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Nebraska · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Dawes County, NE

12 FEMA disaster declarations (1991-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

12
FEMA declarations
7
Major disasters
6
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Dawes County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 12 declarations, more than 14% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 29% below the Nebraska county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 6%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 6%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
12
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
4
severe storm declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 31045 · Dawes County 12 declarations · rank 2798/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 12
  • MAJOR-MID 58%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,798
  • PHOTO-FINISH Johnson
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -29%

Nearest declaration peer: Johnson, KS (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Nebraska state profile

Dawes County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Dawes County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Dawes County carries 12 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2798 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Dawes County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Dawes County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Dawes County

12 14th percentile higher than 14% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Dawes County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Nebraska avg26/1005.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Nebraska county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Dawes County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $1.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Dawes County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 5.6/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $4.3M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Very Low) and community resilience (Relatively Low). Even the county's top-rated hazard, Wildfire, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 259 years here.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

Start with the state benchmark: a Nebraska county averages 16.8 federal declaration records, while Dawes County has 12. The gap is 29% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

46 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Dawes County, NE · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
9/30

12 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

12 declarations (0.7x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

7 of 12 declarations are major disasters (58%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Dawes County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Dawes County

Dawes County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 19 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 19 8-hazard mean
Dawes County NRI risk profile FIPS 31045 · displayed-hazard mean 19/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

12

Low volume

Major Disaster share

58%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

6

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Dawes County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 259 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 74 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 17 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 4.1 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 43 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 5.9 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,445 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 39 years
Strong Wind Very Low an average of 1.6 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 0.8 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 4 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 4
Fire 3
Biological 2
Flood 2
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Dawes County's record, 33% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 7 58.3%

of all 12 declarations

Fire Management - 3 25.0%

of all 12 declarations

Emergency - 2 16.7%

of all 12 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2024 1
2020 2
2019 1
2015 1
2014 1
2012 1
2010 1
2006 1
2005 1
1991 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 12 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 12 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5637 SOUTH FORK FIRE FM Fire 2026-06-10
4786 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2024-05-24
4521 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-04
3483 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4420 SEVERE WINTER STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-03-21
4225 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-06-25
4156 SEVERE STORMS, WINTER STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-11-26
5009 REGION 23 FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2012-08-30
1924 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-07-15
2660 DAWES COUNTY FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2006-07-28
3245 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUEES EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
908 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1991-05-28

Storm Events in Nebraska

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Dawes County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 6,079 0 2 $237.7M
Thunderstorm Wind 4,757 3 19 $228.1M
Drought 1,658 0 0 $0
High Wind 1,647 1 1 $22.1M
Winter Storm 1,155 0 2 $335.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 5.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$4.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

Worth noting for Dawes County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Wildfire carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Dawes County's closest FEMA peer: Salt Lake County, UT

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Dawes County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Dawes County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Dawes County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 12 FEMA declarations, Dawes County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Dawes County?
The most common disaster type in Dawes County is Severe Storm, with 4 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (3), Biological (2), Flood (2).
How does Dawes County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Nebraska average?
The typical Nebraska county has 16.8 FEMA declaration records; Dawes County has 12, or 29% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 42% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Dawes County received?
Dawes County has received 7 major disaster declarations, representing 58% of all 12 disaster declarations.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Dawes County?
No. In Dawes County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $1.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Dawes County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Dawes County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1991 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Dawes County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Dawes County, Nebraska has an overall risk score of 5.6 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very Low; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $4.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Dawes County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Dawes County is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively Moderate) and Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 259 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Dawes County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Nebraska profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events