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Oklahoma · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Roger Mills County, OK

32 FEMA disaster declarations (1990-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

32
FEMA declarations
24
Major disasters
23
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Roger Mills County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 32 declarations, more than 89% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 1% below the Oklahoma county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 23%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 23%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
32
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
14
severe storm declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 40129 · Roger Mills County 32 declarations · rank 329/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 32
  • MAJOR-MID 75%
  • RANK-MID #329
  • PHOTO-FINISH Perry
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -1%

Nearest declaration peer: Perry, MS (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Oklahoma state profile

Roger Mills County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Roger Mills County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Roger Mills County carries 32 FEMA declaration records, ranked 329 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Roger Mills County ranks in the national declaration registry

Roger Mills County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Roger Mills County

32 Top 11% higher than 89% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Roger Mills County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Oklahoma avg56/10023.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oklahoma county average

What does Roger Mills County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 23.2/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $4.8M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Very High social-vulnerability score and Very Low community-resilience score. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Drought stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 98 modeled event-days per year here, based on 2,471 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

Start with the state benchmark: a Oklahoma county averages 32.2 federal declaration records, while Roger Mills County has 32. The gap is 1% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

69 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Roger Mills County, OK · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
23/30

32 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.5x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

32 declarations (1.0x state county average of 32)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

24 of 32 declarations are major disasters (75%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Roger Mills County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Roger Mills County

Roger Mills County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 48, Drought 70, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 28 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 28 8-hazard mean
Roger Mills County NRI risk profile FIPS 40129 · displayed-hazard mean 28/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

32

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

75%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

23

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Roger Mills County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively High 98 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 74 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 3.5 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 9 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 7.8 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 2.7 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Very Low 6.1 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,163 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 133 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 48 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 14
Severe Ice Storm 10
Fire 3
Biological 2
Tornado 2
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Roger Mills County's record, 44% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 24 75.0%

of all 32 declarations

Emergency - 7 21.9%

of all 32 declarations

Fire Management - 1 3.1%

of all 32 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2024 1
2021 3
2020 2
2019 1
2018 1
2017 2
2016 2
2015 1
2013 1
2011 1
2010 3
2008 2
2007 2
2006 1
Show 6 earlier declaration years
2005 1
2003 2
2002 1
2001 2
1995 1
1990 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 32 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 32 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5557 840 ROAD FIRE FM Fire 2025-03-14
4791 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-06-14
4587 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-24
3555 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-17
4575 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2020-12-21
4530 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3462 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4438 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-06-01
4373 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2018-06-25
4324 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2017-07-25
4299 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2017-02-10
4256 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-10
4247 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2015-12-29
4222 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-26
4109 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2013-04-08
3316 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-02
1883 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2010-03-05
1876 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-25
3308 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2010-01-30
1775 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-07-09
Show 12 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3280 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-10
1707 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-06-07
3272 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-01-14
1623 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-10
3219 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1465 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2003-05-10
1452 SEVERE ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2003-02-04
1401 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2002-02-01
1384 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2001-06-29
1355 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2001-01-05
1058 TORNADOES, SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Tornado 1995-06-26
866 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-05-18

Storm Events in Oklahoma

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Roger Mills County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 5,894 0 1 $19.8M
Thunderstorm Wind 5,592 6 36 $199.5M
Drought 2,935 0 0 $0
Heat 2,134 7 428 $0
Excessive Heat 1,771 2 401 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 23.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$4.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Lightning Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Roger Mills County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Roger Mills County's closest FEMA peer: San Jacinto County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Roger Mills County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Roger Mills County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Roger Mills County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 32 FEMA declarations, Roger Mills County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Roger Mills County?
The most common disaster type in Roger Mills County is Severe Storm, with 14 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Ice Storm (10), Fire (3), Biological (2).
How does Roger Mills County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Oklahoma average?
The typical Oklahoma county has 32.2 FEMA declaration records; Roger Mills County has 32, or 1% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 54% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Roger Mills County received?
Roger Mills County has received 24 major disaster declarations, representing 75% of all 32 disaster declarations.
What was the worst year for disasters in Roger Mills County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Roger Mills County was 2010, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1990 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Roger Mills County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Roger Mills County, Oklahoma has an overall risk score of 23.2 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $4.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Roger Mills County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Roger Mills County as of the latest release is Drought (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Moderate) and Ice Storm (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 98 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 2,471 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Roger Mills County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Oklahoma profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events