Carroll County, Arkansas
County storm and disaster record · FIPS 05015 · population 28,225 · 630 sq mi
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 514 records for Carroll County, Arkansas from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 368 days; the most frequent are severe thunderstorm wind events (192 records). The deadliest single record is the April 13, 2022 flood: 1 death. FEMA has issued 21 declarations naming the county since 1969, 19 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storm” on January 24, 2026.
The record, 1950 to 2026
Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).
- recorded, no damage figure
- under $100,000
- $100,000 or more
- $1 million or more
- $10 million or more, or a death
- $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
- a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
- a year with a death
- 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
- 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
- Storm records
- 514on 368 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
- Deaths recorded
- 567 injuries
- Damage, 2025 dollars
- $30Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
- Tornadoes
- 18strongest F2
- FEMA declarations
- 21latest 2026
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.
What hazards hit Carroll County most?
The most frequent records are severe thunderstorm wind events: 192 since 1959. The rank column places the county among Arkansas's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.
| Hazard | Records | Days | First, last | Killed | Injured | Damage | Rank in state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 192 | 152 | 1959-2024 | 0 | 5 | $930K | 24 of 75 |
| Hail | 155 | 99 | 1963-2025 | 0 | 46 | $445K | 30 of 75 |
| Winter storms | 53 | 53 | 1996-2026 | 0 | 0 | $24M | 38 of 75 |
| Floods | 45 | 31 | 1996-2022 | 4 | 0 | $1.2M | 58 of 75 |
| Drought | 38 | 38 | 2005-2026 | 0 | 0 | – | 10 of 75 |
| Tornadoes | 18 | 17 | 1955-2025 | 0 | 16 | $2.9M | 62 of 75 |
| Heat | 5 | 5 | 1998-2023 | 1 | 0 | – | 72 of 75 |
| High wind and dust storms | 3 | 3 | 1998-2008 | 0 | 0 | $411K | 64 of 75 |
| Lightning | 2 | 2 | 2005-2009 | 0 | 0 | $131K | 48 of 75 |
| Wildfires | 2 | 2 | 2012-2017 | 0 | 0 | $32K | 33 of 75 |
| Extreme cold | 1 | 1 | 2007-2007 | 0 | 0 | – | 72 of 75 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.
How many tornadoes has Carroll County had?
NOAA records 18 tornadoes in Carroll County from 1955 to 2025, the strongest rated F2, with 0 deaths and 16 injuries recorded in the county. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.
Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 19 tornadoes whose track touched Carroll County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 18: they file a crossing tornado once per county segment, and the two databases differ on some tracks); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.
Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Arkansas.
Every tornado record filed for Carroll County (18)
| Date | Place | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-19 | Osage, Carroll County | EF1 4.2 mi x 1,000 yd | 0 | 0 | $30K |
| 2025-05-19 | Metalton, Carroll County | EF1 7.2 mi x 2,300 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2024-04-28 | Osage, Carroll County | EFU 2.1 mi x 75 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2023-04-05 | Oak Grove, Carroll County | EFU 1.9 mi x 250 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2022-11-04 | Green Forest, Carroll County | EF1 8.5 mi x 1,100 yd | 0 | 0 | $202K |
| 2017-04-26 | Busch, Carroll County | EF1 13.1 mi x 1,500 yd | 0 | 0 | $120K |
| 2011-10-12 | Berryville, Carroll County | EF0 0.1 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2010-12-31 | Oak Grove, Carroll County | EF0 2 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2008-04-10 | Metalton, Carroll County | EF1 3.7 mi x 900 yd | 0 | 0 | $69K |
| 2007-03-01 | Oak Grove, Carroll County | EF0 2 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $14K |
| 2006-03-12 | Urbanette, Carroll County | F1 3 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 0 | $59K |
| 2001-05-20 | Eureka Spgs, Carroll County | F0 0.3 mi x 25 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1976-07-02 | Carroll County | F0 0.3 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1973-05-26 | Carroll County | F2 2 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 2 | $250K step |
| 1972-07-01 | Carroll County | F1 0.3 mi x 100 yd | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1966-04-20 | Carroll County | F2 2.7 mi x 100 yd | 0 | 0 | $3K step |
| 1961-03-12 | Carroll County | F2 1 mi x 300 yd | 0 | 14 | $25K step |
| 1955-04-04 | Carroll County | F2 10.2 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.
When was the last damaging storm in Carroll County?
The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the May 19, 2025 tornado ($30,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).
This tornado developed along and just west of Highway 103, south of Osage. It moved northeast across Highway 412, and dissipated after crossing County Road 905. The tornado snapped and uprooted numerous trees, and damaged outbuildings. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in the tornado was 95 to 105 mph.
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 1264158)
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | DroughtCarroll County · forecast zone Carroll | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-05-01 | DroughtCarroll County · forecast zone Carroll | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-04-01 | DroughtCarroll County · forecast zone Carroll | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-03-01 | DroughtCarroll County · forecast zone Carroll | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-02-01 | DroughtCarroll County · forecast zone Carroll | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-01-23 | Winter StormCarroll County · forecast zone Carroll | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-01-06 | DroughtCarroll County · forecast zone Carroll | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2025-09-16 | HailElk Ranch, Carroll County | 0.75 in hail | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2025-05-19 | TornadoOsage, Carroll County | EF1 4.2 mi x 1,000 yd | 0 | 0 | $30K |
| 2025-05-19 | TornadoMetalton, Carroll County | EF1 7.2 mi x 2,300 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2025-02-18 | Winter StormCarroll County · forecast zone Carroll | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2025-01-09 | Winter StormCarroll County · forecast zone Carroll | 0 | 0 | – |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.
The deadliest and costliest records
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-13 | FloodCabanal, Carroll County A vehicle driven into a flooded low water crossing near the intersection of county roads 705 and 741 was swept away, with the driver drowning in the flood water. Heavy rainfall had ended by early afternoon, but some low water crossings remained flooded well after the rain had stopped. | 1 | 0 | – | |
| 2017-04-29 | Flash FloodEureka Spgs, Carroll County Leatherwood Creek flooded several roads north and northeast of town. People were playing in and near the creek. One of them was swept downstream and drowned. | 1 | 0 | – | |
| 2015-03-25 | Flash FloodBeaver, Carroll County Leatherwood Creek flooded portions of Highway 187 near Elk Ranch. A vehicle was swept off the road by these flood waters. The vehicle was quickly found by first responders but the victim's body wasn't found until April 6th. | 1 | 0 | – | |
| 2006-08-09 | HeatCarroll County · forecast zone Carroll A strong upper level ridge of high pressure redeveloped over the Southern Plains and combined with a humid air mass to produce another period of excessive heat over northwestern Arkansas. Heat indices were near 105 degrees and morning low temperatures were in the mid to upper 70s. These conditions resulted in a ... | 1 | 0 | – | |
| 2002-05-12 | Flash FloodNorth Central Portion, Carroll County An estimated 3 inches of rain fell over the hilly part of Carroll county to the north of Berryville. This rain caused small streams and low water crossings to flood. A 25 year old man died as his truck was swept away by flood waters while trying to drive over a low water crossing over Clabber Creek on County Road 403 ... | 1 | 0 | – | |
| 1984-07-06 | HailCarroll County | 1.75 in hail | 0 | 18 | – |
| 1984-07-06 | HailCarroll County | 1.75 in hail | 0 | 18 | – |
| 1961-03-12 | TornadoCarroll County | F2 1 mi x 300 yd | 0 | 14 | $25K step |
A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-01-26 | Ice StormCarroll County · forecast zone Carroll | 0 | 0 | $23M | |
| 2001-11-28 | Ice StormCarroll County · forecast zone Carroll | 0 | 0 | $833K | |
| 2008-09-14 | High WindCarroll County · forecast zone Carroll | 52 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $411K |
| 2009-10-08 | Flash FloodMetalton, Carroll County | 0 | 0 | $275K | |
| 2008-04-23 | Flash FloodBerryville, Carroll County | 0 | 0 | $274K | |
| 2022-11-04 | TornadoGreen Forest, Carroll County | EF1 8.5 mi x 1,100 yd | 0 | 0 | $202K |
| 2017-04-26 | TornadoBusch, Carroll County | EF1 13.1 mi x 1,500 yd | 0 | 0 | $120K |
| 2006-03-12 | TornadoUrbanette, Carroll County | F1 3 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 0 | $59K |
Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $250K, in the dollars of the day) holds: May 26, 1973 (tornado, Carroll County).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.
Is it getting more frequent?
Records per decade for Carroll County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).
| Hazard | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 51 | 63 | 46 | 15 |
| Hail | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 46 | 33 | 24 |
| Winter storms | – | – | – | – | 8 | 19 | 15 | 11 |
| Floods | – | – | – | – | 6 | 14 | 23 | 2 |
| Drought | – | – | – | – | 0 | 7 | 18 | 13 |
| Tornadoes | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).
What time of year?
Records by month in Carroll County. The two busiest months are in violet.
The values, month by month
Jan 27 · Feb 34 · Mar 51 · Apr 101 · May 88 · Jun 51 · Jul 56 · Aug 32 · Sep 20 · Oct 18 · Nov 13 · Dec 23 (records).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.
Federal disaster declarations for Carroll County
FEMA's register lists 21 declarations that include Carroll County: 14 major disasters, 7 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for severe storm (11) and flood (3).
| Declared | Number | Type | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | EM-3636 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2025-04-05 | EM-3627 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| 2024-05-30 | DR-4788 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| 2020-08-27 | EM-3541 | Hurricane | Hurricane Laura |
| 2020-04-03 | DR-4518 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020-03-13 | EM-3461 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2017-06-15 | DR-4318 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding |
| 2016-02-05 | DR-4254 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding |
| 2013-09-04 | DR-4143 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms and Flooding |
| 2011-05-02 | DR-1975 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Associated Flooding |
| 2009-12-03 | DR-1861 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| 2009-02-06 | DR-1819 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2009-01-28 | EM-3301 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2008-10-22 | DR-1804 | Severe Storm | Tropical Storm Ike |
| 2008-03-26 | DR-1751 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| 2005-09-02 | EM-3215 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2004-05-07 | DR-1516 | Severe Storm | Sever Storms, Flooding and Landslides |
| 1990-05-15 | DR-865 | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding |
| 1976-12-03 | EM-3019 | Drought | Drought |
| 1972-01-27 | DR-321 | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding |
| 1969-02-15 | DR-254 | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.
How many floods has Carroll County had?
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 45 flood or flash flood records for Carroll County from 1996 to 2022, on 31 days, with 4 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Carroll County ranks 2477th of 2,942 U.S. counties.
The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $9,023 on 7 claims filed in Carroll County; the most in one year was 5 in 2022. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.
The values, year by year
2015: 2 · 2022: 5; the other years: 0.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.
FEMA's modeled risk for Carroll County
FEMA's National Risk Index rates Carroll County Relatively Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $16.4 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.
| Hazard | Risk rating | Expected annual loss | Modeled frequency |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ice Storm | Very High | $1.8M | 2 a year (modeled) |
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate | $33K | 1.3 a year (modeled) |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | $2.7M | once in about 2 years (modeled) |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | $120K | 11 a year (modeled) |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | $766K | 5.5 a year (modeled) |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | $410K | 58 a year (modeled) |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | $1.8M | 1.8 a year (modeled) |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | $538K | once in about 453 years (modeled) |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
Counties that share a border with Carroll County
Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.
Next
- Tornadoes in ArkansasEvery Arkansas tornado since 1950 and the counties with the most per square mile
- Severe thunderstorm wind in ArkansasThe state's severe thunderstorm wind events, by county, year and month
- The Arkansas recordEvery hazard in the state, its deadliest events and its federal declarations
- FEMA's risk rating for each hazard in Carroll CountyThe hazard risk calculator: 18 hazards beside the county's record
- Download Carroll County's FEMA declarations (CSV)21 rows: every declaration that named the county, for your own analysis