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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Kansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Gray County, KS

14 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

14
FEMA declarations
11
Major disasters
37
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Gray County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 14 declarations, more than 20% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 22% below the Kansas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 37%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 37%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
14
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
7
severe storm declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 20069 · Gray County 14 declarations · rank 2554/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 14
  • MAJOR-MID 79%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,554
  • PHOTO-FINISH Pulaski
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -22%

Nearest declaration peer: Pulaski, IL (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Kansas state profile

Gray County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Gray County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Gray County carries 14 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2554 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Gray County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Gray County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Gray County

14 20th percentile higher than 20% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Gray County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Kansas avg30/10036.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kansas county average

What does Gray County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 36.7/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $11.4M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively Low) and community resilience (Very Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Drought stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 77 modeled event-days per year here, based on 2,373 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

Start with the state benchmark: a Kansas county averages 18.0 federal declaration records, while Gray County has 14. The gap is 22% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

55 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Gray County, KS · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
10/30

14 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

14 declarations (0.8x state county average of 18)

Major Disaster Share Very High
20/25

11 of 14 declarations are major disasters (79%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Gray County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Gray County

Gray County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 70, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 19 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 19 8-hazard mean
Gray County NRI risk profile FIPS 20069 · displayed-hazard mean 19/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

14

Low volume

Major Disaster share

79%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

37

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Gray County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively High 77 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively High an average of 11 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 3.3 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 2,253 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 4.8 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,818 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 44 times per year
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 11 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Heat Wave Very Low 1 modeled event-day per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 11 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 7
Biological 2
Flood 2
Winter Storm 1
Snowstorm 1
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Gray County's record, 50% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 11 78.6%

of all 14 declarations

Emergency - 3 21.4%

of all 14 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2024 2
2022 2
2020 2
2019 1
2015 1
2008 1
2007 1
2005 1
1973 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 14 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 14 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4869 SEVERE WINTER STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND WILDFIRES DR Severe Storm 2025-05-21
4824 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-09-24
4774 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2024-04-28
4654 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Snowstorm 2022-05-25
4640 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2022-02-17
4504 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-29
3481 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4449 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING,LANDSLIDES,AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2019-06-20
4230 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-07-20
3282 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Storm 2007-12-12
1675 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2007-01-07
3236 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
378 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-05-02
201 FLOODING DR Flood 1965-06-23

Storm Events in Kansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Gray County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 8,265 0 9 $24.2M
Thunderstorm Wind 7,987 3 34 $30.6M
High Wind 1,553 1 7 $10.2M
Drought 1,272 0 0 $0
Flash Flood 1,037 6 9 $35.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 36.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$11.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively High
Hail Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Gray County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Gray County's closest FEMA peer: Woodford County, IL

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Gray County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Gray County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Gray County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 14 FEMA declarations, Gray County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Gray County?
The most common disaster type in Gray County is Severe Storm, with 7 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Flood (2), Winter Storm (1).
How does Gray County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Kansas average?
The typical Kansas county has 18.0 FEMA declaration records; Gray County has 14, or 22% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 32% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Gray County received?
Gray County has received 11 major disaster declarations, representing 79% of all 14 disaster declarations.
What was the worst year for disasters in Gray County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Gray County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Gray County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Gray County, Kansas has an overall risk score of 36.7 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $11.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Gray County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Gray County as of the latest release is Drought (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively High) and Cold Wave (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 77 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 2,373 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Gray County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Kansas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events