Polk County, Nebraska
County storm and disaster record · FIPS 31143 · population 5,214 · 439 sq mi
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 524 records for Polk County, Nebraska from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 390 days; the most frequent are hail reports (140 records). The most damaging was the May 7, 1993 tornado ($102 million in 2025 dollars). FEMA has issued 20 declarations naming the county since 1967, 18 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds” on May 21, 2025.
The record, 1950 to 2026
Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).
- recorded, no damage figure
- under $100,000
- $100,000 or more
- $1 million or more
- $10 million or more, or a death
- $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
- a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
- a year with a death
- 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
- 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
- Storm records
- 524on 390 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
- Deaths recorded
- 019 injuries
- Damage, 2025 dollars
- $363Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
- Tornadoes
- 38strongest F5
- FEMA declarations
- 20latest 2025
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.
What hazards hit Polk County most?
The most frequent records are hail reports: 140 since 1956. 53% of its hail reports since 1956 fell in May and June. The rank column places the county among Nebraska's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.
| Hazard | Records | Days | First, last | Killed | Injured | Damage | Rank in state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | 140 | 101 | 1956-2025 | 0 | 0 | $33M | 29 of 93 |
| Winter storms | 109 | 109 | 1996-2025 | 0 | 0 | $1.1M | 5 of 93 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 95 | 71 | 1960-2025 | 0 | 1 | $13M | 37 of 93 |
| Drought | 43 | 43 | 2000-2026 | 0 | 0 | $56M | 10 of 93 |
| Tornadoes | 38 | 31 | 1955-2024 | 0 | 3 | $246M | 6 of 93 |
| High wind and dust storms | 32 | 32 | 1997-2026 | 0 | 9 | $1.7M | 20 of 93 |
| Heavy rain | 30 | 10 | 2007-2019 | 0 | 0 | $71K | 8 of 93 |
| Floods | 19 | 18 | 2005-2024 | 0 | 0 | $9.6M | 24 of 93 |
| Extreme cold | 12 | 12 | 1996-2025 | 0 | 0 | $36K | 37 of 93 |
| Heat | 3 | 3 | 2011-2023 | 0 | 0 | $1.9M | 33 of 93 |
| Fog, smoke and funnel clouds | 2 | 1 | 2005-2005 | 0 | 0 | – | 64 of 93 |
| Lightning | 1 | 1 | 2023-2023 | 0 | 6 | – | 46 of 93 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.
How many tornadoes has Polk County had?
NOAA records 38 tornadoes in Polk County from 1955 to 2024, the strongest rated F5, with 0 deaths and 3 injuries recorded in the county. That is 6th of 93 Nebraska counties and 179th of 3,080 U.S. counties by days with tornadoes per 1,000 square miles since 1950. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.
Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 38 tornadoes whose track touched Polk County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 38, the same count); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.
| Date | Tornado | Rating | Path | Killed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1978-04-07 20:45, as SPC files it | Phillips to Marquette | F4 | 31.2 mi | 0 |
| 1978-04-07 23:10, as SPC files it | Shelby | F4 | 8 mi | 0 |
| 2011-06-20 17:02, as SPC files it | Polk | EF3 | 9.49 mi | 0 |
| 2001-10-09 16:50, as SPC files it | Hordville | F3 | 18 mi | 0 |
| 1962-07-21 20:30, as SPC files it | Duncan | F3 | 25.2 mi | 0 |
Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Nebraska.
Every tornado record filed for Polk County (38)
| Date | Place | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-14 | Shelby, Polk County | EFU 0.01 mi x 15 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2024-05-21 | Shelby, Polk County | EF0 4.12 mi x 75 yd | 0 | 0 | $941K |
| 2021-12-15 | Polk County | EF1 7.54 mi x 350 yd | 0 | 0 | $436K |
| 2021-12-15 | Hordville, Polk County | EF1 3.31 mi x 400 yd | 0 | 0 | $163K |
| 2021-05-02 | Stromsburg, Polk County | EF0 1.33 mi x 100 yd | 0 | 0 | $49K |
| 2014-04-27 | Swedehome, Polk County | EF0 0.4 mi x 45 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2011-06-20 | Durant, Polk County | EF3 9.49 mi x 880 yd | 0 | 0 | $5.9M |
| 2011-05-12 | Swedehome, Polk County | EF0 0.99 mi x 30 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2011-05-12 | Stromsburg, Polk County | EF0 0.74 mi x 30 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2011-05-11 | Osceola, Polk County | EF1 2.29 mi x 75 yd | 0 | 0 | $131K |
| 2005-05-10 | Stromsburg, Polk County | F0 0.1 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2001-10-09 | Swedehome, Polk County | F1 2 mi x 400 yd | 0 | 0 | $83K |
| 2001-10-09 | Polk County | F3 16 mi x 1,500 yd | 0 | 0 | $4.3M |
| 2001-10-09 | Polk County | F0 1 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $83K |
| 1993-05-07 | Blue Hill To, Polk County | F3 60 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | $102M |
| 1992-06-15 | Polk County | F2 2 mi x 150 yd | 0 | 0 | $250K step |
| 1991-05-29 | Polk County | F0 1 mi x 40 yd | 0 | 0 | $3K step |
| 1986-06-29 | Polk County | F1 0.3 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $250K step |
| 1986-06-29 | Polk County | F1 0.3 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1985-06-23 | Polk County | F1 2 mi x 40 yd | 0 | 0 | $250K step |
| 1985-04-19 | Polk County | F1 0.1 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1978-04-07 | Polk County | 0 | 0 | $2.5M step | |
| 1978-04-07 | Polk County | 0 | 0 | $25M step | |
| 1975-05-10 | Polk County | F0 0.2 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | $3K step |
| 1975-03-27 | Polk County | F1 0.7 mi x 60 yd | 0 | 0 | $3K step |
| 1973-05-26 | Polk County | F0 | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1973-04-30 | Polk County | F0 | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1971-06-04 | Polk County | F0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1969-07-16 | Polk County | F0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1969-07-16 | Polk County | F0 7.1 mi x 33 yd | 0 | 0 | $3K step |
| 1968-07-30 | Polk County | F2 6.4 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 2 | $250K step |
| 1965-05-15 | Polk County | F0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1964-05-05 | Polk County | F5 25.8 mi x 880 yd | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1962-07-21 | Polk County | F3 25.2 mi x 880 yd | 0 | 1 | $250K step |
| 1962-06-06 | Polk County | F0 | 0 | 0 | $250 step |
| 1959-05-04 | Polk County | 0 | 0 | $3K step | |
| 1956-05-12 | Polk County | F1 4 mi x 33 yd | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1955-07-09 | Polk County | F1 | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.
When was the last damaging storm in Polk County?
The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the May 19, 2025 hail ($250,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).
For the third time in less than a week, severe weather impacted south central Nebraska. A narrow, broken line of thunderstorms formed roughly along Nebraska Highway 14 and slowly moved east during the afternoon hours. Though reports of severe weather were limited, hail was very large in some spots. The town of Edgar in Clay county was hardest hit with baseball sized hail. Most homes in towns sustained at least some damage, including broken windows, shredded siding and roof damage. Tree damage was extensive as well. Half-dollar to ping-pong sized hail was reported in parts of Nance, Merrick and Polk counties. By late afternoon, the storms weakened slightly and moved east of south central Nebraska. A narrow axis of unstable air forced its way into south central Nebraska ahead of a surface and upper level low pressure to the west. …
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 1270036)
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | DroughtPolk County · forecast zone Polk | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-03-15 | High WindPolk County · forecast zone Polk | 52 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2025-08-18 | Thunderstorm WindShelby, Polk County | 52 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2025-08-18 | HailShelby, Polk County | 1.00 in hail | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2025-08-18 | HailShelby, Polk County | 1.75 in hail | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2025-05-19 | HailOsceola, Polk County | 1.00 in hail | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2025-05-19 | HailSwedehome, Polk County | 1.75 in hail | 0 | 0 | $250K |
| 2025-05-16 | High WindPolk County · forecast zone Polk | 52 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2025-05-13 | DroughtPolk County · forecast zone Polk | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2025-04-01 | Thunderstorm WindPolk County | 56 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2025-04-01 | HailOsceola, Polk County | 1.00 in hail | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2025-03-19 | BlizzardPolk County · forecast zone Polk | 0 | 0 | – |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.
The deadliest and costliest records
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-05-05 | Dust StormPolk County · forecast zone Polk Blowing dust was caused by outflow winds, estimated to be around 50mph, from a nearby thunderstorm. This occurred about 3 miles east of Shelby. | 0 | 9 | $102K | |
| 2023-07-07 | LightningShelby, Polk County Six employees working on the construction of a new grain elevator on the northeastern fringe of Shelby were sent to the hospital with non-life threatening injuries when lightning struck the structure. | 0 | 6 | – | |
| 1968-07-30 | TornadoPolk County | F2 6.4 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 2 | $250K step |
| 2003-06-09 | Thunderstorm WindShelby, Polk County Thunderstorms ripped south-central Nebraska with tornadoes, damaging winds and hail. A rain-wrapped tornado was sighted in western Valley county shortly after 7:30 pm by several storm chasers. The tornado blasted 2 farmsteads, one of which was abandoned. A total of 14 outbuildings were damaged or destroyed. The ... | 70 kt wind | 0 | 1 | $3.2M |
| 1962-07-21 | TornadoPolk County | F3 25.2 mi x 880 yd | 0 | 1 | $250K step |
A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-05-07 | TornadoBlue Hill To, Polk County | F3 60 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | $102M |
| 2011-06-20 | TornadoDurant, Polk County | EF3 9.49 mi x 880 yd | 0 | 0 | $5.9M |
| 2021-06-22 | HailOsceola, Polk County | 1.50 in hail | 0 | 0 | $5.5M |
| 2001-10-09 | TornadoPolk County | F3 16 mi x 1,500 yd | 0 | 0 | $4.3M |
| 2016-05-10 | Flash FloodPolk County | 0 | 0 | $3.8M | |
| 2014-07-31 | HailStromsburg, Polk County | 1.00 in hail | 0 | 0 | $3.2M |
| 2014-07-31 | Thunderstorm WindStromsburg, Polk County | 52 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $3.2M |
| 2003-06-09 | Thunderstorm WindShelby, Polk County | 70 kt wind | 0 | 1 | $3.2M |
Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $25M, in the dollars of the day) holds: April 7, 1978 (tornado, Polk County).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.
Is it getting more frequent?
Records per decade for Polk County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).
| Hazard | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 40 | 16 |
| Winter storms | – | – | – | – | 16 | 31 | 35 | 27 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 24 | 26 |
| Drought | – | – | – | – | 0 | 2 | 13 | 28 |
| Tornadoes | 3 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| High wind and dust storms | – | – | – | – | 3 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).
What time of year?
53% of its hail reports since 1956 fell in May and June. The two busiest months are in violet.
The values, month by month
Jan 33 · Feb 40 · Mar 34 · Apr 51 · May 76 · Jun 86 · Jul 59 · Aug 45 · Sep 20 · Oct 25 · Nov 16 · Dec 39 (records).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.
Federal disaster declarations for Polk County
FEMA's register lists 20 declarations that include Polk County: 18 major disasters, 2 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for severe storm (11) and flood (4).
| Declared | Number | Type | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-21 | DR-4868 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds |
| 2024-08-20 | DR-4808 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| 2022-07-27 | DR-4662 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms and Straight-Line Winds |
| 2022-02-23 | DR-4641 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes |
| 2020-04-04 | DR-4521 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020-03-13 | EM-3483 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019-03-21 | DR-4420 | Flood | Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding |
| 2017-08-01 | DR-4325 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Straight-Line Winds |
| 2014-07-28 | DR-4185 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding |
| 2011-08-12 | DR-4014 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight Line Winds, and Flooding |
| 2010-04-21 | DR-1902 | Flood | Severe Storms, Ice Jams, and Flooding |
| 2010-02-25 | DR-1878 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms and Snowstorm |
| 2008-06-20 | DR-1770 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| 2007-01-07 | DR-1674 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2005-09-13 | EM-3245 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuees |
| 2003-07-21 | DR-1480 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms and Tornadoes |
| 1997-11-01 | DR-1190 | Severe Storm | Severe Snow Storms, Rain, and Strong Winds |
| 1993-07-19 | DR-998 | Flood | Severe Storms and Flooding |
| 1976-04-08 | DR-500 | Severe Ice Storm | Ice Storms & High Winds |
| 1967-07-18 | DR-228 | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.
How many floods has Polk County had?
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 19 flood or flash flood records for Polk County from 2005 to 2024, on 18 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Polk County ranks 2523rd of 2,942 U.S. counties.
The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $29,000 on 6 claims filed in Polk County; the most in one year was 1 in 1978. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.
The values, year by year
1978: 1 · 1984: 1 · 1985: 1 · 1993: 1 · 2019: 1 · 2020: 1; the other years: 0.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.
FEMA's modeled risk for Polk County
FEMA's National Risk Index rates Polk County Very Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $12.4 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.
| Hazard | Risk rating | Expected annual loss | Modeled frequency |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | Relatively High | $4.6M | 7.3 a year (modeled) |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | $1.5M | 43 modeled event-days a year |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | $1.5M | 4.1 a year (modeled) |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | $139K | about once a year (modeled) |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | $298K | 44 a year (modeled) |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | $75K | 14 a year (modeled) |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | $1.1M | once in about 3 years (modeled) |
| Wildfire | Very Low | $34K | once in about 2,483 years (modeled) |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
Counties that share a border with Polk County
Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.
Next
- Tornadoes in NebraskaEvery Nebraska tornado since 1950 and the counties with the most per square mile
- Hail in NebraskaThe state's hail reports, by county, year and month
- The Nebraska recordEvery hazard in the state, its deadliest events and its federal declarations
- FEMA's risk rating for each hazard in Polk CountyThe hazard risk calculator: 18 hazards beside the county's record
- Download Polk County's FEMA declarations (CSV)20 rows: every declaration that named the county, for your own analysis