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Arkansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Arkansas County, AR

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

20
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
63
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Arkansas County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 20 declarations, more than 46% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 17% below the Arkansas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 37%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 37%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
89
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 05001 · Arkansas County 20 declarations · rank 1733/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-MID 65%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,733
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-LOW 63
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -17%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Arkansas state profile

Arkansas County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Arkansas County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Arkansas County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1733 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Arkansas County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Arkansas County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Arkansas County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Arkansas County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Arkansas avg56/10063.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Arkansas County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $6.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Earthquake carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Arkansas County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 89 paid claims, totaling $1.4M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $16.1K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Arkansas county averages 24.2 federal declaration records, while Arkansas County has 20. The gap is 17% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 63.2/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $16.2M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Moderate community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Earthquake carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 228 years here.

60 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Arkansas County, AR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

20 declarations (0.8x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

13 of 20 declarations are major disasters (65%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Arkansas County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Arkansas County

Arkansas County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 34 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 34 8-hazard mean
Arkansas County NRI risk profile FIPS 05001 · displayed-hazard mean 34/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

65%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

63

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Arkansas County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 228 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2.4 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 19 modeled event-days per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 8.8 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 38 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.6 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 4.1 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 60 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 5,373 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 7
Flood 4
Hurricane 2
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Winter Storm 1
Tornado 1
Snowstorm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Arkansas County's record, 35% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 65.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 7 35.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 1
2024 1
2020 4
2019 2
2016 1
2011 1
2009 1
2008 2
2005 1
2001 2
1994 1
1988 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3636 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3627 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-05
4748 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2023-11-14
3541 HURRICANE LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-27
4556 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Tornado 2020-07-10
4518 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3461 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4441 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-06-08
3414 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING EM Flood 2019-05-30
4270 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-05-06
1975 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-02
1845 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-16
1758 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2008-05-20
1751 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-26
3215 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1354 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-29
3159 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-28
1011 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Snowstorm 1994-02-28
807 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1987-12-31
375 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-04-27

Storm Events in Arkansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Arkansas County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,657 10 23 $60.9M
Hail 2,230 0 0 $7.7M
Flash Flood 1,517 12 3 $15.9M
Heat 1,222 2 325 $0
Flood 1,152 9 0 $40.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

89

Total Paid

$1.4M

Avg Per Claim

$16.1K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 63.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$16.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Arkansas County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Arkansas County's closest FEMA peer: Dorchester County, MD

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Arkansas County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Arkansas County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Arkansas County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Arkansas County's NFIP claims file (89 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Arkansas County?
The most common disaster type in Arkansas County is Severe Storm, with 7 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Hurricane (2), Biological (2).
How does Arkansas County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arkansas average?
The typical Arkansas county has 24.2 FEMA declaration records; Arkansas County has 20, or 17% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 3% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Arkansas County received?
Arkansas County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 65% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Arkansas County filed?
Arkansas County has 89 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.4M in payments, with an average of $16.1K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Arkansas County?
No. In Arkansas County, Earthquake has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $6.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Arkansas County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Arkansas County was 2020, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Arkansas County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Arkansas County, Arkansas has an overall risk score of 63.2 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $16.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Arkansas County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Arkansas County as of the latest release is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Strong Wind (Relatively Moderate) and Ice Storm (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 228 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Arkansas County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Arkansas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events