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California · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Santa Cruz County, CA

34 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

34
FEMA declarations
22
Major disasters
98
NRI risk · Relatively High
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Santa Cruz County. Its 34 FEMA declarations are 19% above the California county mean and exceed the count for 92% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 2%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 2%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
34
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1,633
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 06087 · Santa Cruz County 34 declarations · rank 244/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-HIGH · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 34
  • MAJOR-MID 65%
  • RANK-UPPER #244
  • PHOTO-FINISH Sumter
  • NRI-HIGH 98
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +19%

Nearest declaration peer: Sumter, FL (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · California state profile

Santa Cruz County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Santa Cruz County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Santa Cruz County carries 34 FEMA declaration records, ranked 244 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Santa Cruz County ranks in the national declaration registry

Santa Cruz County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Santa Cruz County

34 Top 8% higher than 92% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Santa Cruz County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100California avg89/10097.8/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the California county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Santa Cruz County is led by Earthquake (about $190.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Santa Cruz County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 1,633 claims and $24.8M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $15.2K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Santa Cruz County's 34 federal records stand 19% above the California county mean of 28.5. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 97.8/100 (Relatively High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively High (roughly $335.4M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Drought stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 38 modeled event-days per year here, based on 1,064 historical events on record.

76 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Santa Cruz County, CA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
25/30

34 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
15/25

34 declarations (1.2x state county average of 29)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

22 of 34 declarations are major disasters (65%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

10 different disaster types declared in Santa Cruz County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Santa Cruz County

Santa Cruz County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 70, Flood 70, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 48, Drought 70, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 42 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 42 8-hazard mean
Santa Cruz County NRI risk profile FIPS 06087 · displayed-hazard mean 42/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

34

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

65%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

98

Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Santa Cruz County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively High 38 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Relatively High an average of 6.5 times per year
Earthquake Relatively High roughly once every 6 years
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 223 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 1.6 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 5.4 modeled event-days per year
Tsunami Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 4.2 times per year
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low an average of 3.1 times per year
Hail Very Low roughly once every 38 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 1 time per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 30 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 43 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 9
Fire 9
Flood 8
Biological 2
Tsunami 1
Hurricane 1
Freezing 1
Earthquake 1
Coastal Storm 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Santa Cruz County's record, 26% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 22 64.7%

of all 34 declarations

Emergency - 6 17.6%

of all 34 declarations

Fire Management - 6 17.6%

of all 34 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2023 4
2020 4
2017 3
2011 1
2009 1
2008 4
2006 2
2005 1
2002 1
1998 1
1997 1
1995 2
1991 1
1990 1
Show 6 earlier declaration years
1986 1
1985 1
1983 1
1982 1
1980 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 34 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 34 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4769 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2024-04-13
4699 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-03
3592 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES EM Flood 2023-03-10
4683 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2023-01-14
3591 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES EM Flood 2023-01-09
4558 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2020-08-22
5336 CZU LIGHTNING FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2020-08-20
4482 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-22
3428 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4308 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2017-04-01
4305 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2017-03-16
4301 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2017-02-14
1968 TSUNAMI WAVES DR Tsunami 2011-04-18
2824 LOCKHEED FIRE FM Fire 2009-08-13
3287 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-06-28
2775 TRABING FIRE FM Fire 2008-06-20
2772 MARTIN FIRE FM Fire 2008-06-11
2766 SUMMIT FIRE FM Fire 2008-05-22
1646 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-06-05
1628 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-02-03
Show 14 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3248 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
2465 CROY FIRE FM Fire 2002-09-25
1203 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-02-09
1155 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUD AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 1997-01-04
1046 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING LANDSLIDES, MUD FLOW DR Severe Storm 1995-03-12
1044 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, MUD FLOWS DR Severe Storm 1995-01-10
894 SEVERE FREEZE DR Freezing 1991-02-11
845 LOMA PRIETA EARTHQUAKE DR Earthquake 1989-10-18
758 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-02-21
739 GRASS, WILDLANDS, & FOREST FIRES DR Fire 1985-07-18
677 COASTAL STORMS, FLOODS, SLIDES & TORNADOES DR Coastal Storm 1983-02-09
651 SEVERE STORMS, FLOOD, MUDSLIDES & HIGH TIDE DR Flood 1982-01-07
615 SEVERE STORMS, MUDSLIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1980-02-21
3023 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-01-20

Storm Events in California

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Santa Cruz County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 4,070 13 27 $228.2M
Flood 3,132 26 25 $985.1M
Heavy Snow 1,814 6 0 $1.6M
Dense Fog 1,605 52 148 $2.8M
Drought 1,421 0 0 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1,633

Total Paid

$24.8M

Avg Per Claim

$15.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively High

Score: 97.8/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively High

$335.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively High
Landslide Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Tsunami Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Tornado Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Cold Wave No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Santa Cruz County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Santa Cruz County's closest FEMA peer: San Patricio County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Santa Cruz County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Santa Cruz County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Santa Cruz County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Santa Cruz County's NFIP claims file (1,633 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Santa Cruz County?
The most common disaster type in Santa Cruz County is Severe Storm, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (9), Flood (8), Biological (2).
How does Santa Cruz County's FEMA declaration record compare with the California average?
FEMA lists 34 declaration records for Santa Cruz County. That is 19% above the California county mean of 28.5. Its count is also 64% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Santa Cruz County received?
Santa Cruz County has received 22 major disaster declarations, representing 65% of all 34 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Santa Cruz County filed?
Santa Cruz County has 1,633 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $24.8M in payments, with an average of $15.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Santa Cruz County?
No. In Santa Cruz County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Earthquake leads Expected Annual Loss at about $190.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Santa Cruz County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Santa Cruz County was 2008, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Santa Cruz County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Santa Cruz County, California has an overall risk score of 97.8 out of 100 (Relatively High). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Low, while community resilience comes in at Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively High, representing $335.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Santa Cruz County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Santa Cruz County as of the latest release is Drought (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Relatively High) and Earthquake (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 38 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 1,064 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Santa Cruz County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · California profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events