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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Delta County, TX

18 FEMA disaster declarations (1966-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

18
FEMA declarations
12
Major disasters
9
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Delta County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 18 declarations, more than 37% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 14% below the Texas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 9%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 9%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
18
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48119 · Delta County 18 declarations · rank 1988/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 18
  • MAJOR-MID 67%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,988
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monroe
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -14%

Nearest declaration peer: Monroe, TN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Delta County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Delta County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Delta County carries 18 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1988 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Delta County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Delta County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Delta County

18 37th percentile higher than 37% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Delta County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/1008.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Delta County is led by Tornado (about $1.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Delta County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 8.9/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $4.1M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively Moderate) and community resilience (Relatively High). Among the 18 modeled hazards, Ice Storm carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.2 times per year here, based on 79 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 1 claim and $2.8K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Texas county averages 20.9 federal declaration records, while Delta County has 18. The gap is 14% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

56 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Delta County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
13/30

18 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

18 declarations (0.9x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

12 of 18 declarations are major disasters (67%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Delta County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Delta County

Delta County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 20 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 20 8-hazard mean
Delta County NRI risk profile FIPS 48119 · displayed-hazard mean 20/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

18

Below median

Major Disaster share

67%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

9

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Delta County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 37 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 5.7 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 58 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 836 years
Heat Wave Very Low 16 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 833 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Very Low an average of 3.8 times per year
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 3.8 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 57 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 31 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 4
Flood 3
Severe Ice Storm 3
Fire 3
Hurricane 3
Biological 2

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Delta County's record, 22% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 12 66.7%

of all 18 declarations

Emergency - 6 33.3%

of all 18 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2021 2
2020 2
2016 1
2015 1
2008 1
2007 1
2006 1
2005 3
2001 1
1999 1
1998 1
1972 1
1966 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 18 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 18 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4781 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-05-17
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4255 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-09
4223 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-29
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1709 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-06-29
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1356 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2001-01-08
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
320 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-01-27
218 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1966-05-12

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Delta County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1

Total Paid

$2.8K

Avg Per Claim

$2.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 8.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$4.1M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Delta County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Delta County's closest FEMA peer: Union County, PA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Delta County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Delta County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Delta County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 18 FEMA declarations, Delta County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Delta County?
The most common disaster type in Delta County is Severe Storm, with 4 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (3), Severe Ice Storm (3), Fire (3).
How does Delta County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
The typical Texas county has 20.9 FEMA declaration records; Delta County has 18, or 14% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 13% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Delta County received?
Delta County has received 12 major disaster declarations, representing 67% of all 18 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Delta County filed?
Delta County has 1 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.8K in payments, with an average of $2.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Delta County?
No. In Delta County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Tornado leads Expected Annual Loss at about $1.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Delta County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Delta County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1966 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Delta County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Delta County, Texas has an overall risk score of 8.9 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Moderate; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $4.1M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Delta County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Delta County is Ice Storm (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively Moderate) and Tornado (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.2 times per year, drawn from 79 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Delta County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events