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Florida · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lake County, FL

37 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

37
FEMA declarations
22
Major disasters
92
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Lake County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 37 declarations, more than 95% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 8% below the Florida county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 8%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 8%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
37
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
470
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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How does Lake County compare?

Lake County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

37 Top 5% higher than 95% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Lake County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Florida county average

0/100100/100Florida avg76/10091.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Florida county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Lake County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $46.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Lake County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 470 paid claims, totaling $7.3M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $15.5K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Florida county averages 40.4 federal declaration records, while Lake County has 37. The gap is 8% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 91.9/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $102.3M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.2 times per year here, based on 47 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Lake County's 37 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Florida, however, the count is 8% below the county mean. 22 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Hurricane, appearing 17 times. The full 48-year record averages 0.8 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

71 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Lake County, FL · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
27/30

37 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

37 declarations (0.9x state county average of 40)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

22 of 37 declarations are major disasters (59%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Lake County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Florida Avg

-8%

State avg: 40.4

vs. National Avg

+79%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.8

Over 48 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lake County

Lake County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 70, Tornado 70, Wildfire 48, Drought 25, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 45 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 45 8-hazard mean
Lake County NRI risk profile FIPS 12069 · displayed-hazard mean 45/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

37

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

59%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

92

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lake County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Very High an average of 1.2 times per year
Lightning Very High an average of 92 times per year
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 164 years
Hurricane Relatively High roughly once every 4 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate roughly once every 4 years
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 1.9 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 8 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 4.1 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 2,105 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.5 times per year
Coastal Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Drought Relatively Low 16 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 17
Severe Storm 5
Freezing 5
Tropical Storm 4
Fire 3
Biological 2
Tornado 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Lake County's federal record, 46% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 22 59.5%

of all 37 declarations

Emergency - 13 35.1%

of all 37 declarations

Fire Management - 2 5.4%

of all 37 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 2
2024 2
2023 4
2022 2
2021 1
2020 2
2019 1
2017 4
2008 2
2007 2
2005 1
2004 4
2001 1
2000 2
1998 2
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1990 1
1985 1
1984 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 37 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 37 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4834 HURRICANE MILTON DR Hurricane 2024-10-11
3622 HURRICANE MILTON EM Hurricane 2024-10-07
4806 HURRICANE DEBBY DR Tropical Storm 2024-08-10
3605 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY EM Tropical Storm 2024-08-03
4734 HURRICANE IDALIA DR Hurricane 2023-08-31
3596 TROPICAL STORM IDALIA EM Tropical Storm 2023-08-28
4680 HURRICANE NICOLE DR Hurricane 2022-12-13
3587 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE EM Tropical Storm 2022-11-08
4673 HURRICANE IAN DR Hurricane 2022-09-29
3584 TROPICAL STORM IAN EM Hurricane 2022-09-24
3561 TROPICAL STORM ELSA EM Severe Storm 2021-07-04
4486 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3432 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3419 HURRICANE DORIAN EM Hurricane 2019-08-30
4337 HURRICANE IRMA DR Hurricane 2017-09-10
3385 HURRICANE IRMA EM Hurricane 2017-09-05
4283 HURRICANE MATTHEW DR Hurricane 2016-10-08
3377 HURRICANE MATTHEW EM Hurricane 2016-10-06
1785 TROPICAL STORM FAY DR Severe Storm 2008-08-24
3288 TROPICAL STORM FAY EM Severe Storm 2008-08-21
Show 17 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
2687 DELAND FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2007-05-02
1679 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2007-02-03
3220 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1561 HURRICANE JEANNE DR Hurricane 2004-09-26
1551 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-16
1545 HURRICANE FRANCES DR Hurricane 2004-09-04
1539 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE AND HURRICANE CHARLEY DR Hurricane 2004-08-13
1359 SEVERE FREEZE DR Freezing 2001-02-05
2299 WITHLACOOCHEE FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2000-05-19
3150 TROPICAL STORM IRENE - FLORIDA EM Hurricane 1999-10-15
1223 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD DR Fire 1998-06-18
1195 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-01-06
982 TORNADOES, FLOODING, HIGH WINDS & TIDES, FREEZING DR Tornado 1993-03-13
851 SEVERE FREEZE DR Freezing 1990-01-15
732 SEVERE FREEZE DR Freezing 1985-03-18
698 FREEZING TEMPERATURES DR Freezing 1984-03-29
526 SEVERE WINTER WEATHER DR Freezing 1977-01-31

Storm Events in Florida

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lake County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 5,243 17 45 $24.8M
Hail 1,012 0 0 $564.6K
Heavy Rain 865 2 3 $200.0K
Flood 826 9 0 $2.0B
Tropical Storm 767 92 6 $4.9B

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

470

Total Paid

$7.3M

Avg Per Claim

$15.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 91.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$102.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Very High
Lightning Very High
Tornado Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Coastal Flooding Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Winter Weather No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

Worth noting for Lake County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Strong Wind carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lake County's closest FEMA peer: Ulster County, NY

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lake County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lake County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Lake County's NFIP claims file (470 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lake County?
The most common disaster type in Lake County is Hurricane, with 17 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (5), Freezing (5), Tropical Storm (4).
How does Lake County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Florida average?
The typical Florida county has 40.4 FEMA declaration records; Lake County has 37, or 8% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 79% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lake County received?
Lake County has received 22 major disaster declarations, representing 59% of all 37 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lake County filed?
Lake County has 470 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $7.3M in payments, with an average of $15.5K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Lake County?
No. In Lake County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $46.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lake County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lake County was 2004, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lake County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lake County, Florida has an overall risk score of 91.9 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Moderate; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $102.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lake County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Lake County as of the latest release is Strong Wind (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Lightning (Very High) and Tornado (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 1.2 times per year, drawn from 47 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Lake County

Against a Florida county mean of 40 declarations, Lake County, FL records 37, or 8% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (22 of 37) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Florida overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 95% of recorded county totals, but its own Florida benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.