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Alabama · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Covington County, AL

33 FEMA disaster declarations (1975-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

33
FEMA declarations
21
Major disasters
82
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Covington County. Its 33 FEMA declarations are 28% above the Alabama county mean and exceed the count for 91% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 18%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 18%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
33
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
37
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Covington County compare?

Covington County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

33 Top 9% higher than 91% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Covington County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Alabama county average

0/100100/100Alabama avg62/10082.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Alabama county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Covington County is led by Hurricane (about $17.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Lightning carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Covington County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 82.4/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $33.1M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very High and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Lightning stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 75 times per year here, based on 196,979 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 33 entries for Covington County, including 21 Major Disaster records, 28% above the Alabama county mean. Across the 49-year span, that works out to 0.7 declarations a year. Hurricane leads the file with 15 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 37 claims and $396.6K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Covington County's 33 federal records stand 28% above the Alabama county mean of 25.8. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

71 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Covington County, AL · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
24/30

33 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
16/25

33 declarations (1.3x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

21 of 33 declarations are major disasters (64%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Covington County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Alabama Avg

+28%

State avg: 25.8

vs. National Avg

+59%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.7

Over 49 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Covington County

Covington County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 70, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 29 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 29 8-hazard mean
Covington County NRI risk profile FIPS 01039 · displayed-hazard mean 29/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

33

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

64%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

82

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Covington County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Lightning Relatively High an average of 75 times per year
Hurricane Relatively High roughly once every 6 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 7.3 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Drought Relatively Low 25 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 953 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 953 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.1 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 8 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Hail Very Low an average of 1.4 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 15
Severe Storm 13
Biological 2
Snowstorm 1
Drought 1
Flood 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Covington County's federal record, 45% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 21 63.6%

of all 33 declarations

Emergency - 12 36.4%

of all 33 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2020 6
2019 1
2018 1
2017 1
2016 1
2014 1
2012 1
2011 2
2010 1
2009 1
2008 1
2005 2
2004 1
1998 4
Show 8 earlier declaration years
1996 1
1994 1
1993 1
1990 1
1979 1
1977 1
1976 1
1975 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 33 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 33 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3618 HURRICANE HELENE EM Hurricane 2024-09-26
4563 HURRICANE SALLY DR Hurricane 2020-09-20
3545 HURRICANE SALLY EM Hurricane 2020-09-14
4554 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2020-07-10
4546 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-05-21
4503 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-29
3472 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3407 HURRICANE MICHAEL EM Hurricane 2018-10-12
3394 HURRICANE NATE EM Hurricane 2017-10-08
3389 HURRICANE IRMA EM Hurricane 2017-09-11
4251 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-01-21
4176 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-05-02
4082 HURRICANE ISAAC DR Hurricane 2012-09-21
1971 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-04-28
3319 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS EM Severe Storm 2011-04-27
1870 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-12-31
1835 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, TORNADOES & STRAIGHT-LINE DR Severe Storm 2009-04-28
3292 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-30
3237 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1593 HURRICANE DENNIS DR Hurricane 2005-07-10
Show 13 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1549 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-15
1250 HURRICANE GEORGES - 18 SEP 98 DR Hurricane 1998-09-30
3133 HURRICANE GEORGES EM Hurricane 1998-09-28
1214 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1998-04-09
1208 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-03-09
1070 HURRICANE OPAL DR Hurricane 1995-10-04
1034 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING (TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO) DR Severe Storm 1994-07-08
3096 SEVERE SNOWFALL, WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-15
861 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-03-21
598 HURRICANE FREDERIC DR Hurricane 1979-09-13
3045 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-07-20
488 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1975-10-02
464 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-04-23

Storm Events in Alabama

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Covington County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 7,827 16 115 $51.7M
Hail 1,349 0 0 $5.0K
Flash Flood 1,047 17 7 $12.8M
Tornado 896 57 343 $49.7M
Drought 857 0 0 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

37

Total Paid

$396.6K

Avg Per Claim

$10.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 82.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$33.1M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Lightning Relatively High
Hurricane Relatively High
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Lightning

Lightning is modeled as a high-frequency, low-per-event hazard: strike counts are large, but each strike affects a very small area. Its aggregate cost accumulates through structure fires, electrical and electronic damage, and it is one of the few hazards whose risk is essentially continuous through the season rather than episodic.

Worth noting for Covington County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Lightning carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Covington County's closest FEMA peer: Washington County, OK

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Covington County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Covington County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 33 FEMA declarations, Covington County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Covington County?
The most common disaster type in Covington County is Hurricane, with 15 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (13), Biological (2), Snowstorm (1).
How does Covington County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Alabama average?
FEMA lists 33 declaration records for Covington County. That is 28% above the Alabama county mean of 25.8. Its count is also 59% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Covington County received?
Covington County has received 21 major disaster declarations, representing 64% of all 33 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Covington County filed?
Covington County has 37 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $396.6K in payments, with an average of $10.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Covington County?
No. In Covington County, Lightning has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Hurricane leads Expected Annual Loss at about $17.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Covington County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Covington County was 2020, with 6 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1975 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Covington County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Covington County, Alabama has an overall risk score of 82.4 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $33.1M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Covington County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Covington County as of the latest release is Lightning (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Relatively High) and Tornado (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts lightning here at an average of 75 times per year, drawn from 196,979 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Covington County

Covington County, AL has 33 federal declaration records, 28% more than the Alabama county mean of 26; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 21 of 33 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Alabama overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Alabama mean and the totals for 91% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.