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North Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Emmons County, ND

26 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

26
FEMA declarations
20
Major disasters
44
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Emmons County. Its 26 FEMA declarations are 0% above the North Dakota county mean and exceed the count for 75% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 44%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 44%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
26
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
82
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Emmons County compare?

Emmons County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

26 Top 25% higher than 75% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Emmons County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

0/100100/100North Dakota avg22/10044.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Emmons County is led by Cold Wave (about $3.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Emmons County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 82 paid claims, totaling $1.1M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $13.8K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Emmons County's 26 federal records stand 0% above the North Dakota county mean of 25.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 44.3/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $11.8M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively High) and community resilience (Relatively Moderate) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Wildfire carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 558 years here.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 26 entries for Emmons County, including 20 Major Disaster records, 0% above the North Dakota county mean. Across the 56-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Flood leads the file with 13 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

66 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Emmons County, ND · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
19/30

26 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

26 declarations (1.0x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

20 of 26 declarations are major disasters (77%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Emmons County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. North Dakota Avg

+0%

State avg: 25.9

vs. National Avg

+25%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 56 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Emmons County

Emmons County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 48, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
Emmons County NRI risk profile FIPS 38029 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

26

High volume

Major Disaster share

77%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

44

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Emmons County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 558 years
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 2.8 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 20 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 15 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate an average of 1 time per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Drought Relatively Low 16 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 6,711 years
Heat Wave Very Low 1.9 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Very Low an average of 31 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 13
Severe Storm 8
Biological 2
Coastal Storm 1
Snowstorm 1
Drought 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Emmons County's record, 50% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 20 76.9%

of all 26 declarations

Emergency - 6 23.1%

of all 26 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2021 1
2020 3
2019 1
2011 1
2010 3
2009 1
2005 1
2000 1
1999 1
1997 2
1996 1
1995 1
1993 1
1979 1
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1978 2
1976 1
1974 1
1970 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 26 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 26 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4888 SEVERE STORM, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2025-09-11
4613 SEVERE STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2021-09-01
4509 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-01
3477 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4475 FLOODING DR Flood 2020-01-21
4444 FLOODING DR Flood 2019-06-12
3318 FLOODING EM Flood 2011-04-07
1907 FLOODING DR Flood 2010-04-30
3309 FLOODING EM Flood 2010-03-14
1879 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-26
1829 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-03-24
3247 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-13
1334 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 2000-06-27
1279 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, SNOW, ICE, GROUND SATURATION, LANSLIDES, MUDSLIDES, AND TOR DR Flood 1999-06-08
1174 SEVERE FLOODING,SEVERE WINTER STORMS, SNOWMELT, SPRING RAINS DR Flood 1997-04-07
1157 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-12
1118 SEVERE STORMS,FLOODING, & ICE JAMS DR Severe Storm 1996-06-05
1050 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 1995-05-16
1001 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-26
581 SEVERE STORMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-04-26
Show 6 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
554 STORMS, ICE JAMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-04-17
3061 BLIZZARD & SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1978-02-16
3016 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-07-21
434 HEAVY RAINS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-05-14
287 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1970-06-05
256 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-18

Storm Events in North Dakota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Emmons County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 2,705 0 2 $116.1M
Thunderstorm Wind 2,459 2 10 $67.0M
High Wind 1,184 1 1 $2.9M
Heavy Snow 925 0 3 $650.0K
Blizzard 905 2 2 $60.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

82

Total Paid

$1.1M

Avg Per Claim

$13.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 44.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$11.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Lightning Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

Worth noting for Emmons County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Wildfire carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Emmons County's closest FEMA peer: Shelby County, MO

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Emmons County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Emmons County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Emmons County's NFIP claims file (82 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Emmons County?
The most common disaster type in Emmons County is Flood, with 13 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (8), Biological (2), Coastal Storm (1).
How does Emmons County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Dakota average?
FEMA lists 26 declaration records for Emmons County. That is 0% above the North Dakota county mean of 25.9. Its count is also 25% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Emmons County received?
Emmons County has received 20 major disaster declarations, representing 77% of all 26 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Emmons County filed?
Emmons County has 82 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.1M in payments, with an average of $13.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Emmons County?
No. In Emmons County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Cold Wave leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Emmons County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Emmons County was 2010, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Emmons County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Emmons County, North Dakota has an overall risk score of 44.3 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively High and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $11.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Emmons County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Emmons County is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Moderate) and Winter Weather (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 558 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Emmons County

Emmons County, ND has 26 federal declaration records, 0% more than the North Dakota county mean of 26; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 20 of 26 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. North Dakota overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the North Dakota mean and the totals for 75% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.