bartow
  • NRI-LOW 56
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +13%

Nearest declaration peer: Bartow, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Nebraska state profile

Clay County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Clay County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Clay County carries 19 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1865 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Clay County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Clay County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Clay County

19 41st percentile higher than 41% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Clay County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Nebraska avg26/10056/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Nebraska county average

What does Clay County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 56.0/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $20.2M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Moderate community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Hail stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 7.6 times per year here, based on 288 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 1 claim and $1.6K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Clay County's 19 federal records stand 13% above the Nebraska county mean of 16.8. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

70 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Clay County, NE · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

19 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

19 declarations (1.1x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share Very High
22/25

17 of 19 declarations are major disasters (89%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Clay County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Clay County

Clay County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 70, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Clay County NRI risk profile FIPS 31035 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

19

Below median

Major Disaster share

89%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

56

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Clay County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hail Relatively High an average of 7.6 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 4.5 times per year
Drought Relatively High 34 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 13 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 2,124 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 44 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,912 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Very Low 5.8 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 4.3 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 14 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 8
Flood 4
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Snowstorm 1
Tornado 1
Hurricane 1
Severe Ice Storm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Clay County's record, 42% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 89.5%

of all 19 declarations

Emergency - 2 10.5%

of all 19 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2024 1
2021 1
2020 2
2019 1
2018 1
2015 1
2014 1
2010 1
2007 1
2005 1
2004 1
1998 1
1993 1
1990 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1976 1
1974 1
1967 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 19 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 19 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4868 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Winter Storm 2025-05-21
4822 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-09-24
4616 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2021-09-06
4521 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-04
3483 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4420 SEVERE WINTER STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-03-21
4375 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Snowstorm 2018-06-29
4225 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-06-25
4179 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2014-06-17
1878 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-25
1674 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2007-01-07
3245 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUEES EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1517 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-05-25
1190 SEVERE SNOW STORMS, RAIN, AND STRONG WINDS DR Severe Storm 1997-11-01
998 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-19
873 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-07-04
500 ICE STORMS & HIGH WINDS DR Severe Ice Storm 1976-04-08
406 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-10-20
228 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1967-07-18

Storm Events in Nebraska

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Clay County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 6,079 0 2 $237.7M
Thunderstorm Wind 4,757 3 19 $228.1M
Drought 1,658 0 0 $0
High Wind 1,647 1 1 $22.1M
Winter Storm 1,155 0 2 $335.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1

Total Paid

$1.6K

Avg Per Claim

$1.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 56.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$20.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hail Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Drought Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hail

Hail is among the most expensive hazards in the model relative to how little it threatens life. It concentrates on roofs, vehicles and crops, and a single severe storm can generate an insurance loss across a metropolitan area without a single injury.

For Clay County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hail is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Clay County's closest FEMA peer: Keokuk County, IA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Clay County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Clay County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Clay County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 19 FEMA declarations, Clay County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Clay County?
The most common disaster type in Clay County is Severe Storm, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Biological (2), Winter Storm (1).
How does Clay County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Nebraska average?
FEMA lists 19 declaration records for Clay County. That is 13% above the Nebraska county mean of 16.8. Its count is also 8% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Clay County received?
Clay County has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 89% of all 19 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Clay County filed?
Clay County has 1 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.6K in payments, with an average of $1.6K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Clay County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Clay County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1967 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Clay County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Clay County, Nebraska has an overall risk score of 56.0 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $20.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Clay County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Clay County is Hail (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Strong Wind (Relatively High) and Drought (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hail here at an average of 7.6 times per year, drawn from 288 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Clay County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Nebraska profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events