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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Medina County, TX

19 FEMA disaster declarations (1993-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

19
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
69
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Medina County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 19 declarations, more than 41% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 9% below the Texas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 31%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 31%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
19
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
146
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48325 · Medina County 19 declarations · rank 1801/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 19
  • MAJOR-MID 53%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,801
  • PHOTO-FINISH Bartow
  • NRI-LOW 69
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -9%

Nearest declaration peer: Bartow, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Medina County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Medina County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Medina County carries 19 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1801 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Medina County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Medina County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Medina County

19 41st percentile higher than 41% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Medina County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10068.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Medina County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $12.9M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Medina County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 146 paid claims, totaling $3.7M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $25.1K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Texas county averages 20.9 federal declaration records, while Medina County has 19. The gap is 9% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 68.7/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $20.5M in annualized losses), and a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile combined with Very Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Drought stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 122 modeled event-days per year here, based on 4,179 historical events on record.

56 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Medina County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

19 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

19 declarations (0.9x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
13/25

10 of 19 declarations are major disasters (53%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Medina County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Medina County

Medina County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 70, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 34 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 34 8-hazard mean
Medina County NRI risk profile FIPS 48325 · displayed-hazard mean 34/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

19

Below median

Major Disaster share

53%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

69

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Medina County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively High 122 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 43 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 2.5 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 443 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 3 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 8.9 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 2.2 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 36 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 8 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 5,882 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 4
Hurricane 4
Fire 3
Severe Storm 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Drought 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Medina County's federal record, 21% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 10 52.6%

of all 19 declarations

Emergency - 9 47.4%

of all 19 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2021 2
2020 2
2010 1
2008 2
2007 1
2006 1
2005 3
2002 1
1999 2
1998 1
1997 1
1993 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 19 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 19 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3649 FLOODING EM Flood 2026-07-18
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3313 TROPICAL STORM ALEX EM Hurricane 2010-06-29
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1730 TROPICAL STORM ERIN DR Severe Storm 2007-10-02
1709 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-06-29
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1425 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2002-07-04
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1257 TX-FLOODING 10/18/98 DR Flood 1998-10-21
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
1179 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1997-07-07
3113 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Drought 1993-09-10

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Medina County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

146

Total Paid

$3.7M

Avg Per Claim

$25.1K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 68.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$20.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Medina County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Medina County's closest FEMA peer: Athens County, OH

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Medina County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Medina County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Medina County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Medina County's NFIP claims file (146 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Medina County?
The most common disaster type in Medina County is Hurricane, with 4 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Fire (3), Severe Storm (3).
How does Medina County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
The typical Texas county has 20.9 FEMA declaration records; Medina County has 19, or 9% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 8% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Medina County received?
Medina County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 53% of all 19 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Medina County filed?
Medina County has 146 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.7M in payments, with an average of $25.1K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Medina County?
No. In Medina County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $12.9M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Medina County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Medina County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1993 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Medina County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Medina County, Texas has an overall risk score of 68.7 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $20.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Medina County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Medina County is Drought (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Lightning (Relatively High) and Strong Wind (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 122 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 4,179 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Medina County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events