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Arkansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Madison County, AR

3 FEMA disaster declarations (2024–2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

3
FEMA declarations
1
Major disasters
45
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Madison County ranks safer than 45% of U.S. counties for FEMA-modeled hazard risk, with more federally declared disasters than 41% of the 2,791 counties FEMA tracks. FEMA rates the county's overall risk as Relatively Low, based on 3 federal disaster declarations recorded since 2024, most often severe storm, 22% below the national county average of 4.

Safer than 45%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
3
FEMA declarations vs 4 national county avg
2
severe storm declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index score reflects expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience; the declaration count above reflects only Presidentially declared disasters, not every hazard event.

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How does Madison County compare?

Madison County vs. every U.S. county

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

3 41st percentile higher than 41% of 2,791 counties

This county 0 30 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-07-25

Madison County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

0/100100/100Arkansas avg56/10045.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

How disaster-prone is Madison County?

Declaration frequency

Madison County, Arkansas has recorded 3 FEMA disaster declarations between 2024 and 2026, of which 1 were classified as Major Disaster declarations (DR) requiring federal individual and public assistance. That puts the county's average at 1.5 declarations per year across a 2-year record, or roughly 5% below the Arkansas county average of 3.1 and 22% below the national county average of 3.8. The dominant disaster type on record is Severe Storm, with 2 of 3 declarations falling under this category.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 45.1/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $11.7M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively High) and community resilience (Relatively Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High.

Flood exposure & the bottom line

Taken together, Madison County reads as low relative risk on this historical lens, fewer federally recognized disasters than a typical U.S. county.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level

Low

vs. Arkansas Avg

-5%

State avg: 3.1

vs. National Avg

-22%

National avg: 3.8

Avg Per Year

1.5

Over 2 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Madison County

Madison County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard composite scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 0, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 0, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. Overall composite 23 of 100, classified Low. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 23 composite
Madison County NRI risk profile FIPS 05087 · composite 23/100 (Low)
How to read this radar

The radar plots Madison County's relative exposure to the eight headline natural hazards used by the FEMA National Risk Index. Each axis is the qualitative NRI risk rating (Very Low through Very High) re-expressed on a 0-100 scale so that the polygon shape lets you compare a county against another at a glance. A rounder polygon means broad multi-hazard exposure; a spiky polygon means one or two dominant hazards drive most of the modeled risk.

FEMA Records

3

Total declarations

NRI Source

FEMA 2023

Latest NRI release

County FIPS

05087

AR state code

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, 2023 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 2
Winter Storm 1

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 2 66.7%

of all 3 declarations

Major Disaster - 1 33.3%

of all 3 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 1
2024 1

Disaster Declarations

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3636 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3627 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-05
4788 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-05-30

Storm Events in Arkansas

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 4,297 11 31 $64.2M
Hail 2,694 0 0 $9.8M
Flash Flood 1,737 15 3 $16.1M
Heat 1,676 3 325 $0
Flood 1,352 10 0 $40.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015–2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 45.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$11.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Relatively High
Landslide Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Wildfire Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Very Low
Hail Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

Counties with Similar Risk in Arkansas

Frequently Asked Questions

How many natural disasters has Madison County, Arkansas had?
Madison County, Arkansas has received 3 FEMA disaster declarations from 2024 to 2026. Of these, 1 were major disaster declarations.
What is the most common disaster type in Madison County?
The most common disaster type in Madison County is Severe Storm, with 2 declarations. Other disaster types include Winter Storm (1).
How does Madison County's disaster risk compare to the Arkansas average?
Madison County has 3 disaster declarations, which is 5% lower than the Arkansas county average of 3.1 declarations. Compared to the national county average of 3.8, it is 22% lower.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Madison County received?
Madison County has received 1 major disaster declaration, representing 33% of all 3 disaster declarations. Major disaster declarations typically involve significant damage requiring federal assistance.
What types of storms are most common in Arkansas?
The most common storm types in Arkansas include Thunderstorm Wind (4,297 events), Hail (2,694 events), Flash Flood (1,737 events). NOAA storm event data covers severe weather from 2015 to 2025.
What was the worst year for disasters in Madison County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Madison County was 2024, with 1 declaration. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 2024 to 2026.
What is the overall disaster risk level for Madison County?
Madison County's 3 FEMA disaster declarations put it in the low-risk band, fewer federally recognized disasters than a typical U.S. county over the same span.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Madison County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Madison County, Arkansas has an overall risk score of 45.1 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively High and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $11.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Madison County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Madison County is Ice Storm (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Relatively Low) and Heat Wave (Relatively Low). These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015–2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Madison County

Madison County, AR runs 5% below the Arkansas county average for federal disaster declarations (3 vs 3), a low historical load overall.

  • Its most common federal declaration type is emergency (2 of 3) - know the hazards most likely here before they happen. Arkansas overview
  • See how this county ranks against the rest of the country for disaster frequency. Most-disaster rankings
  • Read how to read FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and what they do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide

Historical declaration counts describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. This page draws directly on FEMA federal disaster data, no figure is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, or report a data error.