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Arkansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lee County, AR

18 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

18
FEMA declarations
12
Major disasters
40
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Lee County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 18 declarations, more than 37% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 26% below the Arkansas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 40%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 40%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
18
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
59
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 05077 · Lee County 18 declarations · rank 1960/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 18
  • MAJOR-MID 67%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,960
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monroe
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -26%

Nearest declaration peer: Monroe, TN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Arkansas state profile

Lee County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Lee County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Lee County carries 18 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1960 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Lee County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Lee County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Lee County

18 37th percentile higher than 37% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Lee County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Arkansas avg56/10040.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

What does Lee County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 59 paid claims, totaling $1.3M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $21.7K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Arkansas county averages 24.2 federal declaration records, while Lee County has 18. The gap is 26% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 40.4/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $7.2M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Very Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Earthquake carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 160 years here.

57 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Lee County, AR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
13/30

18 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

18 declarations (0.7x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

12 of 18 declarations are major disasters (67%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Lee County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lee County

Lee County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
Lee County NRI risk profile FIPS 05077 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

18

Below median

Major Disaster share

67%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

40

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lee County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 160 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 23 modeled event-days per year
Drought Relatively Low 8.7 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 55 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 1.6 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.8 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Lightning Very Low an average of 60 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 4.9 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 3,933 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 6
Flood 4
Hurricane 2
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Winter Storm 1
Snowstorm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Lee County's record, 33% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 12 66.7%

of all 18 declarations

Emergency - 6 33.3%

of all 18 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2020 3
2016 1
2011 1
2009 1
2008 1
2005 1
2001 2
1997 1
1994 1
1991 1
1988 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 18 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 18 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3636 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4873 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2025-05-21
3627 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-05
3541 HURRICANE LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-27
4518 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3461 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4254 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-05
1975 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-02
1845 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-16
1751 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-26
3215 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1354 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-29
3159 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-28
1162 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1997-03-02
1011 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Snowstorm 1994-02-28
907 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1991-05-30
807 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1987-12-31
375 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-04-27

Storm Events in Arkansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lee County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,657 10 23 $60.9M
Hail 2,230 0 0 $7.7M
Flash Flood 1,517 12 3 $15.9M
Heat 1,222 2 325 $0
Flood 1,152 9 0 $40.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

59

Total Paid

$1.3M

Avg Per Claim

$21.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 40.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$7.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Lee County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lee County's closest FEMA peer: St. Mary's County, MD

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lee County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lee County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Lee County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Lee County's NFIP claims file (59 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lee County?
The most common disaster type in Lee County is Severe Storm, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Hurricane (2), Biological (2).
How does Lee County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arkansas average?
The typical Arkansas county has 24.2 FEMA declaration records; Lee County has 18, or 26% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 13% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lee County received?
Lee County has received 12 major disaster declarations, representing 67% of all 18 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lee County filed?
Lee County has 59 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.3M in payments, with an average of $21.7K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lee County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lee County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lee County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lee County, Arkansas has an overall risk score of 40.4 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $7.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lee County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Lee County as of the latest release is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively Moderate) and Tornado (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 160 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Lee County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Arkansas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events