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Arkansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Desha County, AR

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

21
FEMA declarations
14
Major disasters
33
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Desha County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 21 declarations, more than 52% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 13% below the Arkansas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 33%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 33%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
206
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 05041 · Desha County 21 declarations · rank 1479/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 67%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,479
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-BELOW -13%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Arkansas state profile

Desha County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Desha County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Desha County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1479 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Desha County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Desha County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Desha County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Desha County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Arkansas avg56/10032.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Desha County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $2.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very Low), while Earthquake carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Desha County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 206 paid claims, totaling $3.6M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $17.5K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Arkansas county averages 24.2 federal declaration records, while Desha County has 21. The gap is 13% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 32.9/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $6.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Relatively Moderate) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Earthquake, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 264 years here.

63 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Desha County, AR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

21 declarations (0.9x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

14 of 21 declarations are major disasters (67%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Desha County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Desha County

Desha County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 8, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
Desha County NRI risk profile FIPS 05041 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

67%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

33

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Desha County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 264 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 12 modeled event-days per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 20 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 27 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.8 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 61 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 3.8 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 6,162 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 6
Severe Storm 5
Winter Storm 2
Hurricane 2
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Tornado 1
Snowstorm 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Desha County's record, 29% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 14 66.7%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 7 33.3%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2023 1
2020 4
2019 2
2016 1
2011 1
2008 1
2005 1
2001 2
1994 1
1991 1
1990 1
1983 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3636 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4873 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2025-05-21
3627 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-05
4700 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2023-04-04
3541 HURRICANE LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-27
4556 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Tornado 2020-07-10
4518 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3461 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4441 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-06-08
3414 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING EM Flood 2019-05-30
4270 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-05-06
1975 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-02
1751 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-26
3215 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1354 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-29
3159 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-28
1011 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Snowstorm 1994-02-28
907 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1991-05-30
865 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-05-15
673 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1982-12-13
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
375 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-04-27

Storm Events in Arkansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Desha County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,657 10 23 $60.9M
Hail 2,230 0 0 $7.7M
Flash Flood 1,517 12 3 $15.9M
Heat 1,222 2 325 $0
Flood 1,152 9 0 $40.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

206

Total Paid

$3.6M

Avg Per Claim

$17.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 32.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$6.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Desha County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Desha County's closest FEMA peer: Montgomery County, MD

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Desha County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Desha County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Desha County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Desha County's NFIP claims file (206 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Desha County?
The most common disaster type in Desha County is Flood, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (5), Winter Storm (2), Hurricane (2).
How does Desha County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arkansas average?
The typical Arkansas county has 24.2 FEMA declaration records; Desha County has 21, or 13% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 1% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Desha County received?
Desha County has received 14 major disaster declarations, representing 67% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Desha County filed?
Desha County has 206 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.6M in payments, with an average of $17.5K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Desha County?
No. In Desha County, Earthquake has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Desha County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Desha County was 2020, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Desha County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Desha County, Arkansas has an overall risk score of 32.9 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $6.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Desha County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Desha County is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively Moderate) and Heat Wave (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 264 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Desha County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Arkansas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events