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Washington · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Chelan County, WA

52 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Fire.

52
FEMA declarations
16
Major disasters
91
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Chelan County. Its 52 FEMA declarations are 109% above the Washington county mean and exceed the count for 99% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 9%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 9%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
52
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
183
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 53007 · Chelan County 52 declarations · rank 11/3,266

DECL-MEGA · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-TOP · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-HIGH

  • DECL-MEGA 52
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 31%
  • RANK-TOP #11
  • PHOTO-FINISH Livingston
  • NRI-MID 91
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-HIGH +109%

Nearest declaration peer: Livingston, LA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Washington state profile

Chelan County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Chelan County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Chelan County carries 52 FEMA declaration records, ranked 11 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Chelan County ranks in the national declaration registry

Chelan County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Chelan County

52 Top 1% higher than 99% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Chelan County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Washington avg70/10090.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Washington county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Chelan County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $41.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Chelan County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 183 paid claims, totaling $3.0M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $16.2K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Chelan County's 52 federal records stand 109% above the Washington county mean of 24.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 90.9/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $88.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Wildfire stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 43 years here.

83 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Chelan County, WA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
30/30

52 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (2.5x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
25/25

52 declarations (2.1x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
8/25

16 of 52 declarations are major disasters (31%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Chelan County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Chelan County

Chelan County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 70, Drought 8, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 29 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 29 8-hazard mean
Chelan County NRI risk profile FIPS 53007 · displayed-hazard mean 29/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

52

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

31%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

91

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Chelan County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively High roughly once every 43 years
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 4 times per year
Avalanche Very High roughly once every 4 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.5 times per year
Volcanic Activity Relatively Low roughly once every 80 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 152 years
Lightning Relatively High an average of 9.9 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 3.7 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 26 times per year
Hail Relatively Low roughly once every 14 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 10 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 13 years
Drought Very Low 7.8 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 17 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 20 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 33
Severe Storm 7
Flood 6
Biological 2
Coastal Storm 1
Earthquake 1
Volcanic Eruption 1
Drought 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Chelan County's record, 63% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Fire Management - 30 57.7%

of all 52 declarations

Major Disaster - 16 30.8%

of all 52 declarations

Emergency - 6 11.5%

of all 52 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 1
2022 1
2021 2
2020 3
2018 1
2017 1
2016 3
2015 3
2014 4
2013 3
2012 5
2009 3
2007 3
2006 1
Show 10 earlier declaration years
2005 2
2004 3
2002 1
2001 4
1997 1
1996 1
1991 1
1980 1
1977 1
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 52 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 52 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4906 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2026-04-07
3629 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES EM Flood 2025-12-12
5614 LOWER SUGARLOAF FIRE FM Fire 2025-09-26
4650 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, SNOWSTORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING DR Flood 2022-03-29
5414 TWENTYFIVE MILE FIRE FM Fire 2021-08-18
5398 RED APPLE FIRE FM Fire 2021-07-14
5352 APPLE ACRES FIRE FM Fire 2020-09-07
4481 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-22
3427 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
5270 COUGAR CREEK FIRE FM Fire 2018-08-11
5182 SPROMBERG FIRE FM Fire 2017-05-23
5152 SUNCREST FIRE FM Fire 2016-08-28
4249 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2016-01-15
4243 WILDFIRES AND MUDSLIDES DR Fire 2015-10-20
3372 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2015-08-21
5100 CHELAN FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2015-08-14
5087 SLEEPY HOLLOW FIRE FM Fire 2015-06-29
5072 HANSEL FIRE FM Fire 2014-08-06
3371 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2014-07-23
5061 CHIWAUKUM FIRE FM Fire 2014-07-17
Show 32 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
5059 MILLS CANYON FIRE FM Fire 2014-07-10
5048 EAGLE FIRE FM Fire 2013-08-21
5042 MILE POST 10 FIRE FM Fire 2013-08-10
5038 COLOCKUM TARPS FIRE FM Fire 2013-07-30
5020 TABLE MOUNTAIN FIRE FM Fire 2012-09-20
5018 PEAVINE FIRE FM Fire 2012-09-13
5017 POISON FIRE FM Fire 2012-09-12
5015 BYRD CANYON FIRE FM Fire 2012-09-10
5012 1ST CANYON FIRE FM Fire 2012-09-09
2823 UNION VALLEY FIRE FM Fire 2009-07-29
1825 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND RECORD AND NEAR RECORD SNOW DR Severe Storm 2009-03-02
1817 SEVERE WINTER STORM, LANDSLIDES, MUDSLIDES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2009-01-30
2711 EASY STREET FIRE FM Fire 2007-07-08
1682 SEVERE WINTER STORM, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2007-02-14
1671 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-12-12
2674 FLICK CREEK FIRE FM Fire 2006-09-11
3227 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-07
2572 DIRTY FACE FIRE FM Fire 2005-08-01
2543 WA-FISCHER WILDFIRE-08-11-2004 FM Fire 2004-08-11
2537 DEEP HARBOR FIRE FM Fire 2004-07-30
1499 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-11-07
2449 WA - DEER POINT FIRE - 07/20/02 FM Fire 2002-07-20
2379 WA - REX CREEK FIRE COMPLEX - 2379 FM Fire 2001-08-17
2374 WA - ICICLE FIRE COMPLEX - 2374 FM Fire 2001-08-14
2368 WA - UNION VALLEY FIRE - 07/28/01 FM Fire 2001-07-28
1361 EARTHQUAKE DR Earthquake 2001-03-01
1159 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, LAND & MUDS SLIDES,FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1997-01-17
1079 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH WIND, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1996-01-03
883 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-11-26
623 VOLCANIC ERUPTION, MT. ST. HELENS DR Volcanic Eruption 1980-05-21
3037 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-03-31
334 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-06-10

Storm Events in Washington

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Chelan County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Heavy Snow 1,700 5 7 $2.3M
High Wind 614 15 6 $1.1B
Wildfire 299 4 4 $1.8B
Winter Weather 259 9 62 $1.1M
Flood 231 4 0 $391.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

183

Total Paid

$3.0M

Avg Per Claim

$16.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 90.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$88.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively High
Landslide Relatively Moderate
Avalanche Very High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Volcanic Activity Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Very Low
Drought Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Tornado Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

For Chelan County the two measures on this page point the same way: Wildfire is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Fire declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Chelan County's closest FEMA peer: Livingston Parish, LA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Chelan County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Chelan County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Chelan County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Chelan County's NFIP claims file (183 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Chelan County?
The most common disaster type in Chelan County is Fire, with 33 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (7), Flood (6), Biological (2).
How does Chelan County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Washington average?
FEMA lists 52 declaration records for Chelan County. That is 109% above the Washington county mean of 24.9. Its count is also 151% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Chelan County received?
Chelan County has received 16 major disaster declarations, representing 31% of all 52 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Chelan County filed?
Chelan County has 183 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.0M in payments, with an average of $16.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Chelan County?
No. In Chelan County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $41.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Chelan County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Chelan County was 2012, with 5 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Chelan County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Chelan County, Washington has an overall risk score of 90.9 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $88.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Chelan County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Chelan County is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Relatively Moderate) and Avalanche (Very High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 43 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Chelan County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Washington profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events