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California · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Fresno County, CA

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2023), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High. Most common hazard: Flood.

20
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
99
NRI risk · Relatively High
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Fresno County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 20 declarations, more than 46% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 30% below the California county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 1%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 1%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
278
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 06019 · Fresno County 20 declarations · rank 1697/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-HIGH · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-MID 65%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,697
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-HIGH 99
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-BELOW -30%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · California state profile

Fresno County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Fresno County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Fresno County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1697 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Fresno County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Fresno County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Fresno County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Fresno County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100California avg89/10099.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the California county average

What does Fresno County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 278 paid claims, totaling $2.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $8.0K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a California county averages 28.5 federal declaration records, while Fresno County has 20. The gap is 30% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 99.3/100 (Relatively High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively High (roughly $557.3M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively High and community resilience Very Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Drought stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 88 modeled event-days per year here, based on 2,989 historical events on record.

57 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Fresno County, CA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

20 declarations (0.7x state county average of 29)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

13 of 20 declarations are major disasters (65%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Fresno County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Fresno County

Fresno County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 70, Flood 70, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 70, Drought 92, Heat Wave 70, Winter Storm 8. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 51 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 51 8-hazard mean
Fresno County NRI risk profile FIPS 06019 · displayed-hazard mean 51/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

65%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

99

Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Fresno County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Very High 88 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Relatively High roughly once every 9 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 4.1 times per year
Wildfire Relatively High roughly once every 228 years
Landslide Relatively High an average of 90 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively High 7 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively High roughly once every 6 years
Lightning Relatively High an average of 13 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 1,111 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 11 times per year
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 24 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 6
Severe Storm 4
Fire 3
Freezing 3
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Drought 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Fresno County's record, 30% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 65.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 5 25.0%

of all 20 declarations

Fire Management - 2 10.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2023 4
2021 1
2020 3
2016 1
2007 1
2005 1
1999 1
1998 1
1997 1
1995 1
1993 1
1991 1
1986 1
1977 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4699 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-03
3592 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES EM Flood 2023-03-10
4683 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2023-01-14
3591 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES EM Flood 2023-01-09
4569 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2020-10-16
5348 CREEK FIRE FM Fire 2020-09-06
4482 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-22
3428 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
5140 GOOSE FIRE FM Fire 2016-07-31
1689 SEVERE FREEZE DR Freezing 2007-03-13
3248 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1267 CA-CITRUS CROP DAMAGE 2/2/99 DR Freezing 1999-02-09
1203 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-02-09
1155 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUD AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 1997-01-04
1046 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING LANDSLIDES, MUD FLOW DR Severe Storm 1995-03-12
979 SEVERE WINTER STORM, MUD & LAND SLIDES, & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-02-03
894 SEVERE FREEZE DR Freezing 1991-02-11
758 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-02-21
3023 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-01-20
253 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-01-26

Storm Events in California

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Fresno County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 4,070 13 27 $228.2M
Flood 3,132 26 25 $985.1M
Heavy Snow 1,814 6 0 $1.6M
Dense Fog 1,605 52 148 $2.8M
Drought 1,421 0 0 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

278

Total Paid

$2.2M

Avg Per Claim

$8.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively High

Score: 99.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively High

$557.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Very High
Earthquake Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively High
Landslide Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively High
Hail Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Tornado Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Cold Wave No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Fresno County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Fresno County's closest FEMA peer: Talbot County, MD

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Fresno County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Fresno County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Fresno County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Fresno County's NFIP claims file (278 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Fresno County?
The most common disaster type in Fresno County is Flood, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (4), Fire (3), Freezing (3).
How does Fresno County's FEMA declaration record compare with the California average?
The typical California county has 28.5 FEMA declaration records; Fresno County has 20, or 30% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 3% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Fresno County received?
Fresno County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 65% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Fresno County filed?
Fresno County has 278 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.2M in payments, with an average of $8.0K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Fresno County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Fresno County was 2023, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2023.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Fresno County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Fresno County, California has an overall risk score of 99.3 out of 100 (Relatively High). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively High, representing $557.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Fresno County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Fresno County is Drought (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (Relatively High) and Riverine Flooding (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 88 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 2,989 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Fresno County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · California profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events