PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Arkansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Monroe County, AR

27 FEMA disaster declarations (1968-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

27
FEMA declarations
19
Major disasters
37
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Monroe County. Its 27 FEMA declarations are 12% above the Arkansas county mean and exceed the count for 78% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 37%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 37%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
27
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
170
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

View my watchlist

How does Monroe County compare?

Monroe County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

27 Top 22% higher than 78% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Monroe County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

0/100100/100Arkansas avg56/10036.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

What does Monroe County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 170 paid claims, totaling $4.4M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $25.6K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Monroe County's 27 federal records stand 12% above the Arkansas county mean of 24.2. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 36.5/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $7.6M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Relatively Moderate) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Earthquake, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 182 years here.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 27 entries for Monroe County, including 19 Major Disaster records, 12% above the Arkansas county mean. Across the 58-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 9 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

72 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Monroe County, AR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

27 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

27 declarations (1.1x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

19 of 27 declarations are major disasters (70%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Monroe County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Arkansas Avg

+12%

State avg: 24.2

vs. National Avg

+30%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 58 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Monroe County

Monroe County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Monroe County NRI risk profile FIPS 05095 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

27

High volume

Major Disaster share

70%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

37

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Monroe County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 182 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Drought Relatively Low 8.7 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 54 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 19 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.5 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.1 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 3.2 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 59 times per year
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 4.6 times per year
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 2,984 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 6 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 9
Flood 6
Tornado 3
Severe Ice Storm 3
Hurricane 2
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Snowstorm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Monroe County's record, 33% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 19 70.4%

of all 27 declarations

Emergency - 8 29.6%

of all 27 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2020 4
2011 1
2010 2
2009 2
2008 1
2005 1
2002 1
2001 2
1999 1
1997 1
1994 1
1990 1
1988 1
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1983 1
1982 1
1975 1
1973 1
1968 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 27 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 27 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3636 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4873 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2025-05-21
3627 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-05
3541 HURRICANE LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-27
4556 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Tornado 2020-07-10
4518 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3461 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1975 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-02
1872 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-02-04
1861 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-12-03
1845 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-16
3301 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-28
1751 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-26
3215 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1400 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-01-24
1354 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-29
3159 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-28
1266 AR SEVERE WEATHER 1-21-99 DR Severe Storm 1999-01-23
1176 FLOODING, SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1997-04-14
1011 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Snowstorm 1994-02-28
Show 7 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
865 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-05-15
807 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1987-12-31
673 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1982-12-13
3085 SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES EM Tornado 1982-04-23
471 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-06-07
375 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-04-27
239 TORNADOES, SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Tornado 1968-05-29

Storm Events in Arkansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Monroe County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,657 10 23 $60.9M
Hail 2,230 0 0 $7.7M
Flash Flood 1,517 12 3 $15.9M
Heat 1,222 2 325 $0
Flood 1,152 9 0 $40.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

170

Total Paid

$4.4M

Avg Per Claim

$25.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 36.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$7.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Monroe County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Monroe County's closest FEMA peer: King George County, VA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Monroe County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Monroe County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Monroe County's NFIP claims file (170 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Monroe County?
The most common disaster type in Monroe County is Severe Storm, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (6), Tornado (3), Severe Ice Storm (3).
How does Monroe County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arkansas average?
FEMA lists 27 declaration records for Monroe County. That is 12% above the Arkansas county mean of 24.2. Its count is also 30% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Monroe County received?
Monroe County has received 19 major disaster declarations, representing 70% of all 27 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Monroe County filed?
Monroe County has 170 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $4.4M in payments, with an average of $25.6K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Monroe County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Monroe County was 2020, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1968 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Monroe County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Monroe County, Arkansas has an overall risk score of 36.5 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $7.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Monroe County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Monroe County as of the latest release is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively Moderate) and Tornado (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 182 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Monroe County

Monroe County, AR has 27 federal declaration records, 12% more than the Arkansas county mean of 24; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 19 of 27 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Arkansas overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Arkansas mean and the totals for 78% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.