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North Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Nelson County, ND

33 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

33
FEMA declarations
29
Major disasters
8
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Nelson County. Its 33 FEMA declarations are 27% above the North Dakota county mean and exceed the count for 91% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 8%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 8%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
33
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
52
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 38063 · Nelson County 33 declarations · rank 259/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 33
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 88%
  • RANK-UPPER #259
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monterey
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +27%

Nearest declaration peer: Monterey, CA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · North Dakota state profile

Nelson County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Nelson County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Nelson County carries 33 FEMA declaration records, ranked 259 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Nelson County ranks in the national declaration registry

Nelson County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Nelson County

33 Top 9% higher than 91% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Nelson County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100North Dakota avg22/1007.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Nelson County is led by Cold Wave (about $908.2K Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Hail carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Nelson County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 52 paid claims, totaling $1.0M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $19.6K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Nelson County's 33 federal records stand 27% above the North Dakota county mean of 25.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 7.9/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $3.0M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Relatively Moderate). Among the 18 modeled hazards, Hail carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 3.7 times per year here, based on 141 historical events on record.

75 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Nelson County, ND · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
24/30

33 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
16/25

33 declarations (1.3x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share Very High
22/25

29 of 33 declarations are major disasters (88%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Nelson County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Nelson County

Nelson County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 14 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 14 8-hazard mean
Nelson County NRI risk profile FIPS 38063 · displayed-hazard mean 14/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

33

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

88%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

8

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Nelson County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 3.7 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 22 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 877 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 23 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 10 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.1 times per year
Drought Very Low 10 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Very Low 1 modeled event-day per year
Lightning Very Low an average of 27 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 2 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 11,364 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 17
Severe Storm 12
Biological 2
Snowstorm 1
Coastal Storm 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Nelson County's record, 52% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 29 87.9%

of all 33 declarations

Emergency - 4 12.1%

of all 33 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2023 2
2022 1
2021 1
2020 4
2013 1
2011 2
2010 2
2009 1
2005 2
2004 1
2001 1
2000 1
1999 1
1998 1
Show 10 earlier declaration years
1997 2
1996 1
1995 1
1994 1
1993 1
1979 1
1974 1
1969 1
1966 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 33 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 33 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4895 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2025-10-22
4717 FLOODING DR Flood 2023-07-05
4686 SEVERE WINTER STORM, SNOWSTORM, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Snowstorm 2023-02-05
4660 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2022-07-13
4565 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-10-02
4553 FLOODING DR Flood 2020-07-09
4509 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-01
3477 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4475 FLOODING DR Flood 2020-01-21
4128 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-07-12
1981 FLOODING DR Flood 2011-05-10
3318 FLOODING EM Flood 2011-04-07
1907 FLOODING DR Flood 2010-04-30
3309 FLOODING EM Flood 2010-03-14
1829 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-03-24
3247 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-13
1597 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 2005-07-22
1515 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 2004-05-05
1376 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, & GROUND SATURATION DR Flood 2001-05-28
1334 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 2000-06-27
Show 13 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1279 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, SNOW, ICE, GROUND SATURATION, LANSLIDES, MUDSLIDES, AND TOR DR Flood 1999-06-08
1220 FLOODING, GROUND SATURATION,SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1998-06-15
1174 SEVERE FLOODING,SEVERE WINTER STORMS, SNOWMELT, SPRING RAINS DR Flood 1997-04-07
1157 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-12
1118 SEVERE STORMS,FLOODING, & ICE JAMS DR Severe Storm 1996-06-05
1050 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 1995-05-16
1032 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-07-01
1001 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-26
581 SEVERE STORMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-04-26
434 HEAVY RAINS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-05-14
256 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-18
216 FLOODING DR Flood 1966-03-23
195 FLOODING DR Flood 1965-05-10

Storm Events in North Dakota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Nelson County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 2,705 0 2 $116.1M
Thunderstorm Wind 2,459 2 10 $67.0M
High Wind 1,184 1 1 $2.9M
Heavy Snow 925 0 3 $650.0K
Blizzard 905 2 2 $60.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

52

Total Paid

$1.0M

Avg Per Claim

$19.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 7.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$3.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hail Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Earthquake Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hail

Hail is among the most expensive hazards in the model relative to how little it threatens life. It concentrates on roofs, vehicles and crops, and a single severe storm can generate an insurance loss across a metropolitan area without a single injury.

Worth noting for Nelson County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Hail carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Nelson County's closest FEMA peer: Washington County, VT

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Nelson County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Nelson County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Nelson County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Nelson County's NFIP claims file (52 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Nelson County?
The most common disaster type in Nelson County is Flood, with 17 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (12), Biological (2), Snowstorm (1).
How does Nelson County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Dakota average?
FEMA lists 33 declaration records for Nelson County. That is 27% above the North Dakota county mean of 25.9. Its count is also 59% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Nelson County received?
Nelson County has received 29 major disaster declarations, representing 88% of all 33 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Nelson County filed?
Nelson County has 52 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.0M in payments, with an average of $19.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Nelson County?
No. In Nelson County, Hail has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Cold Wave leads Expected Annual Loss at about $908.2K. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Nelson County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Nelson County was 2020, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Nelson County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Nelson County, North Dakota has an overall risk score of 7.9 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $3.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Nelson County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Nelson County as of the latest release is Hail (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively Moderate) and Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hail here at an average of 3.7 times per year, drawn from 141 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Nelson County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · North Dakota profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events