Polk County, Nebraska

County storm and disaster record · FIPS 31143 · population 5,214 · 439 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 524 records for Polk County, Nebraska from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 390 days; the most frequent are hail reports (140 records). The most damaging was the May 7, 1993 tornado ($102 million in 2025 dollars). FEMA has issued 20 declarations naming the county since 1967, 18 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds” on May 21, 2025.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
524on 390 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
019 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$363Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
Tornadoes
38strongest F5
FEMA declarations
20latest 2025

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Polk County most?

The most frequent records are hail reports: 140 since 1956. 53% of its hail reports since 1956 fell in May and June. The rank column places the county among Nebraska's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.

Polk County: records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
Hail 140 101 1956-2025 0 0 $33M 29 of 93
Winter storms 109 109 1996-2025 0 0 $1.1M 5 of 93
Severe thunderstorm wind 95 71 1960-2025 0 1 $13M 37 of 93
Drought 43 43 2000-2026 0 0 $56M 10 of 93
Tornadoes 38 31 1955-2024 0 3 $246M 6 of 93
High wind and dust storms 32 32 1997-2026 0 9 $1.7M 20 of 93
Heavy rain 30 10 2007-2019 0 0 $71K 8 of 93
Floods 19 18 2005-2024 0 0 $9.6M 24 of 93
Extreme cold 12 12 1996-2025 0 0 $36K 37 of 93
Heat 3 3 2011-2023 0 0 $1.9M 33 of 93
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds 2 1 2005-2005 0 0 – 64 of 93
Lightning 1 1 2023-2023 0 6 – 46 of 93

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

How many tornadoes has Polk County had?

NOAA records 38 tornadoes in Polk County from 1955 to 2024, the strongest rated F5, with 0 deaths and 3 injuries recorded in the county. That is 6th of 93 Nebraska counties and 179th of 3,080 U.S. counties by days with tornadoes per 1,000 square miles since 1950. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.

Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 38 tornadoes whose track touched Polk County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 38, the same count); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.

The deadliest and strongest tornadoes that touched Polk County, whole tracks
DateTornadoRatingPathKilled
1978-04-07 20:45, as SPC files itPhillips to MarquetteF431.2 mi0
1978-04-07 23:10, as SPC files itShelbyF48 mi0
2011-06-20 17:02, as SPC files itPolkEF39.49 mi0
2001-10-09 16:50, as SPC files itHordvilleF318 mi0
1962-07-21 20:30, as SPC files itDuncanF325.2 mi0

Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Nebraska.

Every tornado record filed for Polk County (38)
Every tornado recorded in Polk County, newest first
DatePlaceCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2024-08-14 Shelby, Polk County EFU 0.01 mi x 15 yd 0 0 –
2024-05-21 Shelby, Polk County EF0 4.12 mi x 75 yd 0 0 $941K
2021-12-15 Polk County EF1 7.54 mi x 350 yd 0 0 $436K
2021-12-15 Hordville, Polk County EF1 3.31 mi x 400 yd 0 0 $163K
2021-05-02 Stromsburg, Polk County EF0 1.33 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $49K
2014-04-27 Swedehome, Polk County EF0 0.4 mi x 45 yd 0 0 –
2011-06-20 Durant, Polk County EF3 9.49 mi x 880 yd 0 0 $5.9M
2011-05-12 Swedehome, Polk County EF0 0.99 mi x 30 yd 0 0 –
2011-05-12 Stromsburg, Polk County EF0 0.74 mi x 30 yd 0 0 –
2011-05-11 Osceola, Polk County EF1 2.29 mi x 75 yd 0 0 $131K
2005-05-10 Stromsburg, Polk County F0 0.1 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
2001-10-09 Swedehome, Polk County F1 2 mi x 400 yd 0 0 $83K
2001-10-09 Polk County F3 16 mi x 1,500 yd 0 0 $4.3M
2001-10-09 Polk County F0 1 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $83K
1993-05-07 Blue Hill To, Polk County F3 60 mi x 10 yd 0 0 $102M
1992-06-15 Polk County F2 2 mi x 150 yd 0 0 $250K step
1991-05-29 Polk County F0 1 mi x 40 yd 0 0 $3K step
1986-06-29 Polk County F1 0.3 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $250K step
1986-06-29 Polk County F1 0.3 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $25K step
1985-06-23 Polk County F1 2 mi x 40 yd 0 0 $250K step
1985-04-19 Polk County F1 0.1 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $25K step
1978-04-07 Polk County 0 0 $2.5M step
1978-04-07 Polk County 0 0 $25M step
1975-05-10 Polk County F0 0.2 mi x 10 yd 0 0 $3K step
1975-03-27 Polk County F1 0.7 mi x 60 yd 0 0 $3K step
1973-05-26 Polk County F0 0 0 $25K step
1973-04-30 Polk County F0 0 0 $25K step
1971-06-04 Polk County F0 0 0 –
1969-07-16 Polk County F0 0 0 –
1969-07-16 Polk County F0 7.1 mi x 33 yd 0 0 $3K step
1968-07-30 Polk County F2 6.4 mi x 200 yd 0 2 $250K step
1965-05-15 Polk County F0 0 0 –
1964-05-05 Polk County F5 25.8 mi x 880 yd 0 0 $25K step
1962-07-21 Polk County F3 25.2 mi x 880 yd 0 1 $250K step
1962-06-06 Polk County F0 0 0 $250 step
1959-05-04 Polk County 0 0 $3K step
1956-05-12 Polk County F1 4 mi x 33 yd 0 0 $25K step
1955-07-09 Polk County F1 0 0 $25K step

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.

When was the last damaging storm in Polk County?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the May 19, 2025 hail ($250,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).

For the third time in less than a week, severe weather impacted south central Nebraska. A narrow, broken line of thunderstorms formed roughly along Nebraska Highway 14 and slowly moved east during the afternoon hours. Though reports of severe weather were limited, hail was very large in some spots. The town of Edgar in Clay county was hardest hit with baseball sized hail. Most homes in towns sustained at least some damage, including broken windows, shredded siding and roof damage. Tree damage was extensive as well. Half-dollar to ping-pong sized hail was reported in parts of Nance, Merrick and Polk counties. By late afternoon, the storms weakened slightly and moved east of south central Nebraska. A narrow axis of unstable air forced its way into south central Nebraska ahead of a surface and upper level low pressure to the west. …
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 1270036)
The 12 most recent records kept for Polk County
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-03-17 DroughtPolk County · forecast zone Polk 0 0 –
2026-03-15 High WindPolk County · forecast zone Polk 52 kt wind 0 0 –
2025-08-18 Thunderstorm WindShelby, Polk County 52 kt wind 0 0 –
2025-08-18 HailShelby, Polk County 1.00 in hail 0 0 –
2025-08-18 HailShelby, Polk County 1.75 in hail 0 0 –
2025-05-19 HailOsceola, Polk County 1.00 in hail 0 0 –
2025-05-19 HailSwedehome, Polk County 1.75 in hail 0 0 $250K
2025-05-16 High WindPolk County · forecast zone Polk 52 kt wind 0 0 –
2025-05-13 DroughtPolk County · forecast zone Polk 0 0 –
2025-04-01 Thunderstorm WindPolk County 56 kt wind 0 0 –
2025-04-01 HailOsceola, Polk County 1.00 in hail 0 0 –
2025-03-19 BlizzardPolk County · forecast zone Polk 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Polk County, most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2004-05-05 Dust StormPolk County · forecast zone Polk Blowing dust was caused by outflow winds, estimated to be around 50mph, from a nearby thunderstorm. This occurred about 3 miles east of Shelby. 0 9 $102K
2023-07-07 LightningShelby, Polk County Six employees working on the construction of a new grain elevator on the northeastern fringe of Shelby were sent to the hospital with non-life threatening injuries when lightning struck the structure. 0 6 –
1968-07-30 TornadoPolk County F2 6.4 mi x 200 yd 0 2 $250K step
2003-06-09 Thunderstorm WindShelby, Polk County Thunderstorms ripped south-central Nebraska with tornadoes, damaging winds and hail. A rain-wrapped tornado was sighted in western Valley county shortly after 7:30 pm by several storm chasers. The tornado blasted 2 farmsteads, one of which was abandoned. A total of 14 outbuildings were damaged or destroyed. The ... 70 kt wind 0 1 $3.2M
1962-07-21 TornadoPolk County F3 25.2 mi x 880 yd 0 1 $250K step

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

The costliest records in Polk County since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
1993-05-07 TornadoBlue Hill To, Polk County F3 60 mi x 10 yd 0 0 $102M
2011-06-20 TornadoDurant, Polk County EF3 9.49 mi x 880 yd 0 0 $5.9M
2021-06-22 HailOsceola, Polk County 1.50 in hail 0 0 $5.5M
2001-10-09 TornadoPolk County F3 16 mi x 1,500 yd 0 0 $4.3M
2016-05-10 Flash FloodPolk County 0 0 $3.8M
2014-07-31 HailStromsburg, Polk County 1.00 in hail 0 0 $3.2M
2014-07-31 Thunderstorm WindStromsburg, Polk County 52 kt wind 0 0 $3.2M
2003-06-09 Thunderstorm WindShelby, Polk County 70 kt wind 0 1 $3.2M

Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $25M, in the dollars of the day) holds: April 7, 1978 (tornado, Polk County).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Polk County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Polk County: records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
Hail2210919424016
Winter storms––––16313527
Severe thunderstorm wind033613202426
Drought––––021328
Tornadoes37743455
High wind and dust storms––––39614

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

53% of its hail reports since 1956 fell in May and June. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 33 · Feb 40 · Mar 34 · Apr 51 · May 76 · Jun 86 · Jul 59 · Aug 45 · Sep 20 · Oct 25 · Nov 16 · Dec 39 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Polk County

FEMA's register lists 20 declarations that include Polk County: 18 major disasters, 2 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for severe storm (11) and flood (4).

Declarations including Polk County, newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2025-05-21DR-4868Winter StormSevere Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds
2024-08-20DR-4808Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
2022-07-27DR-4662Severe StormSevere Storms and Straight-Line Winds
2022-02-23DR-4641Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes
2020-04-04DR-4521BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3483BiologicalCovid-19
2019-03-21DR-4420FloodSevere Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
2017-08-01DR-4325Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Straight-Line Winds
2014-07-28DR-4185Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
2011-08-12DR-4014Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight Line Winds, and Flooding
2010-04-21DR-1902FloodSevere Storms, Ice Jams, and Flooding
2010-02-25DR-1878Severe StormSevere Winter Storms and Snowstorm
2008-06-20DR-1770Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
2007-01-07DR-1674Severe StormSevere Winter Storms
2005-09-13EM-3245HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuees
2003-07-21DR-1480Severe StormSevere Storms and Tornadoes
1997-11-01DR-1190Severe StormSevere Snow Storms, Rain, and Strong Winds
1993-07-19DR-998FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
1976-04-08DR-500Severe Ice StormIce Storms & High Winds
1967-07-18DR-228FloodSevere Storms & Flooding

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Polk County had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 19 flood or flash flood records for Polk County from 2005 to 2024, on 18 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Polk County ranks 2523rd of 2,942 U.S. counties.

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $29,000 on 6 claims filed in Polk County; the most in one year was 1 in 1978. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1978: 1 · 1984: 1 · 1985: 1 · 1993: 1 · 2019: 1 · 2020: 1; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Polk County

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Polk County Very Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $12.4 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Polk County (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
HailRelatively High$4.6M7.3 a year (modeled)
DroughtRelatively Moderate$1.5M43 modeled event-days a year
Strong WindRelatively Moderate$1.5M4.1 a year (modeled)
Ice StormRelatively Low$139Kabout once a year (modeled)
LightningRelatively Low$298K44 a year (modeled)
Winter WeatherRelatively Low$75K14 a year (modeled)
TornadoRelatively Low$1.1Monce in about 3 years (modeled)
WildfireVery Low$34Konce in about 2,483 years (modeled)

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Polk County

  1. Platte County 739
  2. York County 730
  3. Hamilton County 713
  4. Merrick County 660
  5. Seward County 611
  6. Butler County 564
  7. Polk County 524

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

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