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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Mills County, TX

17 FEMA disaster declarations (1990-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Fire.

17
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
6
NRI risk · Very Low
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Mills County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 17 declarations, more than 32% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 19% below the Texas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 6%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 6%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
17
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
4
fire declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48333 · Mills County 17 declarations · rank 2204/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 17
  • MAJOR-MID 59%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,204
  • PHOTO-FINISH Curry
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-BELOW -19%

Nearest declaration peer: Curry, OR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Mills County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Mills County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Mills County carries 17 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2204 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Mills County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Mills County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Mills County

17 32nd percentile higher than 32% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Mills County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/1005.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Mills County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $1.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Mills County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 5.6/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $2.2M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Relatively Low). Even the county's top-rated hazard, Wildfire, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 308 years here.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

Start with the state benchmark: a Texas county averages 20.9 federal declaration records, while Mills County has 17. The gap is 19% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

55 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Mills County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

17 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

17 declarations (0.8x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

10 of 17 declarations are major disasters (59%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Mills County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Mills County

Mills County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 17 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 17 8-hazard mean
Mills County NRI risk profile FIPS 48333 · displayed-hazard mean 17/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

17

Below median

Major Disaster share

59%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

6

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Mills County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 308 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 4.8 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 62 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 139 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 4.2 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 8.8 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Very Low an average of 47 times per year
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Very Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 7 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 3,096 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 4
Severe Storm 3
Hurricane 3
Flood 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Drought 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Mills County's record, 24% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 10 58.8%

of all 17 declarations

Emergency - 7 41.2%

of all 17 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2021 2
2020 2
2011 1
2008 1
2007 1
2006 1
2005 3
1999 1
1998 1
1993 1
1992 1
1990 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 17 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 17 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4781 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-05-17
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1999 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-07-01
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1709 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-06-29
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
3113 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Drought 1993-09-10
930 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DR Flood 1991-12-26
863 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-05-02

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Mills County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 5.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$2.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Earthquake Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

For Mills County the two measures on this page point the same way: Wildfire is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Low), and Fire declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Mills County's closest FEMA peer: Meriwether County, GA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Mills County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Mills County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Mills County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 17 FEMA declarations, Mills County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Mills County?
The most common disaster type in Mills County is Fire, with 4 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (3), Hurricane (3), Flood (2).
How does Mills County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
The typical Texas county has 20.9 FEMA declaration records; Mills County has 17, or 19% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 18% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Mills County received?
Mills County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 59% of all 17 disaster declarations.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Mills County?
No. In Mills County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $1.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Mills County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Mills County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1990 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Mills County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Mills County, Texas has an overall risk score of 5.6 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $2.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Mills County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Mills County as of the latest release is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Low) and Drought (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 308 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Mills County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events