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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Red River County, TX

26 FEMA disaster declarations (1966-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

26
FEMA declarations
19
Major disasters
65
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Red River County. Its 26 FEMA declarations are 24% above the Texas county mean and exceed the count for 75% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 35%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 35%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
26
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
5
flood declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Red River County compare?

Red River County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

26 Top 25% higher than 75% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Red River County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10064.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

What does Red River County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 64.7/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $15.6M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.2 times per year here, based on 78 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 26 entries for Red River County, including 19 Major Disaster records, 24% above the Texas county mean. Across the 58-year span, that works out to 0.4 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 5 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Red River County's 26 federal records stand 24% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

73 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Red River County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
19/30

26 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
16/25

26 declarations (1.2x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

19 of 26 declarations are major disasters (73%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Red River County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Texas Avg

+24%

State avg: 20.9

vs. National Avg

+25%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.4

Over 58 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Red River County

Red River County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 31 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 31 8-hazard mean
Red River County NRI risk profile FIPS 48387 · displayed-hazard mean 31/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

26

High volume

Major Disaster share

73%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

65

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Red River County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.2 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 35 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 4.9 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 392 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 18 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 73 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 638 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 3.8 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 60 times per year
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 4.2 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 6 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 5
Severe Storm 5
Fire 5
Hurricane 4
Severe Ice Storm 3
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Red River County's record, 19% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 19 73.1%

of all 26 declarations

Emergency - 7 26.9%

of all 26 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2023 1
2021 2
2020 3
2016 2
2015 1
2011 2
2008 1
2006 1
2005 3
2001 1
1999 2
1998 1
1990 1
1989 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1973 1
1972 1
1966 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 26 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 26 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4781 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-05-17
4705 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2023-04-21
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
3540 TROPICAL STORMS MARCO AND LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-24
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4266 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-03-19
4255 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-09
4223 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-29
4029 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-09-09
1999 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-07-01
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1356 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2001-01-08
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1274 TX, TORNADO 5/4/99 DR Tornado 1999-05-06
Show 6 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
863 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-05-02
828 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1989-05-19
393 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-06-25
320 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-01-27
218 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1966-05-12

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Red River County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 64.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$15.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Very High
Drought Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Red River County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Red River County's closest FEMA peer: Greene County, VA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Red River County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Red River County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 26 FEMA declarations, Red River County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Red River County?
The most common disaster type in Red River County is Severe Storm, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Fire (5), Hurricane (4).
How does Red River County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
FEMA lists 26 declaration records for Red River County. That is 24% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. Its count is also 25% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Red River County received?
Red River County has received 19 major disaster declarations, representing 73% of all 26 disaster declarations.
What was the worst year for disasters in Red River County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Red River County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1966 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Red River County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Red River County, Texas has an overall risk score of 64.7 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very High and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $15.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Red River County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Red River County as of the latest release is Ice Storm (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively Moderate) and Tornado (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.2 times per year, drawn from 78 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Red River County

Red River County, TX has 26 federal declaration records, 24% more than the Texas county mean of 21; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 19 of 26 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Texas overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Texas mean and the totals for 75% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • With no NFIP county row, the declaration register and modeled NRI remain distinct evidence rather than substitutes for a claims history. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.