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Arkansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Cleburne County, AR

23 FEMA disaster declarations (1976-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

23
FEMA declarations
16
Major disasters
73
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Cleburne County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 23 declarations, more than 62% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 5% below the Arkansas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 27%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 27%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
23
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
37
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 05023 · Cleburne County 23 declarations · rank 1205/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 23
  • MAJOR-MID 70%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,205
  • PHOTO-FINISH Roanoke
  • NRI-LOW 73
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -5%

Nearest declaration peer: Roanoke, VA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Arkansas state profile

Cleburne County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Cleburne County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Cleburne County carries 23 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1205 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Cleburne County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Cleburne County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Cleburne County

23 Top 38% higher than 62% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Cleburne County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Arkansas avg56/10072.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Cleburne County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $11.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Cleburne County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 72.7/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $23.2M in annualized losses), and a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.4 times per year here, based on 97 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 37 claims and $1.2M paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Arkansas county averages 24.2 federal declaration records, while Cleburne County has 23. The gap is 5% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

66 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Cleburne County, AR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

23 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.1x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

23 declarations (0.9x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

16 of 23 declarations are major disasters (70%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Cleburne County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Cleburne County

Cleburne County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 37 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 37 8-hazard mean
Cleburne County NRI risk profile FIPS 05023 · displayed-hazard mean 37/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

23

Above median

Major Disaster share

70%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

73

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Cleburne County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.4 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 59 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 199 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 355 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1 time per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 6.8 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 13 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2.9 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 38 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 4.8 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 7.8 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 12
Severe Ice Storm 3
Hurricane 2
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Flood 1
Drought 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Cleburne County's record, 52% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 16 69.6%

of all 23 declarations

Emergency - 7 30.4%

of all 23 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 1
2020 3
2017 1
2014 1
2013 1
2011 1
2010 1
2009 2
2008 2
2005 1
2003 2
2002 1
2001 1
1997 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1983 1
1977 1
1976 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 23 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 23 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3636 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3627 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-05
3541 HURRICANE LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-27
4518 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3461 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4318 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2017-06-15
4174 SEVERE STORMS,TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-04-29
4124 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-06-25
1975 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-02
1861 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-12-03
1819 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2009-02-06
3301 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-28
1758 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2008-05-20
1751 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-26
3215 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1472 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-06-06
1450 SEVERE ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2003-01-06
1400 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-01-24
1354 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-29
1176 FLOODING, SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1997-04-14
Show 3 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
673 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1982-12-13
3019 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-12-03
498 TORNADOES DR Tornado 1976-04-01

Storm Events in Arkansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Cleburne County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,657 10 23 $60.9M
Hail 2,230 0 0 $7.7M
Flash Flood 1,517 12 3 $15.9M
Heat 1,222 2 325 $0
Flood 1,152 9 0 $40.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

37

Total Paid

$1.2M

Avg Per Claim

$33.3K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 72.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$23.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Very High
Lightning Relatively High
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Wildfire Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Very Low
Hail Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Cleburne County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Cleburne County's closest FEMA peer: Luzerne County, PA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Cleburne County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Cleburne County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Cleburne County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 23 FEMA declarations, Cleburne County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Cleburne County?
The most common disaster type in Cleburne County is Severe Storm, with 12 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Ice Storm (3), Hurricane (2), Biological (2).
How does Cleburne County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arkansas average?
The typical Arkansas county has 24.2 FEMA declaration records; Cleburne County has 23, or 5% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 11% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Cleburne County received?
Cleburne County has received 16 major disaster declarations, representing 70% of all 23 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Cleburne County filed?
Cleburne County has 37 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.2M in payments, with an average of $33.3K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Cleburne County?
No. In Cleburne County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $11.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Cleburne County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Cleburne County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1976 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Cleburne County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Cleburne County, Arkansas has an overall risk score of 72.7 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively High; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $23.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Cleburne County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Cleburne County as of the latest release is Ice Storm (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Lightning (Relatively High) and Tornado (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.4 times per year, drawn from 97 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Cleburne County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Arkansas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events