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Kentucky · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Shelby County, KY

6 FEMA disaster declarations (2022–2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

6
FEMA declarations
2
Major disasters
62
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Shelby County ranks in the riskiest 38% of U.S. counties for FEMA-modeled hazard risk, with more federally declared disasters than 80% of the 2,791 counties FEMA tracks. FEMA rates the county's overall risk as Relatively Low, based on 6 federal disaster declarations recorded since 2022, most often severe storm, 56% above the national county average of 4.

Riskiest 38%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
6
FEMA declarations vs 4 national county avg
3
severe storm declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index score reflects expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience; the declaration count above reflects only Presidentially declared disasters, not every hazard event.

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How does Shelby County compare?

Shelby County vs. every U.S. county

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

6 Top 20% higher than 80% of 2,791 counties

This county 0 30 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-07-25

Shelby County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kentucky county average

0/100100/100Kentucky avg44/10061.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kentucky county average

How disaster-prone is Shelby County?

Declaration frequency

Shelby County, Kentucky has recorded 6 FEMA disaster declarations between 2022 and 2026, of which 2 were classified as Major Disaster declarations (DR) requiring federal individual and public assistance. That puts the county's average at 1.5 declarations per year across a 4-year record, or roughly 25% below the Kentucky county average of 8.0 and 56% above the national county average of 3.8. The dominant disaster type on record is Severe Storm, with 3 of 6 declarations falling under this category.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 61.9/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $21.5M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High.

Flood exposure & the bottom line

Taken together, these indicators put Shelby County at a moderate relative risk level, not the calmest county on record, but not among the most disaster-prone either.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level

Moderate

vs. Kentucky Avg

-25%

State avg: 8.0

vs. National Avg

+56%

National avg: 3.8

Avg Per Year

1.5

Over 4 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Shelby County

Shelby County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard composite scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 0, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. Overall composite 23 of 100, classified Low. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 23 composite
Shelby County NRI risk profile FIPS 21211 · composite 23/100 (Low)
How to read this radar

The radar plots Shelby County's relative exposure to the eight headline natural hazards used by the FEMA National Risk Index. Each axis is the qualitative NRI risk rating (Very Low through Very High) re-expressed on a 0-100 scale so that the polygon shape lets you compare a county against another at a glance. A rounder polygon means broad multi-hazard exposure; a spiky polygon means one or two dominant hazards drive most of the modeled risk.

FEMA Records

6

Total declarations

NRI Source

FEMA 2023

Latest NRI release

County FIPS

21211

KY state code

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, 2023 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 3
Tornado 2
Winter Storm 1

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 4 66.7%

of all 6 declarations

Major Disaster - 2 33.3%

of all 6 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2023 1
2022 2

Disaster Declarations

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3633 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3626 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-03
3624 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EM Severe Storm 2025-02-16
4702 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-10
4630 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Tornado 2021-12-12
3575 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES EM Tornado 2021-12-11

Storm Events in Kentucky

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,073 10 60 $63.7M
Flash Flood 2,127 113 16 $45.1M
Flood 1,906 37 8 $42.2M
Hail 1,898 1 0 $7.2M
Winter Weather 1,331 16 85 $1.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015–2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 61.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$21.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Relatively High
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Hurricane Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

Counties with Similar Risk in Kentucky

Frequently Asked Questions

How many natural disasters has Shelby County, Kentucky had?
Shelby County, Kentucky has received 6 FEMA disaster declarations from 2022 to 2026. Of these, 2 were major disaster declarations.
What is the most common disaster type in Shelby County?
The most common disaster type in Shelby County is Severe Storm, with 3 declarations. Other disaster types include Tornado (2), Winter Storm (1).
How does Shelby County's disaster risk compare to the Kentucky average?
Shelby County has 6 disaster declarations, which is 25% lower than the Kentucky county average of 8.0 declarations. Compared to the national county average of 3.8, it is 56% higher.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Shelby County received?
Shelby County has received 2 major disaster declarations, representing 33% of all 6 disaster declarations. Major disaster declarations typically involve significant damage requiring federal assistance.
What types of storms are most common in Kentucky?
The most common storm types in Kentucky include Thunderstorm Wind (8,073 events), Flash Flood (2,127 events), Flood (1,906 events). NOAA storm event data covers severe weather from 2015 to 2025.
What was the worst year for disasters in Shelby County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Shelby County was 2022, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 2022 to 2026.
What is the overall disaster risk level for Shelby County?
With 6 FEMA disaster declarations on record, Shelby County lands in the moderate-risk band, not unusually disaster-prone, but not spared either.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Shelby County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Shelby County, Kentucky has an overall risk score of 61.9 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $21.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Shelby County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Shelby County is Strong Wind (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Tornado (Relatively Moderate) and Lightning (Relatively High). These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015–2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Shelby County

Shelby County, KY runs 25% below the Kentucky county average for federal disaster declarations (6 vs 8), a moderate historical load overall.

  • Its most common federal declaration type is emergency (4 of 6) - know the hazards most likely here before they happen. Kentucky overview
  • See how this county ranks against the rest of the country for disaster frequency. Most-disaster rankings
  • Read how to read FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and what they do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide

Historical declaration counts describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. This page draws directly on FEMA federal disaster data, no figure is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, or report a data error.