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Colorado · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Costilla County, CO

10 FEMA disaster declarations (1970-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Fire.

10
FEMA declarations
4
Major disasters
7
NRI risk · Very Low
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Costilla County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 10 declarations, more than 10% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 2% below the Colorado county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 7%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 7%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
10
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
3
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 08023 · Costilla County 10 declarations · rank 2904/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 10
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 40%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,904
  • PHOTO-FINISH Cheyenne
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-BELOW -2%

Nearest declaration peer: Cheyenne, NE (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Colorado state profile

Costilla County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Costilla County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Costilla County carries 10 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2904 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Costilla County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Costilla County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Costilla County

10 10th percentile higher than 10% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Costilla County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Colorado avg41/1006.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Colorado county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Costilla County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $1.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Costilla County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 6.6/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $1.9M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Very Low). Even the county's top-rated hazard, Landslide, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 2 years here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 3 claims and $10.3K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Colorado county averages 10.2 federal declaration records, while Costilla County has 10. The gap is 2% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

44 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Costilla County, CO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
7/30

10 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.5x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

10 declarations (1.0x state county average of 10)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
10/25

4 of 10 declarations are major disasters (40%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Costilla County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Costilla County

Costilla County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 16 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 16 8-hazard mean
Costilla County NRI risk profile FIPS 08023 · displayed-hazard mean 16/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

10

Low volume

Major Disaster share

40%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

7

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Costilla County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 1,544 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 95 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 619 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 63 times per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 13 times per year
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Hail Very Low an average of 1 time per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 9 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.2 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 67 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 8 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 3
Biological 2
Flood 2
Coastal Storm 1
Snowstorm 1
Drought 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Costilla County's record, 30% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 4 40.0%

of all 10 declarations

Emergency - 4 40.0%

of all 10 declarations

Fire Management - 2 20.0%

of all 10 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2018 1
2006 1
2005 1
2003 1
2002 1
1977 1
1973 1
1970 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 10 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 10 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4498 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3436 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
5246 SPRING CREEK FIRE FM Fire 2018-06-28
2646 MALO VEGA FIRE FM Fire 2006-06-19
3224 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-05
3185 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2003-04-09
1421 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2002-06-19
3025 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-01-29
396 FLOODING & LANDSLIDES DR Flood 1973-07-06
293 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1970-09-22

Storm Events in Colorado

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Costilla County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 4,913 0 100 $2.9B
Winter Weather 2,620 3 23 $22.5K
High Wind 1,992 5 6 $20.9M
Thunderstorm Wind 1,741 2 11 $5.4M
Winter Storm 1,497 0 0 $848.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

3

Total Paid

$10.3K

Avg Per Claim

$3.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 6.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$1.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Low
Wildfire Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Hail Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Volcanic Activity No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Costilla County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Fire. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Costilla County's closest FEMA peer: Clinton County, OH

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Costilla County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Costilla County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Costilla County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 10 FEMA declarations, Costilla County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Costilla County?
The most common disaster type in Costilla County is Fire, with 3 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Flood (2), Coastal Storm (1).
How does Costilla County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Colorado average?
The typical Colorado county has 10.2 FEMA declaration records; Costilla County has 10, or 2% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 52% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Costilla County received?
Costilla County has received 4 major disaster declarations, representing 40% of all 10 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Costilla County filed?
Costilla County has 3 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $10.3K in payments, with an average of $3.4K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Costilla County?
No. In Costilla County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $1.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Costilla County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Costilla County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1970 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Costilla County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Costilla County, Colorado has an overall risk score of 6.6 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very High and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $1.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Costilla County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Costilla County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Low) and Drought (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at roughly once every 2 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Costilla County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Colorado profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events