PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Kansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Pawnee County, KS

28 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

28
FEMA declarations
25
Major disasters
32
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Pawnee County. Its 28 FEMA declarations are 56% above the Kansas county mean and exceed the count for 81% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 32%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 32%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
28
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
7
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

View my watchlist

FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 20145 · Pawnee County 28 declarations · rank 509/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-HIGH

  • DECL-HEAVY 28
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 89%
  • RANK-MID #509
  • PHOTO-FINISH Loíza
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-HIGH +56%

Nearest declaration peer: Loíza, PR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Kansas state profile

Pawnee County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Pawnee County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Pawnee County carries 28 FEMA declaration records, ranked 509 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Pawnee County ranks in the national declaration registry

Pawnee County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Pawnee County

28 Top 19% higher than 81% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Pawnee County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Kansas avg30/10031.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kansas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Pawnee County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $2.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Pawnee County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 31.6/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $10.7M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively Low) and community resilience (Very High) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Drought stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 65 modeled event-days per year here, based on 1,659 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 7 claims and $12.5K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Pawnee County's 28 federal records stand 56% above the Kansas county mean of 18.0. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

79 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Pawnee County, KS · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

28 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
19/25

28 declarations (1.6x state county average of 18)

Major Disaster Share Very High
22/25

25 of 28 declarations are major disasters (89%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Pawnee County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Pawnee County

Pawnee County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 70, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Pawnee County NRI risk profile FIPS 20145 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

28

High volume

Major Disaster share

89%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

32

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Pawnee County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively High 65 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 11 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 3.4 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 2,372 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 5.7 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 11 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,658 years
Heat Wave Very Low 4.8 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Very Low an average of 46 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 12 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 18
Flood 3
Snowstorm 2
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Severe Ice Storm 1
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Pawnee County's record, 64% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 25 89.3%

of all 28 declarations

Emergency - 3 10.7%

of all 28 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2024 4
2022 2
2020 2
2019 1
2017 1
2015 1
2014 1
2013 1
2010 1
2008 3
2007 3
2006 1
2005 1
2004 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1973 2
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 28 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 28 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4869 SEVERE WINTER STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND WILDFIRES DR Severe Storm 2025-05-21
4824 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-09-24
4811 SEVERE STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-08-20
4774 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2024-04-28
4747 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2023-10-26
4654 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Snowstorm 2022-05-25
4640 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2022-02-17
4504 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-29
3481 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4449 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING,LANDSLIDES,AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2019-06-20
4304 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2017-02-24
4230 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-07-20
4150 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-10-22
4112 SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2013-04-26
1932 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2010-08-10
1776 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2008-07-09
1741 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2008-02-01
3282 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Storm 2007-12-12
1711 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-07-02
1699 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-05-06
Show 8 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1675 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2007-01-07
1626 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2006-01-26
3236 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1535 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2004-08-03
1000 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-22
403 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1973-09-28
378 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-05-02
201 FLOODING DR Flood 1965-06-23

Storm Events in Kansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Pawnee County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 8,265 0 9 $24.2M
Thunderstorm Wind 7,987 3 34 $30.6M
High Wind 1,553 1 7 $10.2M
Drought 1,272 0 0 $0
Flash Flood 1,037 6 9 $35.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

7

Total Paid

$12.5K

Avg Per Claim

$1.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 31.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$10.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Hurricane No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Pawnee County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Pawnee County's closest FEMA peer: Towner County, ND

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Pawnee County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Pawnee County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Pawnee County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 28 FEMA declarations, Pawnee County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Pawnee County?
The most common disaster type in Pawnee County is Severe Storm, with 18 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (3), Snowstorm (2), Biological (2).
How does Pawnee County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Kansas average?
FEMA lists 28 declaration records for Pawnee County. That is 56% above the Kansas county mean of 18.0. Its count is also 35% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Pawnee County received?
Pawnee County has received 25 major disaster declarations, representing 89% of all 28 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Pawnee County filed?
Pawnee County has 7 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $12.5K in payments, with an average of $1.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Pawnee County?
No. In Pawnee County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Pawnee County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Pawnee County was 2024, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Pawnee County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Pawnee County, Kansas has an overall risk score of 31.6 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $10.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Pawnee County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Pawnee County is Drought (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Moderate) and Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 65 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 1,659 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Pawnee County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Kansas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events