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Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Fauquier County, VA

2 FEMA disaster declarations (2022–2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Winter Storm.

2
FEMA declarations
1
Major disasters
48
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Winter Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Fauquier County ranks safer than 48% of U.S. counties for FEMA-modeled hazard risk, with more federally declared disasters than 22% of the 2,791 counties FEMA tracks. FEMA rates the county's overall risk as Relatively Low, based on 2 federal disaster declarations recorded since 2022, most often winter storm, 48% below the national county average of 4.

Safer than 48%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
2
FEMA declarations vs 4 national county avg
1
winter storm declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index score reflects expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience; the declaration count above reflects only Presidentially declared disasters, not every hazard event.

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How does Fauquier County compare?

Fauquier County vs. every U.S. county

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

2 22nd percentile higher than 22% of 2,791 counties

This county 0 30 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-07-25

Fauquier County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

0/100100/100Virginia avg33/10047.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

How disaster-prone is Fauquier County?

Declaration frequency

Fauquier County, Virginia has recorded 2 FEMA disaster declarations between 2022 and 2026, of which 1 were classified as Major Disaster declarations (DR) requiring federal individual and public assistance. That puts the county's average at 0.5 declarations per year across a 4-year record, or roughly 9% below the Virginia county average of 2.2 and 48% below the national county average of 3.8. The dominant disaster type on record is Winter Storm, with 1 of 2 declarations falling under this category.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 47.7/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Relatively Low (roughly $22.2M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very Low) and community resilience (Relatively High) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Lightning carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate.

Flood exposure & the bottom line

Taken together, Fauquier County reads as low relative risk on this historical lens, fewer federally recognized disasters than a typical U.S. county.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level

Low

vs. Virginia Avg

-9%

State avg: 2.2

vs. National Avg

-48%

National avg: 3.8

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 4 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Fauquier County

Fauquier County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard composite scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 0, Hurricane 25, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. Overall composite 18 of 100, classified Low. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 18 composite
Fauquier County NRI risk profile FIPS 51061 · composite 18/100 (Low)
How to read this radar

The radar plots Fauquier County's relative exposure to the eight headline natural hazards used by the FEMA National Risk Index. Each axis is the qualitative NRI risk rating (Very Low through Very High) re-expressed on a 0-100 scale so that the polygon shape lets you compare a county against another at a glance. A rounder polygon means broad multi-hazard exposure; a spiky polygon means one or two dominant hazards drive most of the modeled risk.

FEMA Records

2

Total declarations

NRI Source

FEMA 2023

Latest NRI release

County FIPS

51061

VA state code

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, 2023 release

Disaster Types

Winter Storm 1
Severe Storm 1

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 1 50.0%

of all 2 declarations

Major Disaster - 1 50.0%

of all 2 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2022 1

Disaster Declarations

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4644 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2022-03-11

Storm Events in Virginia

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 11,070 16 36 $192.1M
Winter Weather 2,529 7 32 $903.0K
Flash Flood 2,519 15 5 $263.6M
Flood 2,511 4 0 $85.2M
Winter Storm 1,745 5 6 $3.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015–2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 47.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$22.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Lightning Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Hail Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Avalanche Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

Counties with Similar Risk in Virginia

Frequently Asked Questions

How many natural disasters has Fauquier County, Virginia had?
Fauquier County, Virginia has received 2 FEMA disaster declarations from 2022 to 2026. Of these, 1 were major disaster declarations.
What is the most common disaster type in Fauquier County?
The most common disaster type in Fauquier County is Winter Storm, with 1 declaration. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (1).
How does Fauquier County's disaster risk compare to the Virginia average?
Fauquier County has 2 disaster declarations, which is 9% lower than the Virginia county average of 2.2 declarations. Compared to the national county average of 3.8, it is 48% lower.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Fauquier County received?
Fauquier County has received 1 major disaster declaration, representing 50% of all 2 disaster declarations. Major disaster declarations typically involve significant damage requiring federal assistance.
What types of storms are most common in Virginia?
The most common storm types in Virginia include Thunderstorm Wind (11,070 events), Winter Weather (2,529 events), Flash Flood (2,519 events). NOAA storm event data covers severe weather from 2015 to 2025.
What was the worst year for disasters in Fauquier County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Fauquier County was 2022, with 1 declaration. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 2022 to 2026.
What is the overall disaster risk level for Fauquier County?
Fauquier County's 2 FEMA disaster declarations put it in the low-risk band, fewer federally recognized disasters than a typical U.S. county over the same span.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Fauquier County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Fauquier County, Virginia has an overall risk score of 47.7 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very Low and community resilience is Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $22.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Fauquier County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Fauquier County is Lightning (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Relatively Low) and Strong Wind (Relatively Moderate). These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015–2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Fauquier County

Fauquier County, VA runs 9% below the Virginia county average for federal disaster declarations (2 vs 2), a low historical load overall.

  • Its most common federal declaration type is emergency (1 of 2) - know the hazards most likely here before they happen. Virginia overview
  • See how this county ranks against the rest of the country for disaster frequency. Most-disaster rankings
  • Read how to read FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and what they do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide

Historical declaration counts describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. This page draws directly on FEMA federal disaster data, no figure is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, or report a data error.