Prince William County, Virginia
County storm and disaster record · FIPS 51153 · population 481,359 · 335 sq mi
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 1,183 records for Prince William County, Virginia from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 746 days; the most frequent are severe thunderstorm wind events (342 records). The deadliest single record is the January 26, 1978 tornado: 1 death and 10 injuries. FEMA has issued 20 declarations naming the county since 1972, 18 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storm” on January 23, 2026.
The record, 1950 to 2026
Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).
- recorded, no damage figure
- under $100,000
- $100,000 or more
- $1 million or more
- $10 million or more, or a death
- $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
- a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
- a year with a death
- 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
- 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
- Storm records
- 1,183on 746 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
- Deaths recorded
- 427 injuries
- Damage, 2025 dollars
- $49Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
- Tornadoes
- 15strongest F3
- FEMA declarations
- 20latest 2026
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.
What hazards hit Prince William County most?
The most frequent records are severe thunderstorm wind events: 342 since 1975. 48% of its severe thunderstorm wind events since 1975 fell in June and July. The rank column places the county among Virginia's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.
| Hazard | Records | Days | First, last | Killed | Injured | Damage | Rank in state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 342 | 200 | 1975-2026 | 1 | 4 | $9.9M | 6 of 96 |
| Floods | 272 | 112 | 1996-2025 | 0 | 0 | $853K | 4 of 96 |
| Winter storms | 172 | 159 | 1996-2026 | 1 | 0 | $99K | 13 of 96 |
| Fog, smoke and funnel clouds | 88 | 87 | 2001-2022 | 0 | 0 | – | 7 of 96 |
| Hail | 86 | 50 | 1978-2026 | 0 | 0 | $3.6M | 16 of 96 |
| Heat | 75 | 73 | 1996-2025 | 1 | 8 | – | 3 of 96 |
| Extreme cold | 56 | 50 | 1997-2026 | 0 | 0 | $138K | 10 of 96 |
| High wind and dust storms | 34 | 34 | 1996-2023 | 0 | 0 | $638K | 18 of 96 |
| Heavy rain | 17 | 17 | 1996-2005 | 0 | 0 | $2K | 40 of 96 |
| Tornadoes | 15 | 11 | 1978-2015 | 1 | 10 | $9.4M | 23 of 96 |
| Drought | 12 | 12 | 1997-2007 | 0 | 0 | – | 25 of 96 |
| Lightning | 8 | 8 | 1996-2019 | 0 | 5 | $215K | 15 of 96 |
| Hurricanes and tropical storms | 6 | 6 | 1996-2020 | 0 | 0 | $24M | 15 of 96 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.
How many tornadoes has Prince William County had?
NOAA records 15 tornadoes in Prince William County from 1978 to 2015, the strongest rated F3, with 1 death and 10 injuries recorded in the county. That is 23rd of 96 Virginia counties by days with tornadoes per 1,000 square miles since 1950. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.
Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 14 tornadoes whose track touched Prince William County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 15: they file a crossing tornado once per county segment, and the two databases differ on some tracks); along their whole tracks they killed 1 person.
| Date | Tornado | Rating | Path | Killed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1978-01-26 01:10, as SPC files it | Quantico | F3 | 0.7 mi | 1 |
Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Virginia.
Every tornado record filed for Prince William County (15)
| Date | Place | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-06-20 | Bristow, Prince William County | EF0 2.08 mi x 100 yd | 0 | 0 | $62K |
| 2011-10-13 | Triangle, Prince William County | EF0 1.57 mi x 75 yd | 0 | 0 | $7K |
| 2011-10-13 | Brown Field, Prince William County | EF0 0.71 mi x 75 yd | 0 | 0 | $7K |
| 2011-04-27 | Nokesville, Prince William County | EF1 5.78 mi x 125 yd | 0 | 0 | $20K |
| 2011-04-27 | Brown Field, Prince William County | EF0 2.7 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2008-07-23 | Wellington, Prince William County | EF0 1.41 mi x 30 yd | 0 | 0 | $69K |
| 2004-09-17 | Yorkshire, Prince William County | F1 1.8 mi x 75 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2004-09-17 | Yorkshire, Prince William County | F1 0.3 mi x 75 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2004-09-17 | Dale City, Prince William County | F2 4 mi x 250 yd | 0 | 0 | $1.6M |
| 2004-09-08 | Triangle, Prince William County | F0 0.5 mi x 75 yd | 0 | 0 | $39K |
| 2001-09-24 | Joplin, Prince William County | F0 6.5 mi x 75 yd | 0 | 0 | $2K |
| 2001-05-22 | Dale City, Prince William County | F0 1 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $2K |
| 1995-10-14 | Dale City, Prince William County | F0 0.75 mi x 40 yd | 0 | 0 | $19K |
| 1987-07-21 | Prince William County | F0 0.2 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $2.5M step |
| 1978-01-26 | Prince William County | F3 0.7 mi x 250 yd | 1 | 10 | $250K step |
A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.
When was the last damaging storm in Prince William County?
The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the June 22, 2026 thunderstorm wind ($25,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Thunderstorm WindWoodbridge, Prince William County | 56 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $25K |
| 2026-06-22 | Thunderstorm WindBethel, Prince William County | 56 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $20K |
| 2026-06-22 | Thunderstorm WindAden, Prince William County | 56 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $10K |
| 2026-06-12 | Thunderstorm WindHaymarket, Prince William County | 52 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $5K |
| 2026-06-12 | Thunderstorm WindWest Gate Of Lomond, Prince William County | 52 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $1K |
| 2026-06-12 | HailWaterfall, Prince William County | 1.00 in hail | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-06-12 | HailThoroughfare, Prince William County | 0.75 in hail | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-06-11 | Thunderstorm WindMcAs Quantico, Prince William County | 51 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-06-11 | Thunderstorm WindAntioch, Prince William County | 52 kt wind | 0 | 1 | – |
| 2026-05-27 | HailGainesville, Prince William County | 1.00 in hail | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-04-01 | HailWest Gate Of Lomond, Prince William County | 1.00 in hail | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-03-16 | Thunderstorm WindMcAs Quantico, Prince William County | 54 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.
The deadliest and costliest records
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1978-01-26 | TornadoPrince William County | F3 0.7 mi x 250 yd | 1 | 10 | $250K step |
| 2023-07-29 | Thunderstorm WindMinnieville, Prince William County Trees blew down around Montclair, including one onto a residence in the 15000 block of Holly Hill Drive killing the resident inside. | 52 kt wind | 1 | 0 | $242K |
| 2019-01-29 | Winter WeatherPrince William County · forecast zone Prince William Snowfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches were observed across Prince William County, with 2.5 inches reported near Sudley. An indirect fatality occurred when a 22-year old man from Woodbridge, VA was killed in a single-vehicle crash on Sowego Road. Snow caused many roads across Prince William County to become slick and ... | 1 | 0 | – | |
| 2005-07-18 | HeatPrince William County · forecast zone Prince William A 60-year old man was killed due to excessive heat. The individual was a construction worker and was working on a paving project. | 1 | 0 | – | |
| 1997-08-16 | HeatPrince William County · forecast zone Prince William West winds circulating around a "Bermuda" high pressure system allowed temperatures to soar over the weekend of the 16th and 17th. Maximum temperatures surpassed the century mark across most of northern Virginia (except in the higher elevations) both days. Heat index values ranged from 105 to 110 each day, but aside ... | 0 | 8 | – | |
| 2019-06-02 | LightningNeabsco, Prince William County During a severe thunderstorm at Leesylvania State Park in Prince William County, Virginia, a group of individuals sought shelter under a picnic pavilion. That structure was struck by lightning. One person took a direct lightning strike; 4 others were struck by debris from the pavilion. | 0 | 5 | – | |
| 2026-06-11 | Thunderstorm WindAntioch, Prince William County A thunderstorm wind gust blew a person in an inflatable kayak out into Silver Lake. They were rescued in critical condition. | 52 kt wind | 0 | 1 | – |
| 2010-06-03 | Thunderstorm WindBuckhall, Prince William County A tree was down on a house along Split Rail Drive. A boy was injured from the damage. Additional trees were reported east through Woodbridge. | 57 kt wind | 0 | 1 | $27K |
A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-09-18 | Tropical StormPrince William County · forecast zone Prince William / Manassas | 0 | 0 | $23M | |
| 2023-07-29 | Thunderstorm WindWest Gate Of Lomond, Prince William County | 61 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $2.9M |
| 2002-08-03 | Thunderstorm WindManassas Airport, Prince William County | 58 kt wind | 0 | 1 | $2.5M |
| 2004-09-17 | TornadoDale City, Prince William County | F2 4 mi x 250 yd | 0 | 0 | $1.6M |
| 2022-05-16 | Thunderstorm WindAgnewville, Prince William County | 65 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $1.0M |
| 1996-09-06 | Flash FloodNw Portion, Prince William County | 0 | 0 | $414K | |
| 2023-07-29 | Thunderstorm WindMinnieville, Prince William County | 52 kt wind | 1 | 0 | $242K |
| 1996-05-04 | Thunderstorm WindDale City, Prince William County | 0 | 1 | $141K |
Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $2.5M, in the dollars of the day) holds: July 21, 1987 (tornado, Prince William County).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.
Is it getting more frequent?
Records per decade for Prince William County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).
| Hazard | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 42 | 157 | 91 |
| Floods | – | – | – | – | 7 | 31 | 153 | 81 |
| Winter storms | – | – | – | – | 20 | 40 | 71 | 41 |
| Fog, smoke and funnel clouds | – | – | – | – | 0 | 25 | 45 | 18 |
| Hail | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 24 | 33 | 7 |
| Heat | – | – | – | – | 8 | 19 | 36 | 12 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).
What time of year?
48% of its severe thunderstorm wind events since 1975 fell in June and July. The two busiest months are in violet.
The values, month by month
Jan 117 · Feb 85 · Mar 59 · Apr 75 · May 149 · Jun 163 · Jul 163 · Aug 148 · Sep 59 · Oct 45 · Nov 32 · Dec 88 (records).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.
Federal disaster declarations for Prince William County
FEMA's register lists 20 declarations that include Prince William County: 13 major disasters, 7 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for hurricane (6) and snowstorm (5).
| Declared | Number | Type | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | EM-3631 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020-04-02 | DR-4512 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020-03-13 | EM-3448 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2018-09-11 | EM-3403 | Hurricane | Hurricane Florence |
| 2016-03-07 | DR-4262 | Snowstorm | Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm |
| 2012-11-26 | DR-4092 | Hurricane | Hurricane Sandy |
| 2012-10-29 | EM-3359 | Hurricane | Hurricane Sandy |
| 2011-11-17 | DR-4045 | Severe Storm | The Remnants of Tropical Storm Lee |
| 2010-04-27 | DR-1905 | Snowstorm | Severe Winter Storms and Snowstorms |
| 2010-02-16 | DR-1874 | Snowstorm | Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm |
| 2005-09-12 | EM-3240 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2003-09-18 | DR-1491 | Hurricane | Hurricane Isabel |
| 2003-03-27 | DR-1458 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm, Record/Near Record Snowfall, Heavy Rain,Floodind, and Mudslide |
| 2000-02-28 | DR-1318 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 1996-09-06 | DR-1135 | Hurricane | Hurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm Cond |
| 1996-01-13 | DR-1086 | Snowstorm | Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm) |
| 1993-03-25 | EM-3112 | Snowstorm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 1977-07-23 | EM-3046 | Drought | Drought |
| 1977-01-26 | DR-525 | Freezing | Ice Conditions |
| 1972-06-23 | DR-339 | Flood | Tropical Storm Agnes |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.
How many floods has Prince William County had?
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 272 flood or flash flood records for Prince William County from 1996 to 2025, on 112 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Prince William County ranks 518th of 2,942 U.S. counties.
| Storm | Began | Records | Deaths in the county |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricane Isabel | 2003-09-18 | 1 | 0 |
| Hurricane Fran | 1996-09-06 | 2 | 0 |
The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $5.8 million on 485 claims filed in Prince William County; the most in one year was 58 in 2011. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.
The values, year by year
1978: 10 · 1979: 17 · 1981: 2 · 1982: 4 · 1983: 3 · 1984: 5 · 1985: 6 · 1986: 24 · 1987: 1 · 1989: 14 · 1990: 2 · 1992: 3 · 1993: 13 · 1994: 3 · 1995: 3 · 1996: 27 · 1997: 1 · 1998: 2 · 1999: 5 · 2000: 2 · 2002: 6 · 2003: 28 · 2004: 2 · 2005: 6 · 2006: 26 · 2007: 2 · 2008: 37 · 2009: 7 · 2010: 7 · 2011: 58 · 2012: 10 · 2013: 7 · 2014: 31 · 2015: 10 · 2016: 7 · 2017: 12 · 2018: 32 · 2019: 8 · 2020: 27 · 2021: 4 · 2022: 2 · 2024: 3 · 2025: 4 · 2026: 2; the other years: 0.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.
FEMA's modeled risk for Prince William County
FEMA's National Risk Index rates Prince William County Relatively Moderate overall, with an expected annual loss of $69.0 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.
| Hazard | Risk rating | Expected annual loss | Modeled frequency |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lightning | Relatively High | $1.8M | 41 a year (modeled) |
| Winter Weather | Relatively High | $597K | 9.5 a year (modeled) |
| Strong Wind | Relatively High | $2.6M | 7.1 a year (modeled) |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | $6.3M | 5.7 modeled event-days a year |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively Moderate | $45M | 3.4 a year (modeled) |
| Hurricane | Relatively Moderate | $4.2M | once in about 12 years (modeled) |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | $1.0M | 3.8 a year (modeled) |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | $4.6M | once in about 4 years (modeled) |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
Counties that share a border with Prince William County
Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.
Next
- Tornadoes in VirginiaEvery Virginia tornado since 1950 and the counties with the most per square mile
- Severe thunderstorm wind in VirginiaThe state's severe thunderstorm wind events, by county, year and month
- The Virginia recordEvery hazard in the state, its deadliest events and its federal declarations
- FEMA's risk rating for each hazard in Prince William CountyThe hazard risk calculator: 18 hazards beside the county's record
- Download Prince William County's FEMA declarations (CSV)20 rows: every declaration that named the county, for your own analysis