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Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Loudoun County, VA

16 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

16
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
78
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Loudoun County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 16 declarations, more than 27% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 22% below the Virginia county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 22%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 22%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
16
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
168
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 51107 · Loudoun County 16 declarations · rank 2354/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 16
  • MAJOR-MID 63%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,354
  • PHOTO-FINISH Greene
  • NRI-LOW 78
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -22%

Nearest declaration peer: Greene, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Virginia state profile

Loudoun County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Loudoun County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Loudoun County carries 16 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2354 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Loudoun County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Loudoun County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Loudoun County

16 27th percentile higher than 27% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Loudoun County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Virginia avg33/10078.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Loudoun County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $37.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Heat Wave carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Loudoun County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 168 paid claims, totaling $2.0M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $12.2K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Virginia county averages 20.4 federal declaration records, while Loudoun County has 16. The gap is 22% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 78.1/100 (Relatively Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $60.7M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very Low and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Heat Wave carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 4.5 modeled event-days per year here, based on 76 historical events on record.

53 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Loudoun County, VA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

16 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

16 declarations (0.8x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

10 of 16 declarations are major disasters (63%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Loudoun County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Loudoun County

Loudoun County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 25, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 40 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 40 8-hazard mean
Loudoun County NRI risk profile FIPS 51107 · displayed-hazard mean 40/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

16

Below median

Major Disaster share

63%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

78

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Loudoun County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 4.5 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 12 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 38 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 7.7 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 3 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 11 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 806 years
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 3.9 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 4.1 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 3,122 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 5
Snowstorm 4
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Flood 2
Winter Storm 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Loudoun County's federal record, 31% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 10 62.5%

of all 16 declarations

Emergency - 6 37.5%

of all 16 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2020 2
2018 1
2016 1
2013 2
2010 1
2005 1
2003 2
2000 1
1996 2
1993 1
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 16 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 16 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4512 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3448 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3403 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-11
4262 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2016-03-07
4092 HURRICANE SANDY DR Hurricane 2012-11-26
3359 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
1905 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND SNOWSTORMS DR Snowstorm 2010-04-27
3240 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
1491 HURRICANE ISABEL DR Hurricane 2003-09-18
1458 SEVERE WINTER STORM, RECORD/NEAR RECORD SNOWFALL, HEAVY RAIN,FLOODIND, AND MUDSLIDE DR Severe Storm 2003-03-27
1318 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2000-02-28
1098 FLOODING, HIGH WINDS, AND WIND DRIVEN RAIN DR Flood 1996-01-27
1086 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
3112 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-25
339 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23

Storm Events in Virginia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Loudoun County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,940 13 31 $123.1M
Flood 2,300 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,049 6 32 $902.0K
Flash Flood 1,942 13 4 $244.2M
Heavy Rain 1,566 0 0 $2.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

168

Total Paid

$2.0M

Avg Per Claim

$12.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 78.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$60.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Heat Wave

Heat Wave is measured in event-days per year rather than discrete events, and it is the hazard whose harm is most consistently undercounted: its toll is health and mortality, concentrated among people without cooling, rather than visible damage to property.

Worth noting for Loudoun County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Heat Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Loudoun County's closest FEMA peer: Osage County, OK

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Loudoun County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Loudoun County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Loudoun County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Loudoun County's NFIP claims file (168 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Loudoun County?
The most common disaster type in Loudoun County is Hurricane, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (4), Biological (2), Severe Storm (2).
How does Loudoun County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Virginia average?
The typical Virginia county has 20.4 FEMA declaration records; Loudoun County has 16, or 22% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 23% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Loudoun County received?
Loudoun County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 63% of all 16 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Loudoun County filed?
Loudoun County has 168 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.0M in payments, with an average of $12.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Loudoun County?
No. In Loudoun County, Heat Wave has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $37.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Loudoun County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Loudoun County was 1996, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Loudoun County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Loudoun County, Virginia has an overall risk score of 78.1 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very Low, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $60.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Loudoun County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Loudoun County as of the latest release is Heat Wave (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively High) and Lightning (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts heat wave here at 4.5 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 76 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Loudoun County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Virginia profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events