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Kentucky · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Fayette County, KY

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1979-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

21
FEMA declarations
14
Major disasters
92
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Fayette County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 21 declarations, more than 52% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 25% below the Kentucky county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 8%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 8%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
456
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 21067 · Fayette County 21 declarations · rank 1499/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 67%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,499
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-MID 92
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -25%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Kentucky state profile

Fayette County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Fayette County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Fayette County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1499 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Fayette County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Fayette County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Fayette County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Fayette County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Kentucky avg44/10092/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kentucky county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Fayette County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $52.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Tornado carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Fayette County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 456 paid claims, totaling $5.3M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $11.6K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Kentucky county averages 28.1 federal declaration records, while Fayette County has 21. The gap is 25% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 92.0/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $113.2M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Tornado stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 7 years here, based on 4 historical events on record.

59 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Fayette County, KY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

21 declarations (0.7x state county average of 28)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

14 of 21 declarations are major disasters (67%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Fayette County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Fayette County

Fayette County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 70, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 39 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 39 8-hazard mean
Fayette County NRI risk profile FIPS 21067 · displayed-hazard mean 39/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

67%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

92

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Fayette County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 7 years
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 1.3 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 12 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 52 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 5.7 times per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 3.1 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 486 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.6 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 2.7 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 56 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 14,209 years
Drought Very Low 2.6 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 10 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 9
Flood 3
Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Winter Storm 1
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Fayette County's record, 43% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 14 66.7%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 7 33.3%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2024 1
2023 1
2021 1
2020 2
2010 1
2009 2
2008 1
2005 1
2004 1
2003 1
1997 1
1996 1
1994 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1989 1
1979 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3633 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3626 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-03
3624 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EM Severe Storm 2025-02-16
4782 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2024-05-22
4702 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-10
4595 SEVERE, STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2021-04-23
4497 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3469 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1912 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2010-05-11
1818 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2009-02-05
3302 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-28
1746 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND DR Severe Storm 2008-02-21
3231 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1523 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2004-06-10
1454 SEVERE WINTER ICE AND SNOW STORMS, HEAVY RAIN, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND MUD AND DR Severe Storm 2003-03-14
1163 SEVERE STORM, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1997-03-04
1089 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1018 SEVERE WEATHER, FREEZING RAIN, SLEET, SNW DR Snowstorm 1994-03-16
3104 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
821 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1989-02-24
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
568 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-12-12

Storm Events in Kentucky

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Fayette County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,702 9 56 $55.2M
Flash Flood 1,757 65 16 $42.6M
Flood 1,646 31 6 $37.1M
Hail 1,534 1 0 $4.7M
Winter Weather 1,079 14 54 $655.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

456

Total Paid

$5.3M

Avg Per Claim

$11.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 92.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$113.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Tornado Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Drought Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Tornado

Tornado exposure is the most spatially concentrated in the model: total destruction along a narrow corridor with intact property either side. County-level averages therefore understate severity badly for anyone actually in the path, and overstate it for everyone else.

For Fayette County the two measures on this page point the same way: Tornado is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Fayette County's closest FEMA peer: Montgomery County, MD

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Fayette County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Fayette County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Fayette County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Fayette County's NFIP claims file (456 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Fayette County?
The most common disaster type in Fayette County is Severe Storm, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (3), Snowstorm (3), Biological (2).
How does Fayette County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Kentucky average?
The typical Kentucky county has 28.1 FEMA declaration records; Fayette County has 21, or 25% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 1% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Fayette County received?
Fayette County has received 14 major disaster declarations, representing 67% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Fayette County filed?
Fayette County has 456 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $5.3M in payments, with an average of $11.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Fayette County?
No. In Fayette County, Tornado has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $52.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Fayette County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Fayette County was 2009, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1979 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Fayette County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Fayette County, Kentucky has an overall risk score of 92.0 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $113.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Fayette County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Fayette County is Tornado (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Relatively High) and Winter Weather (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts tornado here at roughly once every 7 years, drawn from 4 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Fayette County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Kentucky profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events