Prince William County, Virginia

County storm and disaster record · FIPS 51153 · population 481,359 · 335 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 1,183 records for Prince William County, Virginia from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 746 days; the most frequent are severe thunderstorm wind events (342 records). The deadliest single record is the January 26, 1978 tornado: 1 death and 10 injuries. FEMA has issued 20 declarations naming the county since 1972, 18 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storm” on January 23, 2026.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
1,183on 746 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
427 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$49Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
Tornadoes
15strongest F3
FEMA declarations
20latest 2026

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Prince William County most?

The most frequent records are severe thunderstorm wind events: 342 since 1975. 48% of its severe thunderstorm wind events since 1975 fell in June and July. The rank column places the county among Virginia's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.

Prince William County: records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
Severe thunderstorm wind 342 200 1975-2026 1 4 $9.9M 6 of 96
Floods 272 112 1996-2025 0 0 $853K 4 of 96
Winter storms 172 159 1996-2026 1 0 $99K 13 of 96
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds 88 87 2001-2022 0 0 – 7 of 96
Hail 86 50 1978-2026 0 0 $3.6M 16 of 96
Heat 75 73 1996-2025 1 8 – 3 of 96
Extreme cold 56 50 1997-2026 0 0 $138K 10 of 96
High wind and dust storms 34 34 1996-2023 0 0 $638K 18 of 96
Heavy rain 17 17 1996-2005 0 0 $2K 40 of 96
Tornadoes 15 11 1978-2015 1 10 $9.4M 23 of 96
Drought 12 12 1997-2007 0 0 – 25 of 96
Lightning 8 8 1996-2019 0 5 $215K 15 of 96
Hurricanes and tropical storms 6 6 1996-2020 0 0 $24M 15 of 96

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

How many tornadoes has Prince William County had?

NOAA records 15 tornadoes in Prince William County from 1978 to 2015, the strongest rated F3, with 1 death and 10 injuries recorded in the county. That is 23rd of 96 Virginia counties by days with tornadoes per 1,000 square miles since 1950. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.

Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 14 tornadoes whose track touched Prince William County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 15: they file a crossing tornado once per county segment, and the two databases differ on some tracks); along their whole tracks they killed 1 person.

The deadliest and strongest tornadoes that touched Prince William County, whole tracks
DateTornadoRatingPathKilled
1978-01-26 01:10, as SPC files itQuanticoF30.7 mi1

Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Virginia.

Every tornado record filed for Prince William County (15)
Every tornado recorded in Prince William County, newest first
DatePlaceCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2015-06-20 Bristow, Prince William County EF0 2.08 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $62K
2011-10-13 Triangle, Prince William County EF0 1.57 mi x 75 yd 0 0 $7K
2011-10-13 Brown Field, Prince William County EF0 0.71 mi x 75 yd 0 0 $7K
2011-04-27 Nokesville, Prince William County EF1 5.78 mi x 125 yd 0 0 $20K
2011-04-27 Brown Field, Prince William County EF0 2.7 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
2008-07-23 Wellington, Prince William County EF0 1.41 mi x 30 yd 0 0 $69K
2004-09-17 Yorkshire, Prince William County F1 1.8 mi x 75 yd 0 0 –
2004-09-17 Yorkshire, Prince William County F1 0.3 mi x 75 yd 0 0 –
2004-09-17 Dale City, Prince William County F2 4 mi x 250 yd 0 0 $1.6M
2004-09-08 Triangle, Prince William County F0 0.5 mi x 75 yd 0 0 $39K
2001-09-24 Joplin, Prince William County F0 6.5 mi x 75 yd 0 0 $2K
2001-05-22 Dale City, Prince William County F0 1 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $2K
1995-10-14 Dale City, Prince William County F0 0.75 mi x 40 yd 0 0 $19K
1987-07-21 Prince William County F0 0.2 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $2.5M step
1978-01-26 Prince William County F3 0.7 mi x 250 yd 1 10 $250K step

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.

When was the last damaging storm in Prince William County?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the June 22, 2026 thunderstorm wind ($25,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).

The 12 most recent records kept for Prince William County
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-06-22 Thunderstorm WindWoodbridge, Prince William County 56 kt wind 0 0 $25K
2026-06-22 Thunderstorm WindBethel, Prince William County 56 kt wind 0 0 $20K
2026-06-22 Thunderstorm WindAden, Prince William County 56 kt wind 0 0 $10K
2026-06-12 Thunderstorm WindHaymarket, Prince William County 52 kt wind 0 0 $5K
2026-06-12 Thunderstorm WindWest Gate Of Lomond, Prince William County 52 kt wind 0 0 $1K
2026-06-12 HailWaterfall, Prince William County 1.00 in hail 0 0 –
2026-06-12 HailThoroughfare, Prince William County 0.75 in hail 0 0 –
2026-06-11 Thunderstorm WindMcAs Quantico, Prince William County 51 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-11 Thunderstorm WindAntioch, Prince William County 52 kt wind 0 1 –
2026-05-27 HailGainesville, Prince William County 1.00 in hail 0 0 –
2026-04-01 HailWest Gate Of Lomond, Prince William County 1.00 in hail 0 0 –
2026-03-16 Thunderstorm WindMcAs Quantico, Prince William County 54 kt wind 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Prince William County, most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
1978-01-26 TornadoPrince William County F3 0.7 mi x 250 yd 1 10 $250K step
2023-07-29 Thunderstorm WindMinnieville, Prince William County Trees blew down around Montclair, including one onto a residence in the 15000 block of Holly Hill Drive killing the resident inside. 52 kt wind 1 0 $242K
2019-01-29 Winter WeatherPrince William County · forecast zone Prince William Snowfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches were observed across Prince William County, with 2.5 inches reported near Sudley. An indirect fatality occurred when a 22-year old man from Woodbridge, VA was killed in a single-vehicle crash on Sowego Road. Snow caused many roads across Prince William County to become slick and ... 1 0 –
2005-07-18 HeatPrince William County · forecast zone Prince William A 60-year old man was killed due to excessive heat. The individual was a construction worker and was working on a paving project. 1 0 –
1997-08-16 HeatPrince William County · forecast zone Prince William West winds circulating around a "Bermuda" high pressure system allowed temperatures to soar over the weekend of the 16th and 17th. Maximum temperatures surpassed the century mark across most of northern Virginia (except in the higher elevations) both days. Heat index values ranged from 105 to 110 each day, but aside ... 0 8 –
2019-06-02 LightningNeabsco, Prince William County During a severe thunderstorm at Leesylvania State Park in Prince William County, Virginia, a group of individuals sought shelter under a picnic pavilion. That structure was struck by lightning. One person took a direct lightning strike; 4 others were struck by debris from the pavilion. 0 5 –
2026-06-11 Thunderstorm WindAntioch, Prince William County A thunderstorm wind gust blew a person in an inflatable kayak out into Silver Lake. They were rescued in critical condition. 52 kt wind 0 1 –
2010-06-03 Thunderstorm WindBuckhall, Prince William County A tree was down on a house along Split Rail Drive. A boy was injured from the damage. Additional trees were reported east through Woodbridge. 57 kt wind 0 1 $27K

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

The costliest records in Prince William County since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2003-09-18 Tropical StormPrince William County · forecast zone Prince William / Manassas 0 0 $23M
2023-07-29 Thunderstorm WindWest Gate Of Lomond, Prince William County 61 kt wind 0 0 $2.9M
2002-08-03 Thunderstorm WindManassas Airport, Prince William County 58 kt wind 0 1 $2.5M
2004-09-17 TornadoDale City, Prince William County F2 4 mi x 250 yd 0 0 $1.6M
2022-05-16 Thunderstorm WindAgnewville, Prince William County 65 kt wind 0 0 $1.0M
1996-09-06 Flash FloodNw Portion, Prince William County 0 0 $414K
2023-07-29 Thunderstorm WindMinnieville, Prince William County 52 kt wind 1 0 $242K
1996-05-04 Thunderstorm WindDale City, Prince William County 0 1 $141K

Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $2.5M, in the dollars of the day) holds: July 21, 1987 (tornado, Prince William County).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Prince William County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Prince William County: records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
Severe thunderstorm wind0017444215791
Floods––––73115381
Winter storms––––20407141
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds––––0254518
Hail00211924337
Heat––––8193612

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

48% of its severe thunderstorm wind events since 1975 fell in June and July. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 117 · Feb 85 · Mar 59 · Apr 75 · May 149 · Jun 163 · Jul 163 · Aug 148 · Sep 59 · Oct 45 · Nov 32 · Dec 88 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Prince William County

FEMA's register lists 20 declarations that include Prince William County: 13 major disasters, 7 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for hurricane (6) and snowstorm (5).

Declarations including Prince William County, newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2026-01-23EM-3631Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
2020-04-02DR-4512BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3448BiologicalCovid-19
2018-09-11EM-3403HurricaneHurricane Florence
2016-03-07DR-4262SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and Snowstorm
2012-11-26DR-4092HurricaneHurricane Sandy
2012-10-29EM-3359HurricaneHurricane Sandy
2011-11-17DR-4045Severe StormThe Remnants of Tropical Storm Lee
2010-04-27DR-1905SnowstormSevere Winter Storms and Snowstorms
2010-02-16DR-1874SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and Snowstorm
2005-09-12EM-3240HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
2003-09-18DR-1491HurricaneHurricane Isabel
2003-03-27DR-1458Severe StormSevere Winter Storm, Record/Near Record Snowfall, Heavy Rain,Floodind, and Mudslide
2000-02-28DR-1318Severe StormSevere Winter Storms
1996-09-06DR-1135HurricaneHurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm Cond
1996-01-13DR-1086SnowstormBlizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)
1993-03-25EM-3112SnowstormSevere Winter Storm
1977-07-23EM-3046DroughtDrought
1977-01-26DR-525FreezingIce Conditions
1972-06-23DR-339FloodTropical Storm Agnes

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Prince William County had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 272 flood or flash flood records for Prince William County from 1996 to 2025, on 112 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Prince William County ranks 518th of 2,942 U.S. counties.

Named storms on Prince William County's flood and tropical record
StormBeganRecordsDeaths in the county
Hurricane Isabel2003-09-1810
Hurricane Fran1996-09-0620

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $5.8 million on 485 claims filed in Prince William County; the most in one year was 58 in 2011. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1978: 10 · 1979: 17 · 1981: 2 · 1982: 4 · 1983: 3 · 1984: 5 · 1985: 6 · 1986: 24 · 1987: 1 · 1989: 14 · 1990: 2 · 1992: 3 · 1993: 13 · 1994: 3 · 1995: 3 · 1996: 27 · 1997: 1 · 1998: 2 · 1999: 5 · 2000: 2 · 2002: 6 · 2003: 28 · 2004: 2 · 2005: 6 · 2006: 26 · 2007: 2 · 2008: 37 · 2009: 7 · 2010: 7 · 2011: 58 · 2012: 10 · 2013: 7 · 2014: 31 · 2015: 10 · 2016: 7 · 2017: 12 · 2018: 32 · 2019: 8 · 2020: 27 · 2021: 4 · 2022: 2 · 2024: 3 · 2025: 4 · 2026: 2; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Prince William County

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Prince William County Relatively Moderate overall, with an expected annual loss of $69.0 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Prince William County (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
LightningRelatively High$1.8M41 a year (modeled)
Winter WeatherRelatively High$597K9.5 a year (modeled)
Strong WindRelatively High$2.6M7.1 a year (modeled)
Heat WaveRelatively Moderate$6.3M5.7 modeled event-days a year
Riverine FloodingRelatively Moderate$45M3.4 a year (modeled)
HurricaneRelatively Moderate$4.2Monce in about 12 years (modeled)
HailRelatively Moderate$1.0M3.8 a year (modeled)
TornadoRelatively Moderate$4.6Monce in about 4 years (modeled)

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Prince William County

  1. Fairfax County 2,129
  2. Loudoun County 1,709
  3. Fauquier County 1,558
  4. Prince William County 1,183
  5. Charles County, MD 1,022
  6. Stafford County 636
  7. Manassas (city) 102
  8. Manassas Park (city) 36

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

Next