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Colorado · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Elbert County, CO

13 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2023), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

13
FEMA declarations
8
Major disasters
37
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Elbert County. Its 13 FEMA declarations are 27% above the Colorado county mean and exceed the count for 17% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 37%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 37%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
13
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
2
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 08039 · Elbert County 13 declarations · rank 2647/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-MID 13
  • MAJOR-MID 62%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,647
  • PHOTO-FINISH Clarke
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +27%

Nearest declaration peer: Clarke, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Colorado state profile

Elbert County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Elbert County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Elbert County carries 13 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2647 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Elbert County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Elbert County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Elbert County

13 17th percentile higher than 17% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Elbert County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Colorado avg41/10036.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Colorado county average

What does Elbert County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 36.6/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Relatively Low (roughly $16.6M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very Low) and community resilience (Relatively High) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Wildfire carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 592 years here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 2 claims and $0 paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Elbert County's 13 federal records stand 27% above the Colorado county mean of 10.2. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

60 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Elbert County, CO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
9/30

13 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
16/25

13 declarations (1.3x state county average of 10)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

8 of 13 declarations are major disasters (62%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Elbert County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Elbert County

Elbert County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 48, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 21 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 21 8-hazard mean
Elbert County NRI risk profile FIPS 08039 · displayed-hazard mean 21/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

13

Low volume

Major Disaster share

62%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

37

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Elbert County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 592 years
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 8 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 15 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low an average of 2.2 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 53 times per year
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 10,000 years
Drought Relatively Low 43 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,736 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 1.2 times per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 35 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.3 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 4
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Coastal Storm 1
Fire 1
Severe Storm 1
Drought 1
Tornado 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Elbert County's record, 31% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 8 61.5%

of all 13 declarations

Emergency - 5 38.5%

of all 13 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2023 1
2020 2
2015 1
2007 1
2005 1
2003 1
2002 1
1999 1
1997 1
1977 1
1973 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 13 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 13 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4731 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Flood 2023-08-25
4498 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3436 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4229 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2015-07-16
3270 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2007-01-07
3224 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-05
3185 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2003-04-09
1421 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2002-06-19
1276 CO-FLOODING 4/30/99 DR Severe Storm 1999-05-17
1186 SEVERE STORMS, HEAVY RAIN, FLASH FLOODS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES DR Flood 1997-08-01
3025 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-01-29
385 HEAVY RAINS, SNOWMELT AND FLOODING DR Flood 1973-05-23
200 TORNADOES, SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Tornado 1965-06-19

Storm Events in Colorado

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Elbert County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 4,913 0 100 $2.9B
Winter Weather 2,620 3 23 $22.5K
High Wind 1,992 5 6 $20.9M
Thunderstorm Wind 1,741 2 11 $5.4M
Winter Storm 1,497 0 0 $848.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

2

Total Paid

$0

Avg Per Claim

$0

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 36.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$16.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

Worth noting for Elbert County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Wildfire carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Elbert County's closest FEMA peer: Mercer County, PA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Elbert County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Elbert County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Elbert County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 13 FEMA declarations, Elbert County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Elbert County?
The most common disaster type in Elbert County is Flood, with 4 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Snowstorm (2), Coastal Storm (1).
How does Elbert County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Colorado average?
FEMA lists 13 declaration records for Elbert County. That is 27% above the Colorado county mean of 10.2. Its count is also 37% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Elbert County received?
Elbert County has received 8 major disaster declarations, representing 62% of all 13 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Elbert County filed?
Elbert County has 2 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $0 in payments, with an average of $0 per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Elbert County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Elbert County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2023.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Elbert County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Elbert County, Colorado has an overall risk score of 36.6 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very Low and community resilience is Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $16.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Elbert County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Elbert County is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Moderate) and Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 592 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Elbert County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Colorado profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events