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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Oklahoma · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Bryan County, OK

25 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

25
FEMA declarations
16
Major disasters
75
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Bryan County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 25 declarations, more than 71% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 22% below the Oklahoma county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 25%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 25%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
25
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
26
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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How does Bryan County compare?

Bryan County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

25 Top 29% higher than 71% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Bryan County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oklahoma county average

0/100100/100Oklahoma avg56/10074.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oklahoma county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Bryan County is led by Tornado (about $8.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Bryan County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 74.6/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $24.0M in annualized losses), and a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.4 times per year here, based on 96 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Bryan County's 25 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Oklahoma, however, the count is 22% below the county mean. 16 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Severe Storm, appearing 11 times. The full 49-year record averages 0.5 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 26 claims and $1.1M paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Oklahoma county averages 32.2 federal declaration records, while Bryan County has 25. The gap is 22% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

59 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Bryan County, OK · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
18/30

25 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

25 declarations (0.8x state county average of 32)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

16 of 25 declarations are major disasters (64%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Bryan County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Oklahoma Avg

-22%

State avg: 32.2

vs. National Avg

+21%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 49 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Bryan County

Bryan County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 70, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 43 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 43 8-hazard mean
Bryan County NRI risk profile FIPS 40013 · displayed-hazard mean 43/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

25

High volume

Major Disaster share

64%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

75

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Bryan County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.4 times per year
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 21 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 6.8 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 39 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 356 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 56 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 1.1 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 723 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 3.2 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 5.1 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 90 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 11
Severe Ice Storm 7
Biological 2
Fire 2
Flood 2
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Bryan County's record, 44% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 16 64.0%

of all 25 declarations

Emergency - 8 32.0%

of all 25 declarations

Fire Management - 1 4.0%

of all 25 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 2
2020 2
2019 1
2016 1
2015 1
2011 1
2010 2
2008 1
2007 4
2006 2
2005 1
2001 3
1993 1
1990 1
1982 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 25 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 25 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4587 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-24
3555 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-17
4530 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3462 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4453 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-07-12
4247 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2015-12-29
4222 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-26
3316 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-02
1876 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-25
3308 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2010-01-30
3280 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-10
1723 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2007-08-31
1712 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2007-07-07
1678 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2007-02-01
3272 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-01-14
1623 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-10
2594 ACHILLE FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2005-12-28
3219 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1384 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2001-06-29
1355 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2001-01-05
Show 5 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3158 SEVERE WINTER AND ICE STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-28
991 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1993-05-12
866 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-05-18
649 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1981-11-04
317 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-01-14

Storm Events in Oklahoma

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Bryan County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 5,894 0 1 $19.8M
Thunderstorm Wind 5,592 6 36 $199.5M
Drought 2,935 0 0 $0
Heat 2,134 7 428 $0
Excessive Heat 1,771 2 401 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

26

Total Paid

$1.1M

Avg Per Claim

$43.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 74.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$24.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Very High
Tornado Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Bryan County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Bryan County's closest FEMA peer: Lancaster County, VA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Bryan County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Bryan County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 25 FEMA declarations, Bryan County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Bryan County?
The most common disaster type in Bryan County is Severe Storm, with 11 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Ice Storm (7), Biological (2), Fire (2).
How does Bryan County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Oklahoma average?
The typical Oklahoma county has 32.2 FEMA declaration records; Bryan County has 25, or 22% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 21% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Bryan County received?
Bryan County has received 16 major disaster declarations, representing 64% of all 25 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Bryan County filed?
Bryan County has 26 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.1M in payments, with an average of $43.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Bryan County?
No. In Bryan County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Tornado leads Expected Annual Loss at about $8.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Bryan County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Bryan County was 2007, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Bryan County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Bryan County, Oklahoma has an overall risk score of 74.6 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively High; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $24.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Bryan County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Bryan County is Ice Storm (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Tornado (Relatively High) and Heat Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.4 times per year, drawn from 96 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Bryan County

Against a Oklahoma county mean of 32 declarations, Bryan County, OK records 25, or 22% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (16 of 25) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Oklahoma overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 71% of recorded county totals, but its own Oklahoma benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.