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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Shackelford County, TX

18 FEMA disaster declarations (1978-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Fire.

18
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
1
NRI risk · Very Low
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Shackelford County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 18 declarations, more than 37% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 14% below the Texas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 1%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 1%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
18
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
23
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48417 · Shackelford County 18 declarations · rank 1986/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 18
  • MAJOR-MID 56%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,986
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monroe
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-BELOW -14%

Nearest declaration peer: Monroe, TN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Shackelford County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Shackelford County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Shackelford County carries 18 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1986 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Shackelford County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Shackelford County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Shackelford County

18 37th percentile higher than 37% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Shackelford County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/1001.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Shackelford County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $774.6K Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Shackelford County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits at the very bottom of FEMA's National Risk Index nationally, a composite score of 1.4/100 (rated Very Low). Projected losses are minimal, Expected Annual Loss reads Very Low (roughly $2.4M in annualized losses), and the county's exposure is shaped by a Very Low social-vulnerability profile and Relatively High community resilience. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Wildfire, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 152 years here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 23 claims and $114.1K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Texas county averages 20.9 federal declaration records, while Shackelford County has 18. The gap is 14% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

56 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Shackelford County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
13/30

18 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

18 declarations (0.9x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

10 of 18 declarations are major disasters (56%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Shackelford County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Shackelford County

Shackelford County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 8. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 12 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 12 8-hazard mean
Shackelford County NRI risk profile FIPS 48417 · displayed-hazard mean 12/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

18

Below median

Major Disaster share

56%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

1

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Shackelford County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 152 years
Drought Relatively Low 95 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 6 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 6 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Very Low 11 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Very Low an average of 1.9 times per year
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 5.7 times per year
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 2,545 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 48 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 5
Severe Storm 4
Hurricane 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Drought 1
Flood 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Shackelford County's record, 28% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 10 55.6%

of all 18 declarations

Emergency - 7 38.9%

of all 18 declarations

Fire Management - 1 5.6%

of all 18 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 2
2020 2
2016 1
2011 2
2008 1
2007 1
2006 1
2005 3
1999 1
1998 1
1993 1
1990 1
1978 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 18 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 18 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4255 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-09
1999 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-07-01
2916 SNYDER FIRE FM Fire 2011-06-03
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1709 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-06-29
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
3113 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Drought 1993-09-10
863 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-05-02
561 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-08-03

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Shackelford County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

23

Total Paid

$114.1K

Avg Per Claim

$5.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 1.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$2.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Lightning Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

For Shackelford County the two measures on this page point the same way: Wildfire is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Low), and Fire declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Shackelford County's closest FEMA peer: Wythe County, VA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Shackelford County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Shackelford County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Shackelford County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 18 FEMA declarations, Shackelford County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Shackelford County?
The most common disaster type in Shackelford County is Fire, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (4), Hurricane (3), Severe Ice Storm (2).
How does Shackelford County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
The typical Texas county has 20.9 FEMA declaration records; Shackelford County has 18, or 14% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 13% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Shackelford County received?
Shackelford County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 56% of all 18 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Shackelford County filed?
Shackelford County has 23 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $114.1K in payments, with an average of $5.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Shackelford County?
No. In Shackelford County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $774.6K. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Shackelford County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Shackelford County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1978 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Shackelford County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Shackelford County, Texas has an overall risk score of 1.4 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very Low and community resilience is Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $2.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Shackelford County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Shackelford County is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively Low) and Hail (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 152 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Shackelford County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events