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North Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Burleigh County, ND

22 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Flood.

22
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
85
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Burleigh County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 22 declarations, more than 57% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 15% below the North Dakota county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 15%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 15%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
22
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
698
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 38015 · Burleigh County 22 declarations · rank 1287/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 22
  • MAJOR-MID 77%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,287
  • PHOTO-FINISH Hardy
  • NRI-MID 85
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-BELOW -15%

Nearest declaration peer: Hardy, WV (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · North Dakota state profile

Burleigh County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Burleigh County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Burleigh County carries 22 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1287 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Burleigh County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Burleigh County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Burleigh County

22 Top 43% higher than 57% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Burleigh County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100North Dakota avg22/10085.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Burleigh County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $22.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Burleigh County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 698 claims and $15.3M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $22.0K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

Start with the state benchmark: a North Dakota county averages 25.9 federal declaration records, while Burleigh County has 22. The gap is 15% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 85.1/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $71.8M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very Low and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Winter Weather stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 19 times per year here, based on 369 historical events on record.

59 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Burleigh County, ND · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
16/30

22 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.1x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

22 declarations (0.8x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

17 of 22 declarations are major disasters (77%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Burleigh County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Burleigh County

Burleigh County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 0, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 8, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 32 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 32 8-hazard mean
Burleigh County NRI risk profile FIPS 38015 · displayed-hazard mean 32/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

22

Above median

Major Disaster share

77%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

85

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Burleigh County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Very High an average of 19 times per year
Hail Relatively High an average of 2.5 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 17 times per year
Ice Storm Very High roughly once every 1 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 1,779 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1 time per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 1.5 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 1.9 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 30 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Drought Very Low 15 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 9,346 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 11
Severe Storm 7
Biological 2
Coastal Storm 1
Drought 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Burleigh County's record, 50% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 77.3%

of all 22 declarations

Emergency - 5 22.7%

of all 22 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2020 2
2011 2
2010 2
2009 1
2005 1
2001 1
2000 1
1999 1
1997 2
1996 1
1995 1
1993 1
1979 1
1978 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1976 1
1970 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 22 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 22 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4888 SEVERE STORM, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2025-09-11
4509 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-01
3477 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1981 FLOODING DR Flood 2011-05-10
3318 FLOODING EM Flood 2011-04-07
1901 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-04-21
3309 FLOODING EM Flood 2010-03-14
1829 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-03-24
3247 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-13
1376 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, & GROUND SATURATION DR Flood 2001-05-28
1334 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 2000-06-27
1279 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, SNOW, ICE, GROUND SATURATION, LANSLIDES, MUDSLIDES, AND TOR DR Flood 1999-06-08
1174 SEVERE FLOODING,SEVERE WINTER STORMS, SNOWMELT, SPRING RAINS DR Flood 1997-04-07
1157 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-12
1118 SEVERE STORMS,FLOODING, & ICE JAMS DR Severe Storm 1996-06-05
1050 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 1995-05-16
1001 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-26
581 SEVERE STORMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-04-26
554 STORMS, ICE JAMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-04-17
3016 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-07-21
Show 2 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
287 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1970-06-05
256 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-18

Storm Events in North Dakota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Burleigh County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 2,705 0 2 $116.1M
Thunderstorm Wind 2,459 2 10 $67.0M
High Wind 1,184 1 1 $2.9M
Heavy Snow 925 0 3 $650.0K
Blizzard 905 2 2 $60.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

698

Total Paid

$15.3M

Avg Per Claim

$22.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 85.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$71.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Very High
Hail Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively High
Ice Storm Very High
Wildfire Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Drought Very Low
Earthquake Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for Burleigh County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Burleigh County's closest FEMA peer: Franklin County, IN

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Burleigh County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Burleigh County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Burleigh County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Burleigh County's NFIP claims file (698 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Burleigh County?
The most common disaster type in Burleigh County is Flood, with 11 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (7), Biological (2), Coastal Storm (1).
How does Burleigh County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Dakota average?
The typical North Dakota county has 25.9 FEMA declaration records; Burleigh County has 22, or 15% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 6% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Burleigh County received?
Burleigh County has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 77% of all 22 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Burleigh County filed?
Burleigh County has 698 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $15.3M in payments, with an average of $22.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Burleigh County?
No. In Burleigh County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $22.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Burleigh County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Burleigh County was 1997, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Burleigh County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Burleigh County, North Dakota has an overall risk score of 85.1 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). On social vulnerability the county rates Very Low; on community resilience, Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $71.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Burleigh County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Burleigh County as of the latest release is Winter Weather (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively High) and Cold Wave (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 19 times per year, drawn from 369 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Burleigh County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · North Dakota profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events