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Tennessee · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Bradley County, TN

18 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

18
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
73
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Bradley County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 18 declarations, more than 37% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 16% below the Tennessee county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 27%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 27%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
18
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
203
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 47011 · Bradley County 18 declarations · rank 2062/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 18
  • MAJOR-MID 72%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,062
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monroe
  • NRI-LOW 73
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -16%

Nearest declaration peer: Monroe, TN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Tennessee state profile

Bradley County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Bradley County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Bradley County carries 18 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2062 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Bradley County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Bradley County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Bradley County

18 37th percentile higher than 37% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Bradley County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Tennessee avg53/10073.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Tennessee county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Bradley County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $14.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Earthquake carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Bradley County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 203 paid claims, totaling $2.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $11.0K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Tennessee county averages 21.4 federal declaration records, while Bradley County has 18. The gap is 16% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 73.4/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $35.8M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Earthquake carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 215 years here.

59 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Bradley County, TN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
13/30

18 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

18 declarations (0.8x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

13 of 18 declarations are major disasters (72%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Bradley County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Bradley County

Bradley County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 29 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 29 8-hazard mean
Bradley County NRI risk profile FIPS 47011 · displayed-hazard mean 29/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

18

Below median

Major Disaster share

72%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

73

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Bradley County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 215 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 5 years
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 61 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1 time per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 3.4 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.8 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 4.2 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 44 years
Drought Relatively Low 26 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 1,009 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 1.8 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 9
Winter Storm 2
Biological 2
Flood 2
Hurricane 1
Snowstorm 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Bradley County's record, 50% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 72.2%

of all 18 declarations

Emergency - 5 27.8%

of all 18 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 1
2020 3
2012 1
2011 1
2005 1
2003 1
1998 2
1997 1
1994 2
1993 1
1974 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 18 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 18 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4898 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3635 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3625 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-02
4541 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-04-24
4514 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3473 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4060 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND DR Severe Storm 2012-03-16
1974 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-01
3217 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1464 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-08
1215 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-04-20
1197 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-01-13
1171 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1997-04-02
1022 EXTENSIVE RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING DR Flood 1994-04-14
1010 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM,FLASH FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-02-28
3095 SEVERE SNOWFALL, WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-14
424 TORNADOES DR Tornado 1974-04-04
366 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-03-21

Storm Events in Tennessee

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Bradley County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,558 22 58 $107.0M
Hail 1,690 0 0 $545.5K
Heat 1,343 9 15 $0
Flash Flood 1,264 55 3 $334.4M
Winter Weather 1,088 5 0 $261.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

203

Total Paid

$2.2M

Avg Per Claim

$11.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 73.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$35.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Bradley County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Bradley County's closest FEMA peer: Cole County, MO

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Bradley County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Bradley County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Bradley County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Bradley County's NFIP claims file (203 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Bradley County?
The most common disaster type in Bradley County is Severe Storm, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Winter Storm (2), Biological (2), Flood (2).
How does Bradley County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Tennessee average?
The typical Tennessee county has 21.4 FEMA declaration records; Bradley County has 18, or 16% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 13% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Bradley County received?
Bradley County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 72% of all 18 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Bradley County filed?
Bradley County has 203 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.2M in payments, with an average of $11.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Bradley County?
No. In Bradley County, Earthquake has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $14.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Bradley County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Bradley County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Bradley County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Bradley County, Tennessee has an overall risk score of 73.4 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $35.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Bradley County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Bradley County is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Tornado (Relatively Moderate) and Landslide (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 215 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Bradley County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Tennessee profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events