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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Madison County, TX

27 FEMA disaster declarations (1988-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

27
FEMA declarations
19
Major disasters
35
NRI risk · Very Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Madison County. Its 27 FEMA declarations are 29% above the Texas county mean and exceed the count for 78% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 35%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 35%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
27
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
26
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48313 · Madison County 27 declarations · rank 642/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 27
  • MAJOR-MID 70%
  • RANK-MID #642
  • PHOTO-FINISH Greene
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +29%

Nearest declaration peer: Greene, MO (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Madison County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Madison County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Madison County carries 27 FEMA declaration records, ranked 642 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Madison County ranks in the national declaration registry

Madison County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Madison County

27 Top 22% higher than 78% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Madison County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10034.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Madison County is led by Cold Wave (about $2.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Madison County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 34.9/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $9.2M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively Moderate) and community resilience (Very Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Drought carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 29 modeled event-days per year here, based on 805 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 26 claims and $451.9K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Madison County's 27 federal records stand 29% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

74 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Madison County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

27 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
16/25

27 declarations (1.3x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

19 of 27 declarations are major disasters (70%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

9 different disaster types declared in Madison County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Madison County

Madison County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
Madison County NRI risk profile FIPS 48313 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

27

High volume

Major Disaster share

70%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

35

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Madison County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively Moderate 29 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 14 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 61 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 4 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 630 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 12 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 1.6 times per year
Hail Very Low an average of 2.3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 2.4 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,605 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 17 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 7
Flood 6
Severe Storm 4
Fire 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Coastal Storm 1
Drought 1
Tornado 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Madison County's federal record, 26% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 19 70.4%

of all 27 declarations

Emergency - 8 29.6%

of all 27 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 2
2021 2
2020 3
2019 1
2017 1
2016 2
2015 1
2008 2
2007 1
2006 1
2005 3
2001 1
1999 1
1998 1
1995 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1992 1
1990 1
1988 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 27 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 27 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4798 HURRICANE BERYL DR Hurricane 2024-07-09
4781 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-05-17
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
3540 TROPICAL STORMS MARCO AND LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-24
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4416 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-02-25
4332 HURRICANE HARVEY DR Hurricane 2017-08-25
4272 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-06-11
4266 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-03-19
4223 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-29
1791 HURRICANE IKE DR Hurricane 2008-09-13
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1709 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-06-29
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1379 TX-TROPICAL STORM ALLISON-06-06-2001 DR Coastal Storm 2001-06-09
Show 7 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
1041 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1994-10-18
3113 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Drought 1993-09-10
930 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DR Flood 1991-12-26
863 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-05-02
802 SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1987-11-20

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Madison County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

26

Total Paid

$451.9K

Avg Per Claim

$17.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 34.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$9.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Madison County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Madison County's closest FEMA peer: Hughes County, OK

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Madison County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Madison County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Madison County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 27 FEMA declarations, Madison County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Madison County?
The most common disaster type in Madison County is Hurricane, with 7 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (6), Severe Storm (4), Fire (3).
How does Madison County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
FEMA lists 27 declaration records for Madison County. That is 29% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. Its count is also 30% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Madison County received?
Madison County has received 19 major disaster declarations, representing 70% of all 27 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Madison County filed?
Madison County has 26 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $451.9K in payments, with an average of $17.4K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Madison County?
No. In Madison County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Cold Wave leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Madison County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Madison County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1988 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Madison County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Madison County, Texas has an overall risk score of 34.9 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $9.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Madison County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Madison County is Drought (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Relatively Low) and Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 29 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 805 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Madison County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events