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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Missouri · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Greene County, MO

27 FEMA disaster declarations (1974-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

27
FEMA declarations
20
Major disasters
90
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Greene County. Its 27 FEMA declarations are 10% above the Missouri county mean and exceed the count for 78% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 10%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 10%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
27
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
205
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 29077 · Greene County 27 declarations · rank 608/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 27
  • MAJOR-MID 74%
  • RANK-MID #608
  • PHOTO-FINISH Coal
  • NRI-MID 90
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +10%

Nearest declaration peer: Coal, OK (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Missouri state profile

Greene County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Greene County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Greene County carries 27 FEMA declaration records, ranked 608 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Greene County ranks in the national declaration registry

Greene County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Greene County

27 Top 22% higher than 78% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Greene County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Missouri avg51/10090.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Greene County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $39.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Greene County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 205 paid claims, totaling $3.3M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $16.2K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Greene County's 27 federal records stand 10% above the Missouri county mean of 24.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 90.1/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $97.0M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.2 times per year here, based on 80 historical events on record.

68 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Greene County, MO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

27 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

27 declarations (1.1x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

20 of 27 declarations are major disasters (74%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Greene County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Greene County

Greene County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 70, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 70, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 48 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 48 8-hazard mean
Greene County NRI risk profile FIPS 29077 · displayed-hazard mean 48/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

27

High volume

Major Disaster share

74%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

90

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Greene County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.2 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively High 13 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Very High an average of 12 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 57 times per year
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 7.2 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 439 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 6.1 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 5.7 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 2.4 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 683 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Drought Relatively Low 4.2 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 131 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 13
Flood 6
Severe Ice Storm 4
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Greene County's record, 48% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 20 74.1%

of all 27 declarations

Emergency - 7 25.9%

of all 27 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 1
2023 1
2020 2
2019 1
2017 1
2016 2
2011 1
2009 2
2008 4
2007 3
2006 1
2005 1
2003 1
2002 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1990 1
1976 1
1974 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 27 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 27 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4924 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2026-06-30
4876 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-06-09
4741 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2023-09-21
4490 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3482 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4451 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-07-09
4317 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2017-06-02
4250 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-01-21
3374 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING EM Flood 2016-01-02
3317 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-03
1847 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-19
3303 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-30
1773 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-06-25
1749 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-19
1748 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2008-03-12
3281 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-12
1728 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-09-21
1676 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2007-01-15
1673 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2006-12-29
1631 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-03-16
Show 7 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3232 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1463 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-06
1412 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-05-06
995 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-09
867 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-05-24
3017 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-09-24
439 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-06-10

Storm Events in Missouri

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Greene County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,391 30 52 $63.4M
Hail 4,411 0 1 $86.1M
Flash Flood 2,399 47 14 $406.6M
Flood 1,810 25 7 $304.6M
Drought 1,033 0 350 $53.6M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

205

Total Paid

$3.3M

Avg Per Claim

$16.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 90.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$97.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Very High
Heat Wave Relatively High
Winter Weather Very High
Lightning Relatively High
Tornado Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Greene County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Greene County's closest FEMA peer: Bucks County, PA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Greene County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Greene County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Greene County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Greene County's NFIP claims file (205 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Greene County?
The most common disaster type in Greene County is Severe Storm, with 13 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (6), Severe Ice Storm (4), Biological (2).
How does Greene County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Missouri average?
FEMA lists 27 declaration records for Greene County. That is 10% above the Missouri county mean of 24.6. Its count is also 30% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Greene County received?
Greene County has received 20 major disaster declarations, representing 74% of all 27 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Greene County filed?
Greene County has 205 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.3M in payments, with an average of $16.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Greene County?
No. In Greene County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $39.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Greene County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Greene County was 2008, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1974 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Greene County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Greene County, Missouri has an overall risk score of 90.1 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $97.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Greene County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Greene County as of the latest release is Ice Storm (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Heat Wave (Relatively High) and Winter Weather (Very High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.2 times per year, drawn from 80 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Greene County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Missouri profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events