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Kentucky · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Oldham County, KY

18 FEMA disaster declarations (1974-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

18
FEMA declarations
12
Major disasters
56
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Oldham County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 18 declarations, more than 37% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 36% below the Kentucky county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 44%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 44%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
18
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1,083
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 21185 · Oldham County 18 declarations · rank 2064/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 18
  • MAJOR-MID 67%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,064
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monroe
  • NRI-LOW 56
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -36%

Nearest declaration peer: Monroe, TN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Kentucky state profile

Oldham County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Oldham County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Oldham County carries 18 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2064 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Oldham County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Oldham County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Oldham County

18 37th percentile higher than 37% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Oldham County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Kentucky avg44/10056/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kentucky county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Oldham County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $13.9M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Oldham County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 1,083 claims and $27.6M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $25.5K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

Start with the state benchmark: a Kentucky county averages 28.1 federal declaration records, while Oldham County has 18. The gap is 36% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 56.0/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $29.1M in annualized losses), and a Very Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Very High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 6.1 times per year here, based on 234 historical events on record.

58 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Oldham County, KY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
13/30

18 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
8/25

18 declarations (0.6x state county average of 28)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

12 of 18 declarations are major disasters (67%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Oldham County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Oldham County

Oldham County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 17 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 17 8-hazard mean
Oldham County NRI risk profile FIPS 21185 · displayed-hazard mean 17/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

18

Below median

Major Disaster share

67%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

56

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Oldham County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 6.1 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 7 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 51 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 471 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 4.8 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 10 times per year
Hail Very Low an average of 3.4 times per year
Drought Very Low 3 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 35,517 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 159 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 9
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Winter Storm 1
Hurricane 1
Snowstorm 1
Flood 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Oldham County's record, 50% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 12 66.7%

of all 18 declarations

Emergency - 6 33.3%

of all 18 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 3
2024 1
2020 2
2011 1
2009 3
2005 1
2004 1
2000 1
1997 1
1996 1
1979 1
1974 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 18 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 18 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3633 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4864 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2025-04-24
3626 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-03
3624 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EM Severe Storm 2025-02-16
4782 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2024-05-22
4497 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3469 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1976 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-04
1818 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2009-02-05
3302 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-28
1802 SEVERE WIND STORM ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE DR Severe Storm 2008-10-09
3231 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1523 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2004-06-10
1320 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2000-02-28
1163 SEVERE STORM, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1997-03-04
1089 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
568 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-12-12
420 TORNADOES DR Tornado 1974-04-04

Storm Events in Kentucky

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Oldham County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,702 9 56 $55.2M
Flash Flood 1,757 65 16 $42.6M
Flood 1,646 31 6 $37.1M
Hail 1,534 1 0 $4.7M
Winter Weather 1,079 14 54 $655.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1,083

Total Paid

$27.6M

Avg Per Claim

$25.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 56.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$29.1M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Relatively High
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Drought Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Hurricane Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

For Oldham County the two measures on this page point the same way: Strong Wind is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Oldham County's closest FEMA peer: Macomb County, MI

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Oldham County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Oldham County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Oldham County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Oldham County's NFIP claims file (1,083 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Oldham County?
The most common disaster type in Oldham County is Severe Storm, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Severe Ice Storm (2), Winter Storm (1).
How does Oldham County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Kentucky average?
The typical Kentucky county has 28.1 FEMA declaration records; Oldham County has 18, or 36% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 13% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Oldham County received?
Oldham County has received 12 major disaster declarations, representing 67% of all 18 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Oldham County filed?
Oldham County has 1,083 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $27.6M in payments, with an average of $25.5K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Oldham County?
No. In Oldham County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $13.9M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Oldham County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Oldham County was 2009, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1974 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Oldham County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Oldham County, Kentucky has an overall risk score of 56.0 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very Low; on community resilience, Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $29.1M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Oldham County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Oldham County is Strong Wind (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Tornado (Relatively Moderate) and Lightning (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 6.1 times per year, drawn from 234 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Oldham County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Kentucky profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events