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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Rains County, TX

17 FEMA disaster declarations (1966-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Ice Storm.

17
FEMA declarations
11
Major disasters
14
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Ice Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Rains County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 17 declarations, more than 32% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 19% below the Texas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 14%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 14%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
17
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
8
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48379 · Rains County 17 declarations · rank 2081/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 17
  • MAJOR-MID 65%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,081
  • PHOTO-FINISH Curry
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Ice S…
  • VS-ST-BELOW -19%

Nearest declaration peer: Curry, OR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Rains County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Rains County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Rains County carries 17 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2081 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Rains County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Rains County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Rains County

17 32nd percentile higher than 32% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Rains County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10014.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Rains County is led by Tornado (about $1.9M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Rains County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 14.1/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $5.6M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively Moderate) and community resilience (Relatively Low). Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.1 times per year here, based on 74 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 8 claims and $254.9K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Texas county averages 20.9 federal declaration records, while Rains County has 17. The gap is 19% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

53 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Rains County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

17 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

17 declarations (0.8x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

11 of 17 declarations are major disasters (65%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Rains County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Rains County

Rains County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Rains County NRI risk profile FIPS 48379 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

17

Below median

Major Disaster share

65%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

14

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Rains County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.1 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Drought Relatively Low 31 modeled event-days per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 16 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 5.8 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 880 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 84 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 4.2 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 57 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 982 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 3.3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 29 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 3
Severe Ice Storm 3
Severe Storm 3
Fire 3
Hurricane 3
Biological 2

What Severe Ice Storm declarations mean here

Severe Ice Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Rains County's record, 18% of its declarations. Ice storms damage differently from snowstorms: accumulating freezing rain loads power lines and tree limbs until they fail, so the dominant cost is usually infrastructure and extended power loss rather than structural damage to buildings. Outages measured in days, not hours, are the characteristic consequence, which is why these declarations frequently authorise emergency protective measures and debris removal.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 11 64.7%

of all 17 declarations

Emergency - 6 35.3%

of all 17 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2021 2
2020 2
2016 1
2008 1
2006 1
2005 3
2001 1
1999 1
1998 1
1990 1
1972 1
1966 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 17 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 17 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4781 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-05-17
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4255 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-09
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1356 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2001-01-08
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
863 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-05-02
320 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-01-27
218 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1966-05-12

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Rains County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

8

Total Paid

$254.9K

Avg Per Claim

$31.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 14.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$5.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Relatively High
Tornado Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

For Rains County the two measures on this page point the same way: Ice Storm is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Ice Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Rains County's closest FEMA peer: Fairfax (city), VA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Rains County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Rains County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Rains County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 17 FEMA declarations, Rains County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Rains County?
The most common disaster type in Rains County is Severe Ice Storm, with 3 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (3), Severe Storm (3), Fire (3).
How does Rains County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
The typical Texas county has 20.9 FEMA declaration records; Rains County has 17, or 19% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 18% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Rains County received?
Rains County has received 11 major disaster declarations, representing 65% of all 17 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Rains County filed?
Rains County has 8 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $254.9K in payments, with an average of $31.9K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Rains County?
No. In Rains County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Tornado leads Expected Annual Loss at about $1.9M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Rains County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Rains County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1966 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Rains County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Rains County, Texas has an overall risk score of 14.1 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $5.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Rains County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Rains County as of the latest release is Ice Storm (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Tornado (Relatively Low) and Drought (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.1 times per year, drawn from 74 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Rains County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events