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Washington · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Jefferson County, WA

30 FEMA disaster declarations (1980-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

30
FEMA declarations
27
Major disasters
64
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Jefferson County. Its 30 FEMA declarations are 21% above the Washington county mean and exceed the count for 86% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 36%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 36%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
30
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
53
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 53031 · Jefferson County 30 declarations · rank 400/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 30
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 90%
  • RANK-MID #400
  • PHOTO-FINISH Jefferson
  • NRI-LOW 64
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +21%

Nearest declaration peer: Jefferson, OK (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Washington state profile

Jefferson County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Jefferson County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Jefferson County carries 30 FEMA declaration records, ranked 400 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Jefferson County ranks in the national declaration registry

Jefferson County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Jefferson County

30 Top 14% higher than 86% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Jefferson County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Washington avg70/10064.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Washington county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Jefferson County is led by Earthquake (about $10.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Jefferson County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 53 paid claims, totaling $623.0K. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $11.8K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Jefferson County's 30 federal records stand 21% above the Washington county mean of 24.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 64.4/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $17.0M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 17 times per year here.

78 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Jefferson County, WA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
22/30

30 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
15/25

30 declarations (1.2x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share Very High
23/25

27 of 30 declarations are major disasters (90%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Jefferson County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Jefferson County

Jefferson County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 48, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Jefferson County NRI risk profile FIPS 53031 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

30

High volume

Major Disaster share

90%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

64

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Jefferson County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 17 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 34 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 16 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 5 years
Coastal Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 3.4 times per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 7 years
Tsunami Very Low roughly once every 8 years
Heat Wave Very Low 1.4 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 32 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 21,996 years
Drought Very Low 1.3 modeled event-days per year
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 10,000 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 24 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 4 times per year
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 226 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 250 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 13
Flood 11
Biological 2
Coastal Storm 1
Earthquake 1
Fishing Losses 1
Volcanic Eruption 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Jefferson County's record, 43% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 27 90.0%

of all 30 declarations

Emergency - 3 10.0%

of all 30 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2024 1
2023 1
2022 2
2021 1
2020 2
2019 1
2016 3
2009 2
2008 1
2007 1
2006 1
2005 1
2004 1
2001 1
Show 6 earlier declaration years
1997 2
1996 1
1994 1
1991 2
1986 1
1980 2

Disaster Declarations

How the 30 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 30 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4906 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2026-04-07
3629 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES EM Flood 2025-12-12
4775 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2024-04-28
4682 SEVERE WINTER STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2023-01-12
4650 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, SNOWSTORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING DR Flood 2022-03-29
4635 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2022-01-05
4593 SEVERE WINTER STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2021-04-08
4481 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-22
3427 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4418 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, MUDSLIDES, TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2019-03-04
4253 SEVERE WINTER STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, MUDSLIDES, AND A T DR Flood 2016-02-02
4249 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2016-01-15
4242 SEVERE WINDSTORM DR Severe Storm 2015-10-15
1825 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND RECORD AND NEAR RECORD SNOW DR Severe Storm 2009-03-02
1817 SEVERE WINTER STORM, LANDSLIDES, MUDSLIDES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2009-01-30
1734 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2007-12-08
1671 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-12-12
1641 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, TIDAL SURGE, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-05-17
3227 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-07
1499 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-11-07
Show 10 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1361 EARTHQUAKE DR Earthquake 2001-03-01
1172 HEAVY RAINS, SNOW MELT, FLOODING, LAND & MUD SLIDES DR Flood 1997-04-02
1159 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, LAND & MUDS SLIDES,FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1997-01-17
1079 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH WIND, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1996-01-03
1037 THE EL NINO (THE SALMON INDUSTRY) DR Fishing Losses 1994-08-02
896 SEVERE STORMS & HIGH TIDES DR Flood 1991-03-08
883 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-11-26
757 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-02-15
623 VOLCANIC ERUPTION, MT. ST. HELENS DR Volcanic Eruption 1980-05-21
612 STORMS, HIGH TIDES, MUDSLIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-12-31

Storm Events in Washington

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Jefferson County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Heavy Snow 1,700 5 7 $2.3M
High Wind 614 15 6 $1.1B
Wildfire 299 4 4 $1.8B
Winter Weather 259 9 62 $1.1M
Flood 231 4 0 $391.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

53

Total Paid

$623.0K

Avg Per Claim

$11.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 64.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$17.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Coastal Flooding Relatively Moderate
Avalanche Very Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Tsunami Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Drought Very Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Jefferson County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Jefferson County's closest FEMA peer: Kittson County, MN

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Jefferson County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Jefferson County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Jefferson County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Jefferson County's NFIP claims file (53 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Jefferson County?
The most common disaster type in Jefferson County is Severe Storm, with 13 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (11), Biological (2), Coastal Storm (1).
How does Jefferson County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Washington average?
FEMA lists 30 declaration records for Jefferson County. That is 21% above the Washington county mean of 24.9. Its count is also 45% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Jefferson County received?
Jefferson County has received 27 major disaster declarations, representing 90% of all 30 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Jefferson County filed?
Jefferson County has 53 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $623.0K in payments, with an average of $11.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Jefferson County?
No. In Jefferson County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Earthquake leads Expected Annual Loss at about $10.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Jefferson County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Jefferson County was 2016, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1980 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Jefferson County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Jefferson County, Washington has an overall risk score of 64.4 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $17.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Jefferson County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Jefferson County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (Relatively Moderate) and Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 17 times per year. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Jefferson County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Washington profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events