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Tennessee · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

McMinn County, TN

16 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

16
FEMA declarations
11
Major disasters
60
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

McMinn County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 16 declarations, more than 27% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 25% below the Tennessee county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 40%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 40%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
16
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
40
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 47107 · McMinn County 16 declarations · rank 2245/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 16
  • MAJOR-MID 69%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,245
  • PHOTO-FINISH Greene
  • NRI-LOW 60
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -25%

Nearest declaration peer: Greene, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Tennessee state profile

McMinn County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among McMinn County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows McMinn County carries 16 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2245 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

McMinn County versus quieter counties in this dataset

McMinn County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · McMinn County

16 27th percentile higher than 27% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

McMinn County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Tennessee avg53/10060.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Tennessee county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for McMinn County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $8.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Earthquake carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does McMinn County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 60.2/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $18.2M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Earthquake, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 188 years here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 40 claims and $350.9K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Tennessee county averages 21.4 federal declaration records, while McMinn County has 16. The gap is 25% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

58 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

McMinn County, TN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

16 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

16 declarations (0.7x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

11 of 16 declarations are major disasters (69%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in McMinn County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - McMinn County

McMinn County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
McMinn County NRI risk profile FIPS 47107 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

16

Below median

Major Disaster share

69%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

60

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike McMinn County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 188 years
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 4.8 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 5 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 59 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 3.4 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 22 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 49 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 688 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.4 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 1.7 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 6
Winter Storm 2
Biological 2
Flood 2
Severe Ice Storm 1
Hurricane 1
Snowstorm 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on McMinn County's record, 38% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 11 68.8%

of all 16 declarations

Emergency - 5 31.3%

of all 16 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 1
2020 2
2015 1
2012 1
2011 1
2009 1
2005 1
2003 1
1994 2
1993 1
1974 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 16 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 16 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4898 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3635 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3625 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-02
4514 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3473 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4211 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2015-04-02
4060 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND DR Severe Storm 2012-03-16
1974 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-01
1839 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-05-15
3217 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1464 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-08
1022 EXTENSIVE RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING DR Flood 1994-04-14
1010 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM,FLASH FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-02-28
3095 SEVERE SNOWFALL, WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-14
424 TORNADOES DR Tornado 1974-04-04
366 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-03-21

Storm Events in Tennessee

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to McMinn County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,558 22 58 $107.0M
Hail 1,690 0 0 $545.5K
Heat 1,343 9 15 $0
Flash Flood 1,264 55 3 $334.4M
Winter Weather 1,088 5 0 $261.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

40

Total Paid

$350.9K

Avg Per Claim

$8.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 60.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$18.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for McMinn County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

McMinn County's closest FEMA peer: Geauga County, OH

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for McMinn County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for McMinn County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for McMinn County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 16 FEMA declarations, McMinn County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in McMinn County?
The most common disaster type in McMinn County is Severe Storm, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Winter Storm (2), Biological (2), Flood (2).
How does McMinn County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Tennessee average?
The typical Tennessee county has 21.4 FEMA declaration records; McMinn County has 16, or 25% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 23% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has McMinn County received?
McMinn County has received 11 major disaster declarations, representing 69% of all 16 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has McMinn County filed?
McMinn County has 40 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $350.9K in payments, with an average of $8.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in McMinn County?
No. In McMinn County, Earthquake has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $8.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in McMinn County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in McMinn County was 1994, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for McMinn County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, McMinn County, Tennessee has an overall risk score of 60.2 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $18.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to McMinn County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for McMinn County as of the latest release is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Relatively Low) and Strong Wind (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 188 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for McMinn County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Tennessee profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events