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Colorado · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Kit Carson County, CO

7 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2023), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Biological.

7
FEMA declarations
4
Major disasters
32
NRI risk · Very Low
Biological
Top hazard

The verdict

Start with the local benchmark for Kit Carson County: 7 FEMA declaration records are 31% below the Colorado county mean, even though the count is higher than 4% of counties in the national registry. On FEMA's distinct National Risk Index model, which combines expected loss with vulnerability and resilience, the county ranks safer than 32%.

Safer than 32%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
7
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
2
biological declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 08063 · Kit Carson County 7 declarations · rank 3121/3,266

DECL-LIGHT · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-MODERATE · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-LIGHT 7
  • MAJOR-MID 57%
  • RANK-LOWER #3,121
  • PHOTO-FINISH Clinton
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-MODERATE Moderate
  • TYPE-LEAD Biological
  • VS-ST-BELOW -31%

Nearest declaration peer: Clinton, IL (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Colorado state profile

Kit Carson County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Kit Carson County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Kit Carson County carries 7 FEMA declaration records, ranked 3121 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Kit Carson County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Kit Carson County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Kit Carson County

7 4th percentile higher than 4% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Kit Carson County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Colorado avg41/10032.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Colorado county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Kit Carson County is led by Cold Wave (about $3.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Hail carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Kit Carson County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 32.5/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $10.3M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively Low) and community resilience (Very Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Hail carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 6.9 times per year here, based on 262 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

Start with the state benchmark: a Colorado county averages 10.2 federal declaration records, while Kit Carson County has 7. The gap is 31% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

43 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Kit Carson County, CO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
5/30

7 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

7 declarations (0.7x state county average of 10)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

4 of 7 declarations are major disasters (57%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Kit Carson County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Kit Carson County

Kit Carson County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 16 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 16 8-hazard mean
Kit Carson County NRI risk profile FIPS 08063 · displayed-hazard mean 16/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

7

Low volume

Major Disaster share

57%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

32

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Kit Carson County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 6.9 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 15 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 5.7 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low an average of 2.3 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2.8 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 3,494 years
Drought Relatively Low 53 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 3,086 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 47 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 38 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.2 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Biological 2
Flood 1
Coastal Storm 1
Fire 1
Drought 1
Tornado 1

What Biological declarations mean here

Biological is the most frequent declaration type on Kit Carson County's record, 29% of its declarations. In practice this category is dominated by the COVID-19 declarations of 2020, which were issued across every US state and territory rather than in response to any local hazard event.

This has a direct consequence for how Kit Carson County's number should be read. Because those declarations reached essentially every county in the country, they raise every county's total by a similar amount and tell you nothing about local hazard exposure. A county whose record is led by Biological declarations is, in most cases, a county with a genuinely quiet weather-hazard history, the pandemic records are simply the largest thing in an otherwise short list.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 4 57.1%

of all 7 declarations

Emergency - 3 42.9%

of all 7 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2023 1
2020 2
2005 1
2002 1
1977 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 7 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 7 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4731 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Flood 2023-08-25
4498 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3436 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3224 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-05
1421 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2002-06-19
3025 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-01-29
200 TORNADOES, SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Tornado 1965-06-19

Storm Events in Colorado

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Kit Carson County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 4,913 0 100 $2.9B
Winter Weather 2,620 3 23 $22.5K
High Wind 1,992 5 6 $20.9M
Thunderstorm Wind 1,741 2 11 $5.4M
Winter Storm 1,497 0 0 $848.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 32.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$10.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hail Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hail

Hail is among the most expensive hazards in the model relative to how little it threatens life. It concentrates on roofs, vehicles and crops, and a single severe storm can generate an insurance loss across a metropolitan area without a single injury.

Worth noting for Kit Carson County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Hail carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Biological. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Kit Carson County's closest FEMA peer: Luna County, NM

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Kit Carson County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Kit Carson County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Kit Carson County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

FEMA's National Risk Index flags Hail as the top modeled exposure here (Relatively Moderate); the guide explains how that model differs from declaration counts.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Kit Carson County?
The most common disaster type in Kit Carson County is Biological, with 2 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (1), Coastal Storm (1), Fire (1).
How does Kit Carson County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Colorado average?
The typical Colorado county has 10.2 FEMA declaration records; Kit Carson County has 7, or 31% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 66% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Kit Carson County received?
Kit Carson County has received 4 major disaster declarations, representing 57% of all 7 disaster declarations.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Kit Carson County?
No. In Kit Carson County, Hail has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Cold Wave leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Kit Carson County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Kit Carson County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2023.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Kit Carson County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Kit Carson County, Colorado has an overall risk score of 32.5 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Low, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $10.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Kit Carson County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Kit Carson County as of the latest release is Hail (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate) and Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hail here at an average of 6.9 times per year, drawn from 262 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Kit Carson County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Colorado profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events