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Florida · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Orange County, FL

39 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

39
FEMA declarations
21
Major disasters
98
NRI risk · Relatively High
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Orange County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 39 declarations, more than 96% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 3% below the Florida county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 2%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 2%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
39
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
2,271
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 12095 · Orange County 39 declarations · rank 115/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-HIGH · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 39
  • MAJOR-MID 54%
  • RANK-UPPER #115
  • PHOTO-FINISH Canadian
  • NRI-HIGH 98
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -3%

Nearest declaration peer: Canadian, OK (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Florida state profile

Orange County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Orange County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Orange County carries 39 FEMA declaration records, ranked 115 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Orange County ranks in the national declaration registry

Orange County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Orange County

39 Top 4% higher than 96% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Orange County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Florida avg76/10098.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Florida county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Orange County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $181.8M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Orange County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 2,271 claims and $73.0M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $32.1K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

Start with the state benchmark: a Florida county averages 40.4 federal declaration records, while Orange County has 39. The gap is 3% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 98.4/100 (Relatively High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively High (roughly $417.7M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.1 times per year here, based on 40 historical events on record.

71 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Orange County, FL · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
28/30

39 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

39 declarations (1.0x state county average of 40)

Major Disaster Share High
13/25

21 of 39 declarations are major disasters (54%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Orange County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Orange County

Orange County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 70, Hurricane 70, Tornado 92, Wildfire 48, Drought 25, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 59 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 59 8-hazard mean
Orange County NRI risk profile FIPS 12095 · displayed-hazard mean 59/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

39

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

54%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

98

Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Orange County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Very High an average of 1.1 times per year
Lightning Very High an average of 88 times per year
Cold Wave Very High an average of 3.9 times per year
Tornado Very High roughly once every 1 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively High roughly once every 3 years
Hail Relatively High an average of 2.2 times per year
Hurricane Relatively High roughly once every 4 years
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 112 years
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 2 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 2,469 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 10 years
Drought Relatively Low 15 modeled event-days per year
Coastal Flooding No Rating roughly once every 100 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 19
Fire 5
Freezing 5
Tropical Storm 4
Severe Storm 3
Biological 2
Flood 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Orange County's federal record, 49% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 21 53.8%

of all 39 declarations

Emergency - 15 38.5%

of all 39 declarations

Fire Management - 3 7.7%

of all 39 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 2
2024 2
2023 4
2022 2
2020 3
2019 1
2017 4
2008 2
2005 1
2004 4
2001 2
2000 3
1999 2
1998 2
1994 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1990 1
1985 1
1984 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 39 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 39 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4834 HURRICANE MILTON DR Hurricane 2024-10-11
3622 HURRICANE MILTON EM Hurricane 2024-10-07
4806 HURRICANE DEBBY DR Tropical Storm 2024-08-10
3605 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY EM Tropical Storm 2024-08-03
4734 HURRICANE IDALIA DR Hurricane 2023-08-31
3596 TROPICAL STORM IDALIA EM Tropical Storm 2023-08-28
4680 HURRICANE NICOLE DR Hurricane 2022-12-13
3587 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE EM Tropical Storm 2022-11-08
4673 HURRICANE IAN DR Hurricane 2022-09-29
3584 TROPICAL STORM IAN EM Hurricane 2022-09-24
3533 HURRICANE ISAIAS EM Hurricane 2020-08-01
4486 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3432 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3419 HURRICANE DORIAN EM Hurricane 2019-08-30
4337 HURRICANE IRMA DR Hurricane 2017-09-10
3385 HURRICANE IRMA EM Hurricane 2017-09-05
4283 HURRICANE MATTHEW DR Hurricane 2016-10-08
3377 HURRICANE MATTHEW EM Hurricane 2016-10-06
1785 TROPICAL STORM FAY DR Severe Storm 2008-08-24
3288 TROPICAL STORM FAY EM Severe Storm 2008-08-21
Show 19 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3220 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1561 HURRICANE JEANNE DR Hurricane 2004-09-26
1551 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-16
1545 HURRICANE FRANCES DR Hurricane 2004-09-04
1539 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE AND HURRICANE CHARLEY DR Hurricane 2004-08-13
2357 FL - ORLANDO COMPLEX FIRE FM Fire 2001-04-17
1359 SEVERE FREEZE DR Freezing 2001-02-05
2301 FL, ORLANDO DISTRICT FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2000-05-28
1306 FL-HURRICANE IRENE-DR-REQ DR Hurricane 1999-10-20
3150 TROPICAL STORM IRENE - FLORIDA EM Hurricane 1999-10-15
3139 FL-FIRES 04/15/99 EM Fire 1999-04-27
2253 FL-FIRES 04/13/99 FM Fire 1999-04-15
1223 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD DR Fire 1998-06-18
1195 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-01-06
3114 TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO EM Flood 1994-07-08
851 SEVERE FREEZE DR Freezing 1990-01-15
732 SEVERE FREEZE DR Freezing 1985-03-18
698 FREEZING TEMPERATURES DR Freezing 1984-03-29
526 SEVERE WINTER WEATHER DR Freezing 1977-01-31

Storm Events in Florida

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Orange County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 5,243 17 45 $24.8M
Hail 1,012 0 0 $564.6K
Heavy Rain 865 2 3 $200.0K
Flood 826 9 0 $2.0B
Tropical Storm 767 92 6 $4.9B

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

2,271

Total Paid

$73.0M

Avg Per Claim

$32.1K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively High

Score: 98.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively High

$417.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Very High
Lightning Very High
Cold Wave Very High
Tornado Very High
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Hail Relatively High
Hurricane Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Coastal Flooding No Rating
Winter Weather No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

Worth noting for Orange County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Strong Wind carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Orange County's closest FEMA peer: Butte County, CA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Orange County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Orange County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Orange County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Orange County's NFIP claims file (2,271 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Orange County?
The most common disaster type in Orange County is Hurricane, with 19 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (5), Freezing (5), Tropical Storm (4).
How does Orange County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Florida average?
The typical Florida county has 40.4 FEMA declaration records; Orange County has 39, or 3% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 88% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Orange County received?
Orange County has received 21 major disaster declarations, representing 54% of all 39 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Orange County filed?
Orange County has 2,271 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $73.0M in payments, with an average of $32.1K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Orange County?
No. In Orange County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $181.8M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Orange County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Orange County was 2004, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Orange County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Orange County, Florida has an overall risk score of 98.4 out of 100 (Relatively High). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively High, representing $417.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Orange County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Orange County is Strong Wind (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Lightning (Very High) and Cold Wave (Very High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 1.1 times per year, drawn from 40 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Orange County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Florida profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events