PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Arkansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Union County, AR

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1968-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

20
FEMA declarations
14
Major disasters
54
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Union County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 20 declarations, more than 46% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 17% below the Arkansas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 46%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 46%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
137
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

View my watchlist

FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 05139 · Union County 20 declarations · rank 1637/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-MID 70%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,637
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-LOW 54
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-BELOW -17%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Arkansas state profile

Union County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Union County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Union County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1637 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Union County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Union County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Union County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Union County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Arkansas avg56/10053.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Union County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $4.9M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Union County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 137 paid claims, totaling $2.1M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $15.1K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Arkansas county averages 24.2 federal declaration records, while Union County has 20. The gap is 17% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 53.9/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Very Low (roughly $12.6M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Moderate community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.3 times per year here, based on 85 historical events on record.

62 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Union County, AR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

20 declarations (0.8x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

14 of 20 declarations are major disasters (70%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Union County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Union County

Union County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 37 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 37 8-hazard mean
Union County NRI risk profile FIPS 05139 · displayed-hazard mean 37/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

70%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

54

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Union County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.3 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 19 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 3.9 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 406 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 65 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 25 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.9 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Drought Relatively Low 25 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 3.7 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 4,828 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 2 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 6
Severe Storm 5
Hurricane 2
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Winter Storm 1
Snowstorm 1
Tornado 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Union County's record, 30% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 14 70.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 6 30.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 1
2020 3
2010 1
2009 1
2008 1
2005 1
2001 3
1997 1
1994 1
1991 1
1990 1
1974 1
1973 1
1969 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1968 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3636 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3627 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-05
3541 HURRICANE LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-27
4518 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3461 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1861 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-12-03
1845 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-16
1744 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-02-07
3215 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1363 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2001-03-13
1354 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-29
3159 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-28
1176 FLOODING, SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1997-04-14
1011 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Snowstorm 1994-02-28
907 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1991-05-30
865 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-05-15
437 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-06-08
375 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-04-27
254 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-02-15
239 TORNADOES, SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Tornado 1968-05-29

Storm Events in Arkansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Union County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,657 10 23 $60.9M
Hail 2,230 0 0 $7.7M
Flash Flood 1,517 12 3 $15.9M
Heat 1,222 2 325 $0
Flood 1,152 9 0 $40.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

137

Total Paid

$2.1M

Avg Per Claim

$15.1K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 53.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$12.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Very High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Union County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Union County's closest FEMA peer: Worth County, MO

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Union County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Union County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Union County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Union County's NFIP claims file (137 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Union County?
The most common disaster type in Union County is Flood, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (5), Hurricane (2), Biological (2).
How does Union County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arkansas average?
The typical Arkansas county has 24.2 FEMA declaration records; Union County has 20, or 17% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 3% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Union County received?
Union County has received 14 major disaster declarations, representing 70% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Union County filed?
Union County has 137 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.1M in payments, with an average of $15.1K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Union County?
No. In Union County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $4.9M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Union County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Union County was 2001, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1968 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Union County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Union County, Arkansas has an overall risk score of 53.9 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very High and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $12.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Union County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Union County is Ice Storm (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Heat Wave (Relatively Moderate) and Strong Wind (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.3 times per year, drawn from 85 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Union County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Arkansas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events