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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Jones County, TX

24 FEMA disaster declarations (1990-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

24
FEMA declarations
16
Major disasters
38
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Jones County. Its 24 FEMA declarations are 15% above the Texas county mean and exceed the count for 66% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 38%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 38%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
24
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
119
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48253 · Jones County 24 declarations · rank 1005/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 24
  • MAJOR-MID 67%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,005
  • PHOTO-FINISH Eddy
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +15%

Nearest declaration peer: Eddy, ND (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Jones County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Jones County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Jones County carries 24 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1005 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Jones County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Jones County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Jones County

24 Top 34% higher than 66% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Jones County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10037.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Jones County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Hail carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Jones County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 119 paid claims, totaling $4.0M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $33.3K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Jones County's 24 federal records stand 15% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 37.9/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $8.9M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively High) and community resilience (Relatively Moderate) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Hail carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 5.5 times per year here, based on 210 historical events on record.

66 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Jones County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

24 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

24 declarations (1.1x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

16 of 24 declarations are major disasters (67%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Jones County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Jones County

Jones County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
Jones County NRI risk profile FIPS 48253 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

24

Above median

Major Disaster share

67%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

38

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Jones County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 5.5 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 80 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 330 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 5.8 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 10 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 10 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 2,227 years
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Lightning Very Low an average of 48 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 6
Flood 5
Fire 5
Hurricane 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Jones County's record, 25% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 16 66.7%

of all 24 declarations

Emergency - 7 29.2%

of all 24 declarations

Fire Management - 1 4.2%

of all 24 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2021 2
2020 2
2019 1
2018 1
2016 2
2015 1
2011 1
2008 2
2007 1
2006 1
2005 3
2002 1
1999 1
1998 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1992 1
1990 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 24 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 24 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4781 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-05-17
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4416 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-02-25
5234 335 FIRE FM Fire 2018-04-14
4269 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-04-25
4255 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-09
4223 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-29
1999 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-07-01
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1730 TROPICAL STORM ERIN DR Severe Storm 2007-10-02
1709 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-06-29
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1425 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2002-07-04
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
Show 4 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
3113 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Drought 1993-09-10
930 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DR Flood 1991-12-26
863 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-05-02

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Jones County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

119

Total Paid

$4.0M

Avg Per Claim

$33.3K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 37.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$8.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hail Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Lightning Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hail

Hail is among the most expensive hazards in the model relative to how little it threatens life. It concentrates on roofs, vehicles and crops, and a single severe storm can generate an insurance loss across a metropolitan area without a single injury.

For Jones County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hail is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Jones County's closest FEMA peer: Franklin County, MO

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Jones County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Jones County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Jones County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Jones County's NFIP claims file (119 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Jones County?
The most common disaster type in Jones County is Severe Storm, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Fire (5), Hurricane (3).
How does Jones County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
FEMA lists 24 declaration records for Jones County. That is 15% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. Its count is also 16% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Jones County received?
Jones County has received 16 major disaster declarations, representing 67% of all 24 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Jones County filed?
Jones County has 119 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $4.0M in payments, with an average of $33.3K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Jones County?
No. In Jones County, Hail has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Jones County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Jones County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1990 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Jones County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Jones County, Texas has an overall risk score of 37.9 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively High and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $8.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Jones County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Jones County is Hail (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively Moderate) and Wildfire (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hail here at an average of 5.5 times per year, drawn from 210 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Jones County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events