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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Stephens County, TX

23 FEMA disaster declarations (1978-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Fire.

23
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
9
NRI risk · Very Low
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Stephens County. Its 23 FEMA declarations are 10% above the Texas county mean and exceed the count for 62% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 9%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 9%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
23
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
68
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48429 · Stephens County 23 declarations · rank 1152/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 23
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 43%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,152
  • PHOTO-FINISH Roanoke
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +10%

Nearest declaration peer: Roanoke, VA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Stephens County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Stephens County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Stephens County carries 23 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1152 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Stephens County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Stephens County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Stephens County

23 Top 38% higher than 62% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Stephens County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/1009.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Stephens County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $2.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Stephens County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 68 paid claims, totaling $896.1K. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $13.2K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Stephens County's 23 federal records stand 10% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 9.2/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $4.6M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively Low) and community resilience (Very Low). Even the county's top-rated hazard, Wildfire, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 163 years here.

60 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Stephens County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

23 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.1x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

23 declarations (1.1x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
11/25

10 of 23 declarations are major disasters (43%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Stephens County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Stephens County

Stephens County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 17 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 17 8-hazard mean
Stephens County NRI risk profile FIPS 48429 · displayed-hazard mean 17/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

23

Above median

Major Disaster share

43%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

9

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Stephens County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 163 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 6.7 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 6 years
Drought Relatively Low 82 modeled event-days per year
Heat Wave Very Low 12 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.1 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 2,062 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 49 times per year
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 5.1 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 10
Flood 3
Hurricane 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Drought 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Stephens County's record, 43% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 10 43.5%

of all 23 declarations

Emergency - 7 30.4%

of all 23 declarations

Fire Management - 6 26.1%

of all 23 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 2
2020 2
2016 1
2011 4
2009 1
2008 1
2007 1
2006 3
2005 3
1999 1
1998 1
1993 1
1982 1
1978 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 23 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 23 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4272 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-06-11
1999 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-07-01
2893 HOHERTZ FIRE FM Fire 2011-04-16
2895 PK EAST FIRE FM Fire 2011-04-16
2888 PK WEST FIRE FM Fire 2011-04-15
2810 BRECKENRIDGE FIRE FM Fire 2009-04-10
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1709 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-06-29
2667 CADDO II FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2006-08-19
2620 CADDO FIRE FM Fire 2006-01-15
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
Show 3 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3113 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Drought 1993-09-10
648 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1981-10-23
561 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-08-03

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Stephens County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

68

Total Paid

$896.1K

Avg Per Claim

$13.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 9.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$4.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

For Stephens County the two measures on this page point the same way: Wildfire is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Low), and Fire declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Stephens County's closest FEMA peer: Cumberland County, NC

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Stephens County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Stephens County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Stephens County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Stephens County's NFIP claims file (68 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Stephens County?
The most common disaster type in Stephens County is Fire, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (3), Hurricane (3), Severe Ice Storm (2).
How does Stephens County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
FEMA lists 23 declaration records for Stephens County. That is 10% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. Its count is also 11% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Stephens County received?
Stephens County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 43% of all 23 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Stephens County filed?
Stephens County has 68 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $896.1K in payments, with an average of $13.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Stephens County?
No. In Stephens County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Stephens County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Stephens County was 2011, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1978 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Stephens County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Stephens County, Texas has an overall risk score of 9.2 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Low, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $4.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Stephens County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Stephens County as of the latest release is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Low) and Landslide (Very Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 163 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Stephens County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events