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North Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

McIntosh County, ND

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

21
FEMA declarations
18
Major disasters
35
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

McIntosh County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 21 declarations, more than 52% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 19% below the North Dakota county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 35%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 35%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
2
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 38051 · McIntosh County 21 declarations · rank 1502/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 86%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,502
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -19%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · North Dakota state profile

McIntosh County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among McIntosh County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows McIntosh County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1502 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How McIntosh County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

McIntosh County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · McIntosh County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

McIntosh County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100North Dakota avg22/10035.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

What does McIntosh County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 35.2/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $7.8M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Relatively Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Cold Wave stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 16 times per year here, based on 308 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 2 claims and $7.3K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a North Dakota county averages 25.9 federal declaration records, while McIntosh County has 21. The gap is 19% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

61 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

McIntosh County, ND · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

21 declarations (0.8x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share Very High
21/25

18 of 21 declarations are major disasters (86%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in McIntosh County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - McIntosh County

McIntosh County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 19 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 19 8-hazard mean
McIntosh County NRI risk profile FIPS 38051 · displayed-hazard mean 19/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

86%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

35

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike McIntosh County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 16 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 21 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.2 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 1,677 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.1 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 11 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 7 years
Heat Wave Very Low 1.8 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 6,369 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 31 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 9 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 8
Flood 8
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Coastal Storm 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on McIntosh County's record, 38% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 18 85.7%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 3 14.3%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2022 1
2020 3
2011 1
2010 2
2009 1
2005 1
2000 1
1999 1
1997 2
1996 1
1995 1
1994 1
1993 1
1978 1
Show 2 earlier declaration years
1976 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4760 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Winter Storm 2024-02-15
4660 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2022-07-13
4553 FLOODING DR Flood 2020-07-09
4509 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-01
3477 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1981 FLOODING DR Flood 2011-05-10
1907 FLOODING DR Flood 2010-04-30
1879 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-26
1829 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-03-24
3247 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-13
1334 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 2000-06-27
1279 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, SNOW, ICE, GROUND SATURATION, LANSLIDES, MUDSLIDES, AND TOR DR Flood 1999-06-08
1174 SEVERE FLOODING,SEVERE WINTER STORMS, SNOWMELT, SPRING RAINS DR Flood 1997-04-07
1157 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-12
1118 SEVERE STORMS,FLOODING, & ICE JAMS DR Severe Storm 1996-06-05
1050 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 1995-05-16
1032 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-07-01
1001 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-26
554 STORMS, ICE JAMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-04-17
3016 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-07-21
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
256 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-18

Storm Events in North Dakota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to McIntosh County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 2,705 0 2 $116.1M
Thunderstorm Wind 2,459 2 10 $67.0M
High Wind 1,184 1 1 $2.9M
Heavy Snow 925 0 3 $650.0K
Blizzard 905 2 2 $60.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

2

Total Paid

$7.3K

Avg Per Claim

$3.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 35.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$7.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Cold Wave Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Wildfire Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Tornado Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Cold Wave

Cold Wave measures exposure to extreme cold rather than to snow. Its harm is concentrated in health effects, burst infrastructure and energy demand spikes, and it falls hardest where the building stock and the grid were not built with sustained cold in mind.

Worth noting for McIntosh County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Cold Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

McIntosh County's closest FEMA peer: Moody County, SD

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for McIntosh County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for McIntosh County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for McIntosh County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 21 FEMA declarations, McIntosh County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in McIntosh County?
The most common disaster type in McIntosh County is Severe Storm, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (8), Biological (2), Winter Storm (1).
How does McIntosh County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Dakota average?
The typical North Dakota county has 25.9 FEMA declaration records; McIntosh County has 21, or 19% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 1% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has McIntosh County received?
McIntosh County has received 18 major disaster declarations, representing 86% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has McIntosh County filed?
McIntosh County has 2 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $7.3K in payments, with an average of $3.6K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in McIntosh County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in McIntosh County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for McIntosh County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, McIntosh County, North Dakota has an overall risk score of 35.2 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $7.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to McIntosh County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for McIntosh County is Cold Wave (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate) and Hail (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts cold wave here at an average of 16 times per year, drawn from 308 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for McIntosh County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · North Dakota profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events